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Company

ACTUATE THERAPEUTICS, INC.

Ticker
ACTU
Sector
Industry
Report date
March 27, 2026
Valye AI Score

100

Very high visibility
Recent developments
Recent developments summary

Recent developments highlight Actuate Therapeutics' clinical progress and pipeline expansion efforts, including positive Phase 2 trial data in metastatic pancreatic cancer and plans to advance the oral tablet formulation into Phase 1/2 trials in refractory cancers.

Recent developments:
  • Actuate Therapeutics announced plans to expand its clinical pipeline by advancing the Elraglusib oral tablet into a Phase 1/2 clinical program targeting refractory cancers [N2].
  • The company reported positive follow-up data from its randomized controlled Phase 2 trial demonstrating extended long-term overall survival benefit with Elraglusib plus chemotherapy for metastatic pancreatic cancer, presented at ASCO GI 2026 [N3].
  • Positive Phase II data were reported in salivary gland cancers, indicating potential broader applicability of Elraglusib [N4].
  • Multiple news reports have highlighted encouraging clinical trial results and analyst interest in the company’s growth potential [N5][N6][N7].
Overview

Actuate Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing elraglusib, a novel GSK-3β inhibitor, targeting high-impact, difficult-to-treat cancers. The company’s lead asset, elraglusib, is being developed in intravenous injection and oral tablet forms, enabling treatment across multiple cancer types including metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (mPDAC), pediatric cancers such as Ewing sarcoma and neuroblastoma, and other refractory cancers. The company has treated over 500 patients in clinical trials and has reported positive Phase 2 data showing statistically significant survival benefits in mPDAC. The oral tablet formulation is planned for Phase 1/2 trials in refractory cancers subject to funding. Actuate Therapeutics operates with a small team and outsources manufacturing and clinical development activities. The company holds orphan drug and fast track designations for pancreatic and other cancers. Financially, the company reported a net loss and holds cash reserves sufficient for near-term operations but requires additional funding to continue development and commercialization efforts.

Executive summary

Actuate Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing elraglusib, a proprietary GSK-3β inhibitor, for the treatment of difficult-to-treat cancers. The company has reported positive Phase 2 clinical trial results in metastatic pancreatic cancer demonstrating statistically significant improvements in overall survival and survival rates at 12 and 24 months. Elraglusib is also being evaluated in pediatric cancers and other refractory cancers with plans to advance an oral tablet formulation into Phase 1/2 trials. The company operates with a small team and relies on third-party manufacturers and collaborators. Financially, as of December 31, 2025, the company held $13.16 million in cash and equivalents, with a current ratio of 2.39, but reported a net loss of $22.23 million and an accumulated deficit of approximately $154.6 million. The company faces risks related to its limited operating history, ongoing capital requirements, supply chain dependencies, and competitive oncology landscape. Financial figures (if any) are summarized from the latest available SEC filings and are provided for informational purposes only — not financial advice.

Scenarios for ACTU

Bull case model:

The company has demonstrated statistically significant survival improvements in a difficult-to-treat cancer indication (mPDAC) with elraglusib plus chemotherapy, supported by positive Phase 2 data presented at a major oncology conference. The development of an oral tablet formulation expands potential indications and patient convenience. Encouraging early data in pediatric cancers and plans for multiple Phase 2 studies suggest a broad pipeline potential. Orphan drug and fast track designations may facilitate regulatory pathways. Strategic collaborations and AI-driven research partnerships may enhance development efficiency and patient targeting.

Bear case model:

Actuate Therapeutics is a clinical-stage company with no approved products and a history of operating losses and negative cash flow. The company depends on raising additional capital to fund ongoing and planned clinical trials, with substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern noted by auditors. Manufacturing relies on third parties without long-term supply agreements, posing supply chain risks. The oncology market is highly competitive with many established players. Clinical trial outcomes remain preliminary and subject to change. Failure to secure sufficient funding or regulatory approvals could materially impair operations and prospects.

Moat:

Actuate Therapeutics’ moat is primarily based on its proprietary, patent-protected GSK-3β inhibitor elraglusib, which is one of the most advanced clinical-stage inhibitors targeting a novel mechanism in oncology. The company holds exclusive licenses from reputable academic institutions and benefits from orphan drug and fast track designations that may provide regulatory advantages. Its clinical data demonstrating survival benefits in metastatic pancreatic cancer and encouraging results in pediatric cancers support its scientific differentiation. However, the company faces significant competition from larger pharmaceutical and biotechnology firms with broader resources and multiple oncology programs. The lack of commercial products and reliance on third-party manufacturing and collaborations limit its current competitive positioning.

