Black checkmark with a sparkle and a curved line underneath on a white background.
Company

ProShares Trust II

Ticker
AGQ
Sector
Industry
Report date
November 6, 2026
Valye AI Score

97

Very high visibility
Recent developments
Recent developments summary

Recent news highlights include alerts on ETF inflows and outflows, the start of options trading for AGQ, and market commentary on silver and leveraged ETFs.

Recent developments:
  • AGQ experienced notable ETF outflows as of late February 2026 [N1].
  • Options for AGQ with April 10th expiration began trading in February 2026 [N2].
  • The ETF saw inflows earlier in February 2026 [N3].
  • Zacks Investment Ideas featured AGQ among highlighted ETFs in early February 2026 [N4].
  • Market commentary in January 2026 discussed lessons from silver's price volatility and potential market pauses [N5][N6].
  • Put and call options for AGQ were noted as interesting for March 13th, 2026 [N7].
  • Notable ETF outflows were detected for AGQ in late January 2026 [N8].
Overview

ProShares Trust II's AGQ ETF is designed to provide leveraged exposure to silver prices by holding silver futures contracts and swap agreements linked to the Bloomberg Silver Subindex SM. The Fund adjusts its positions daily to maintain approximately $2.00 of exposure for every $1.00 of net assets. It holds significant notional amounts in futures and swaps with major financial counterparties. The Fund's financials as of September 30, 2026, show substantial cash reserves and reported revenues, alongside a net loss for the period. The Fund's risk disclosures highlight the complexities of leveraged exposure and counterparty risks inherent in its financial instruments.

Executive summary

ProShares Trust II operates the AGQ ETF, a leveraged silver fund providing exposure to silver prices via futures and swap contracts linked to the Bloomberg Silver Subindex SM. The Fund maintains approximately double exposure to the index relative to net assets and manages counterparty risk through collateral arrangements. Financial disclosures as of September 30, 2026, report revenues of $41.2 million and a net loss of $418.6 million for the nine months ended. Recent news highlights active trading, inflows and outflows, and options activity related to AGQ. Financial figures (if any) are summarized from the latest available SEC filings and are provided for informational purposes only — not financial advice.

Scenarios for AGQ

Bull case model:

The Fund offers investors leveraged exposure to silver prices, which can amplify returns during favorable market conditions. Its active management of futures and swap positions and access to major counterparties support its ability to maintain targeted leverage. Recent inflows and options activity indicate investor interest and liquidity in the product.

Bear case model:

The Fund's leveraged exposure entails amplified losses during adverse silver price movements, as reflected in the reported net loss for the nine months ended September 30, 2026. Counterparty risk, while limited to unrealized gains, poses potential delays and costs in collateral recovery. Market volatility and the complexity of leveraged instruments may lead to performance deviations from the underlying index, especially over periods longer than a single day.

Moat:

The Fund's moat derives from its specialized leveraged exposure to silver prices through sophisticated use of futures and swap contracts, managed by ProShares Trust II. Its relationships with major financial institutions as counterparties and its daily adjustment of positions to maintain leverage provide operational expertise and market access that may be difficult for individual investors to replicate. However, as an ETF, it faces competition from other leveraged commodity funds and market volatility risks.

Risks overview
Risks summary
The primary risk is the amplified loss potential due to leveraged exposure to silver prices combined with counterparty risk inherent in swap agreements.
Risks details:

• Commodity Price Risk: The Fund's performance is highly sensitive to fluctuations in silver prices through its futures and swap contracts, which can lead to amplified gains or losses due to leverage.
• Counterparty Risk: The Fund relies on swap agreements with major financial institutions; counterparty bankruptcy could cause delays and costs in recovering collateral.
• Leverage Risk: The Fund targets approximately double exposure to the underlying index, which can magnify losses and complicate performance over periods longer than a single day.
• Market Volatility Risk: Volatility in commodity and equity markets can affect the Fund's futures and swap valuations and its ability to maintain targeted exposure.

