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Company

ASML HOLDING NV

Ticker
ASML
Sector
Technology
Industry
Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
Report date
January 28, 2026
Valye AI Score

97

Very high visibility
Valye AI Visibility Research Score

Very high visibility

Visibility score reflects the breadth and consistency of available disclosure across SEC filings, recent public reporting, and baseline business context (research-only; not investment advice).

97
Recent developments

Scenarios for ASML

Recent developments summary

Recent developments for ASML include operational incidents, IP dispute denials, strategic partnerships, and analyst coverage reflecting market interest and company positioning.

Recent developments:
  • ASML reported a fire at its Berlin factory in early January 2026, highlighting operational risk [N1].
  • A Chinese company publicly denied allegations of intellectual property infringement related to ASML technology [N2].
  • ASML announced a collaboration with Eindhoven Tech University to build a new research facility, indicating ongoing investment in innovation [N3].
  • The company refuted social media hacking claims, addressing reputational risk [N8].
  • ASML received a buy rating from Berenberg Bank, reflecting positive analyst sentiment [N4].
  • ASML was named a top European semiconductor pick for 2026 by Blockonomi, indicating market recognition [N9].
  • Q3 2025 bookings were reported at $6.3 billion with sales of $8.7 billion, driven by AI demand and EUV adoption [N7].
Overview

ASML HOLDING NV is a leading technology company specializing in semiconductor equipment and materials. The company designs and manufactures advanced lithography systems critical for semiconductor chip production. ASML's financial disclosures indicate strong profitability and liquidity, with net income of €7.572 billion and a current ratio of 1.53 as of December 31, 2024. The company reported total net sales of €32.7 billion in 2025 and provided guidance for continued sales growth and stable gross margins in 2026. ASML's operations include strategic partnerships such as the collaboration with Eindhoven Tech University to build a new research facility. The company also manages operational risks, including a recent fire at its Berlin factory and ongoing intellectual property protection efforts.

Executive summary

What this means

Financial figures (if any) are summarized from the latest available SEC filings and are provided for informational purposes only — not financial advice. ASML HOLDING NV operates in semiconductor equipment and materials, reporting strong financial performance with €7.572 billion net income in 2024 and robust liquidity ratios. The company disclosed total net sales of €32.7 billion and net income of €9.6 billion in 2025, with guidance for 2026 net sales between €34 billion and €39 billion and gross margin between 51% and 53%. Recent developments include a factory fire in Berlin, IP dispute denials, a new research facility partnership, and positive analyst coverage.

Scenarios for ASML

Bull case model:

ASML benefits from sustained demand for advanced semiconductor manufacturing equipment driven by growth in AI, 5G, and high-performance computing. Its leadership in EUV lithography technology positions it as an indispensable supplier to chipmakers. Strategic partnerships and ongoing innovation support product pipeline strength. The company's strong financial position and liquidity provide flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and manage operational challenges effectively.

Bear case model:

ASML faces risks from operational disruptions such as factory incidents, geopolitical tensions affecting supply chains and intellectual property enforcement, and competitive pressures from emerging technologies or alternative lithography methods. The capital-intensive nature of its business and reliance on a limited number of key customers may expose it to demand fluctuations. Regulatory and trade restrictions could also impact its global operations and market access.

Moat:

ASML's moat is anchored in its technological leadership in semiconductor lithography equipment, a highly specialized and capital-intensive industry with significant barriers to entry. Its proprietary extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography technology is critical for advanced chip manufacturing, creating a strong competitive advantage. The company's extensive R&D investments and collaborations with leading technology institutions further reinforce its innovation edge. Additionally, ASML's customer base includes major semiconductor manufacturers, underscoring its strategic importance in the semiconductor supply chain.

Risks overview
Risks summary
Operational disruptions and intellectual property protection are key risks that could impact ASML's production and competitive position.
Risks details:

• Operational Risks: Events such as the reported fire at the Berlin factory could disrupt production and supply chain continuity [N1].
• Intellectual Property Risks: Ongoing challenges in protecting proprietary technology, including allegations of IP infringement and the need to defend against such claims [N2].
• Geopolitical and Trade Risks: Exposure to geopolitical tensions and trade restrictions that may affect global supply chains and market access.
• Market Demand Risks: Dependence on semiconductor industry cycles and demand from key customers could lead to revenue volatility.