Risks overview
Risks summary
The most significant risks relate to the company's need for additional capital to sustain operations and advance clinical development, coupled with the inherent uncertainties of clinical trial outcomes and regulatory approval in a competitive oncology market.
Risks details:

• Capital and Liquidity Risk: The company has incurred significant operating losses and has an accumulated deficit of approximately $154.6 million as of December 31, 2025. Cash and equivalents were $13.16 million at year-end, with liquidity sufficient only for near-term operations. The company requires substantial additional funding to continue clinical development and operations. Failure to raise capital on acceptable terms could force delays, reductions, or cessation of development programs or operations.
• Clinical Development Risk: Elraglusib is in clinical development with positive Phase 2 data but no approved products. Clinical trial results are preliminary and subject to change. Failure to demonstrate safety and efficacy in ongoing and future trials could prevent regulatory approval and commercialization.
• Supply Chain and Manufacturing Risk: The company relies on third-party manufacturers for clinical supply and has no long-term supply agreements. Disruptions, price changes, or inability to secure supply could delay clinical trials and commercialization.
• Competitive Risk: The oncology drug development field is highly competitive with many large pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies developing therapies targeting similar or alternative pathways. Competitors may have greater resources, broader pipelines, and more advanced products.
• Regulatory and Commercialization Risk: The company currently lacks sales, marketing, and commercial distribution capabilities. Building these capabilities or securing partnerships is necessary for commercialization. Regulatory approvals are required and subject to uncertainty.

FINAL FORECAST FOR ACTU

Final take one line
Actuate Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company with high visibility into its lead GSK-3β inhibitor elraglusib's clinical progress and financial condition, facing typical development and capital risks.
Final take 12 to 24 month view

Business trends: Continued clinical development of elraglusib in metastatic pancreatic cancer, pediatric cancers, and refractory solid tumors with expansion of oral tablet formulation.
Execution milestones: Completion and analysis of ongoing Phase 1/2 trials, securing additional funding, and potential regulatory interactions.
Key risks: Capital requirements and liquidity constraints, clinical trial outcome uncertainties, supply chain dependencies, and competitive oncology landscape.

Valye AI Visibility Research Score

Very high visibility

Visibility score reflects the breadth and consistency of available disclosure across SEC filings, recent public reporting, and baseline business context (research-only; not investment advice).

100
LLM visibility overview
LLM Visibility known facts
  • Actuate Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing therapies for difficult-to-treat cancers by inhibiting glycogen synthase kinase-3 beta (GSK-3β).
  • The lead product candidate is elraglusib, an ATP-competitive small molecule GSK-3β inhibitor, developed under exclusive licenses from University of Illinois-Chicago and Northwestern University.
  • Elraglusib is being developed in two dosage forms: an intravenous injection and an oral tablet, enabling targeting of multiple cancer types.
  • The company has treated over 500 patients with elraglusib in Phase 1 and Phase 2 clinical trials.
  • The most advanced clinical program is a randomized, controlled Phase 2 trial (Actuate-1801 Part 3B) for first-line metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (mPDAC).
  • Updated Phase 2 data presented at ASCO GI 2026 showed statistically significant improvement in median overall survival (mOS) for elraglusib plus gemcitabine/nab-paclitaxel (GnP) versus GnP alone (10.1 months vs. 7.2 months, p=0.02, HR=0.62).
  • The 12-month survival rate nearly doubled (44.4% vs. 22.3%) and the 24-month survival rate increased almost fivefold (12.9% vs. 2.6%) in the elraglusib/GnP arm compared to control.
  • Secondary endpoints such as overall response rate, median progression-free survival, and disease control rate showed numerical improvements with elraglusib combination.
  • Elraglusib Injection is also being evaluated in pediatric cancers including Ewing sarcoma and neuroblastoma, with encouraging Phase 1 data and plans for Phase 2 trials.
  • The oral tablet form is planned for Phase 1/2 clinical development in refractory cancers such as metastatic melanoma, colorectal cancer, and non-small cell lung cancer, subject to funding.
  • The company holds Orphan Drug Designations and Fast Track Designation for pancreatic cancer and other cancer types.
  • Actuate Therapeutics operates as a semi-virtual company with 12 full-time employees and relies on third-party manufacturers and contractors for clinical supply and development activities.
  • The company does not currently have commercial sales, marketing, or distribution capabilities and plans to build these over time if product candidates advance.
  • Financial snapshot as of December 31, 2025: cash and equivalents of $13.16 million, current assets of $13.64 million, current liabilities of $5.71 million, resulting in a current ratio of 2.39 and cash ratio of 2.31.
  • The company reported a net loss of $22.23 million and basic and diluted EPS of -$1.06 for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.
  • The company has incurred significant operating losses since inception with an accumulated deficit of approximately $154.6 million as of December 31, 2025.
  • Liquidity and capital resources are a material risk; the company expects to require additional funding to continue operations and advance clinical programs.
  • The company has no long-term supply agreements for elraglusib and relies on third-party suppliers, which could pose supply chain risks.
  • The company faces competition from major pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies and academic institutions in oncology drug development.
  • The company has strategic collaborations including a research partnership with Lantern Pharma to leverage AI for patient subtype identification.
  • Recent news highlights include plans to expand the clinical pipeline with the oral tablet advancing into Phase 1/2 trials in refractory cancers [N2], positive follow-up Phase 2 data demonstrating extended overall survival benefit in metastatic pancreatic cancer [N3], and positive Phase II data in salivary gland cancers [N4].
Sources
Sources - Context summary