FINAL FORECAST FOR AGQ

Final take one line
AGQ is a leveraged silver ETF with detailed SEC disclosures and active market engagement, showing high transparency in its business model and risks.
Final take 12 to 24 month view

Business trends: Continued active management of leveraged silver exposure with fluctuating inflows and outflows reflecting market interest.
Execution milestones: Maintaining daily position adjustments to target leverage and expanding options trading availability.
Key risks: Amplified losses from leverage, counterparty risks in swap agreements, and sensitivity to commodity price volatility.

Valye AI Visibility Research Score

Very high visibility

Visibility score reflects the breadth and consistency of available disclosure across SEC filings, recent public reporting, and baseline business context (research-only; not investment advice).

97
LLM visibility overview
LLM Visibility known facts
  • ProShares Trust II operates exchange-traded funds (ETFs), including the ProShares Ultra Silver Fund (AGQ), which provides leveraged exposure to silver prices through futures contracts and swap agreements linked to the Bloomberg Silver Subindex SM [S1].
  • The Fund holds significant positions in silver futures contracts and swap agreements with major counterparties such as Citibank, Goldman Sachs International, Morgan Stanley, and UBS AG, with notional amounts in the billions as of December 31, 2025 [S1].
  • The Fund attempts to maintain approximately $2.00 of exposure to the Bloomberg Silver Subindex for every $1.00 of net assets, adjusting positions daily [S1].
  • Counterparty risk is generally limited to unrealized gains, but bankruptcy of counterparties could cause delays and costs in recovering collateral held in segregated tri-party accounts [S1].
  • The Fund's financial snapshot as of September 30, 2026, shows cash and equivalents of approximately $812 million USD and reported revenues of about $41.2 million USD for the nine months ended September 30, 2026, with a net loss of approximately $418.6 million USD for the same period [S2].
  • The Fund's business involves exposure to commodity price risk through futures and swap contracts, which are sensitive to price fluctuations in silver and other commodities [S1][S2].
  • The Fund's risk disclosures emphasize that future returns cannot be estimated simply by multiplying the return of the underlying index by the leverage factor, especially for periods longer than a single day [S1][S2].
  • Recent news coverage highlights inflows and outflows in the AGQ ETF, options trading activity, and market commentary related to silver and leveraged ETFs [N1][N2][N3][N4][N5][N6][N7][N8].
  • The Fund's liquidity snapshot as of September 30, 2026, includes cash and equivalents of $811,969,786 USD, with no disclosed short-term investments or current liabilities [S2].
Sources
Sources - Context summary

Generated 2026-11-06

Sources - Earning calls
Sources - Other context
Sources - SEC Filings
  • S1 | 2026-02-26 | 10-K
  • S2 | 2026-11-06 | 10-Q
Sources - News headlines
  • N1 | 2026-02-26 | www.nasdaq.com | AGQ: ETF Outflow Alert | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/agq-etf-outflow-alert
  • N2 | 2026-02-26 | www.nasdaq.com | AGQ April 10th Options Begin Trading | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/agq-april-10th-options-begin-trading
  • N3 | 2026-02-10 | www.nasdaq.com | AGQ: ETF Inflow Alert | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/agq-etf-inflow-alert
  • N4 | 2026-02-02 | www.nasdaq.com | Zacks Investment Ideas feature highlights: Microsoft, SLV, AGQ, GLD and DUST | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/zacks-investment-ideas-feature-highlights-microsoft-slv-agq-gld-and-dust
  • N5 | 2026-01-30 | www.nasdaq.com | Silver Crash: Lessons from Silver's Blow-Off Top | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/silver-crash-lessons-silvers-blow-top
  • N6 | 2026-01-30 | www.nasdaq.com | February Flinch: Why the Bull Market is Due for a Breather | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/february-flinch-why-bull-market-due-breather
  • N7 | 2026-01-29 | www.nasdaq.com | Interesting AGQ Put And Call Options For March 13th | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/interesting-agq-put-and-call-options-march-13th
  • N8 | 2026-01-28 | www.nasdaq.com | Notable ETF Outflow Detected - AGQ | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/notable-etf-outflow-detected-agq
Important legal disclaimer

This material is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, legal or tax advice, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security. The Valye AI Score is a model-based estimate derived from public information and is subject to change without notice. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information herein. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should conduct their own research and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

Blue logo with a stylized checkmark and star above the blue text 'VALYE' on a black background.

Generated by Valye SEC Pipeline Engine