LLM visibility overview
LLM Visibility known facts
  • ASML HOLDING NV operates in the Technology sector, specifically in Semiconductor Equipment & Materials.
  • The company reported €12.736 billion in cash and equivalents as of December 31, 2024, according to its 20-F filing dated March 5, 2025 [S1].
  • Current assets were €30.737 billion and current liabilities €20.051 billion as of December 31, 2024, yielding a current ratio of 1.53 and a cash ratio of 0.7 [S1].
  • Net income for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024, was €7.572 billion [S1].
  • Basic earnings per share were €19.25 and diluted EPS €19.24 for the same period [S1].
  • ASML reported total net sales of €32.7 billion and net income of €9.6 billion in 2025, with guidance for 2026 net sales between €34 billion and €39 billion and gross margin between 51% and 53% [S2].
  • Quarterly sales and net income figures for 2025 show consistent growth with Q1 sales of €7.7 billion and net income of €2.4 billion, Q2 sales of €7.7 billion and net income of €2.3 billion, and Q3 sales of €7.5 billion and net income of €2.1 billion [S2].
  • ASML experienced a fire at its Berlin factory reported in January 2026 [N1].
  • A Chinese company denied allegations of intellectual property infringement related to ASML [N2].
  • ASML is collaborating with Eindhoven Tech University to build a new research facility [N3].
  • ASML publicly refuted social media hacking claims in early 2026 [N8].
  • The company received a buy rating from Berenberg Bank as of January 8, 2026 [N4].
  • ASML was named a top European semiconductor pick for 2026 by Blockonomi [N9].
  • ASML's Q3 2025 bookings were reported at $6.3 billion with sales of $8.7 billion, driven by AI demand and EUV adoption [N7].

FINAL FORECAST FOR ASML

Final take one line
ASML exhibits very high visibility with detailed financial disclosures, strong operational insights, and well-documented recent developments.
Final take 12 to 24 month view

Business trends: Continued growth in semiconductor equipment driven by AI and EUV technology adoption, supported by strong sales and net income figures.
Execution milestones: Expansion of research capabilities through partnership with Eindhoven Tech University; management of operational incidents such as the Berlin factory fire.
Key risks: Operational disruptions, intellectual property protection challenges, geopolitical and trade uncertainties, and semiconductor market demand fluctuations.

Final take watchlist summary
Sources
Sources - Context summary

Generated 2026-01-29

Sources - Earning calls
Sources - Other context
Sources - SEC Filings
  • S1 | 2025-03-05 | 20-F
  • S2 | 2026-01-28 | 6-K
Sources - News headlines
  • N1 | 2026-01-07 | Reuters | ASMLreports fire at its Berlin factory | https://www.reuters.com/technology/asml-reports-fire-its-berlin-factory-2022-01-03/
  • N2 | 2026-01-07 | Reuters | Chinese company denies alleged IP infringement ofASML | https://www.reuters.com/technology/chinese-company-denies-alleged-ip-infringement-asml-2022-02-12/
  • N3 | 2026-01-07 | Reuters | ASML, Eindhoven Tech University to build new research facility | https://www.reuters.com/technology/asml-eindhoven-tech-university-build-new-research-facility-2023-04-24/
  • N4 | 2026-01-08 | theglobeandmail.com | ASML Holding NV (0QB8) Receives a Buy from Berenberg Bank | https://www.theglobeandmail.com/investing/markets/stocks/ASML-Q/pressreleases/36940243/asml-holding-nv-0qb8-receives-a-buy-from-berenberg-bank/
  • N5 | 2026-01-08 | Yahoo Finance | Is ASML Holding (ENXTAM:ASML) Pricing In Too Much After Its Recent Share Price Surge? | https://finance.yahoo.com/news/asml-holding-enxtam-asml-pricing-121112656.html
  • N6 | 2026-01-08 | benzinga.com | If You Invested $100 In ASML Holding Stock 15 Years Ago, You Would Have This Much Today | https://www.benzinga.com/insights/news/26/01/49678911/if-you-invested-100-in-asml-holding-stock-15-years-ago-you-would-have-this-much-today
  • N7 | 2026-01-08 | benzinga.com | ASML Q3 Beats Estimates With $6.3B Bookings And $8.7B Sales | https://www.benzinga.com/markets/tech/25/10/48217038/asml-q3-bookings-beat-expectations-at-6-3-billion-as-ai-demand-euv-adoption-drive-strong-2025-outlook
  • N8 | 2026-01-07 | yahoo.com | ASMLsays social media hacking claims are untrue | https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/asml-says-social-media-hacking-145859780.html
Important legal disclaimer

This material is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, legal or tax advice, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security. The Valye AI Score is a model-based estimate derived from public information and is subject to change without notice. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information herein. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should conduct their own research and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

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Generated by Valye SEC Pipeline Engine

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