Generated 2026-03-27

Sources - Earning calls
Sources - Other context
Sources - SEC Filings
  • S1 | 2026-03-26 | 10-K
  • S2 | 2025-11-13 | 10-Q
Sources - News headlines
  • N1 | 2026-02-06 | www.nasdaq.com | Mettler-Toledo Q4 Earnings Top Estimates, Sales Rise Y/Y | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/mettler-toledo-q4-earnings-top-estimates-sales-rise-y-y
  • N2 | 2026-01-21 | www.globenewswire.com | Actuate Therapeutics Announces Plans to Expand Clinical Pipeline, Advancing Elraglusib Tablet into a Phase 1/2 Clinical Program in Refractory Cancers | https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2026/01/21/3222807/0/en/Actuate-Therapeutics-Announces-Plans-to-Expand-Clinical-Pipeline-Advancing-Elraglusib-Tablet-into-a-Phase-1-2-Clinical-Program-in-Refractory-Cancers.html
  • N3 | 2026-01-12 | www.globenewswire.com | Actuate Therapeutics Reports Positive Follow-Up Data from its Randomized Controlled Phase 2 Trial Demonstrating Extended Long-Term Overall Survival Benefit with Elraglusib Plus Chemotherapy for Metastatic Pancreatic Cancer in Oral Presentation at ASCO GI 2026 | https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2026/01/12/3216938/0/en/Actuate-Therapeutics-Reports-Positive-Follow-Up-Data-from-its-Randomized-Controlled-Phase-2-Trial-Demonstrating-Extended-Long-Term-Overall-Survival-Benefit-with-Elraglusib-Plus-Che.html
  • N4 | 2025-12-15 | www.nasdaq.com | Actuate Therapeutics Reports Positive Phase II Data In Salivary Gland Cancers | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/actuate-therapeutics-reports-positive-phase-ii-data-salivary-gland-cancers
  • N5 | 2025-11-28 | www.nasdaq.com | How Much Upside is Left in Actuate Therapeutics, Inc. (ACTU)? Wall Street Analysts Think 214.06% | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/how-much-upside-left-actuate-therapeutics-inc-actu-wall-street-analysts-think-21406
  • N6 | 2025-11-19 | www.nasdaq.com | HC Wainwright & Co. Reiterates Actuate Therapeutics (ACTU) Buy Recommendation | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/hc-wainwright-co-reiterates-actuate-therapeutics-actu-buy-recommendation
  • N7 | 2025-07-17 | www.nasdaq.com | Actuate Therapeutics, Inc. Reports Encouraging Results from Phase 1 Study of Elraglusib in Pediatric Ewing Sarcoma Patients and Plans Phase 2 Trial | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/actuate-therapeutics-inc-reports-encouraging-results-phase-1-study-elraglusib-pediatric
  • N8 | 2025-07-11 | www.nasdaq.com | RSSL's Underlying Holdings Imply 20% Gain Potential | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/rssls-underlying-holdings-imply-20-gain-potential
Important legal disclaimer

This material is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, legal or tax advice, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security. The Valye AI Score is a model-based estimate derived from public information and is subject to change without notice. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information herein. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should conduct their own research and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

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