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Company

Aircastle LTD

Ticker
AYR
Sector
Industry
Report date
July 9, 2026
Valye AI Score

100

Very high visibility
Recent developments
Recent developments summary

Recent news coverage includes general market and sector developments but lacks company-specific updates. The company’s latest SEC filings provide the most current operational and financial information.

Recent developments:
  • Recent market news highlights strength in chipmakers and AI-powered platforms, which are not directly related to Aircastle’s business but reflect broader market conditions [N1][N3].
  • No recent company-specific news was identified in the available sources; the latest financial and operational data are from SEC filings as of July 9, 2026 [S2].
Overview

Aircastle Limited operates as an aircraft leasing company, owning and managing a fleet of commercial aircraft leased to a broad base of airline customers worldwide. The company acquires aircraft through various channels including purchase-leaseback transactions and direct purchases from manufacturers or other lessors. It manages aircraft throughout their lifecycle, including lease management, technical management, redeliveries, transitions, and sales or disposals. The fleet is geographically diversified across Asia and Pacific, Europe, Middle East and Africa, North America, and South America. The company’s financial performance reflects strong global passenger demand and supply chain disruptions affecting aircraft deliveries, supporting lease extensions and asset sales. Aircastle’s aircraft are managed by teams based in the United States, Ireland, and Singapore.

Executive summary

Aircastle Limited is an aircraft leasing company with a diversified global fleet of 279 aircraft leased to 73 airline customers across 44 countries. The company reported revenues of $723.8 million and net income of $137.2 million for the nine months ended November 30, 2025, with a fleet net book value of approximately $8.6 billion. As of May 31, 2026, the company held $440.9 million in cash and cash equivalents and reported net income of $33.6 million for the quarter ended May 31, 2026. Financial figures (if any) are summarized from the latest available SEC filings and are provided for informational purposes only — not financial advice.

Scenarios for AYR

Bull case model:

The company benefits from sustained global air travel demand and ongoing supply chain constraints for new aircraft, which support lease renewals and asset values. Its diversified fleet and customer base provide stability in lease revenues. Strong cash flow from operations and disciplined capital deployment through aircraft acquisitions and sales underpin financial strength. The company’s experienced management and global operational footprint enable effective asset management and market responsiveness.

Bear case model:

Risks include exposure to airline customer bankruptcies or restructurings, which can lead to off-lease aircraft and potential credit losses. Aircraft valuations involve significant judgment and non-observable inputs, introducing valuation uncertainty. Market conditions affecting aircraft demand and lease rates could impact revenue and profitability. Concentration in certain geographic regions or customers could pose risks if those markets experience downturns. The company’s reliance on debt financing exposes it to interest rate and refinancing risks.

Moat:

Aircastle’s moat derives from its extensive experience in aircraft lifecycle management, a diversified global fleet, and a broad customer base spanning multiple regions and airlines. The company’s ability to manage complex lease arrangements, maintain high fleet utilization, and execute aircraft sales and acquisitions provides operational resilience. Its geographic and customer diversification reduces dependency on any single market or lessee, mitigating concentration risks. The company’s access to capital markets and established financing arrangements support its fleet acquisition and growth strategies.

Risks overview
Risks summary
The primary risk centers on customer credit exposure and aircraft valuation uncertainties, which can materially affect financial results and asset values.
Risks details:

• Customer Credit Risk: Exposure to airline bankruptcies or restructurings can result in off-lease aircraft and credit losses, impacting revenue and asset utilization.
• Aircraft Valuation Uncertainty: Valuations use market and income approaches with significant non-observable inputs, which may affect asset carrying values and impairment assessments.
• Market and Lease Rate Volatility: Changes in global air travel demand or aircraft supply can affect lease rates, asset values, and overall financial performance.
• Geographic and Customer Concentration: While diversified, certain regions and customers represent significant portions of net book value and lease revenue, posing concentration risks.
• Debt and Financing Risks: The company’s use of secured and unsecured debt exposes it to interest rate fluctuations, refinancing risks, and covenant compliance.

FINAL FORECAST FOR AYR

Final take one line
Aircastle Limited exhibits very high visibility with comprehensive SEC disclosures detailing a diversified aircraft leasing business and solid financial metrics.
Final take 12 to 24 month view

Business trends: Sustained global air travel demand and supply chain constraints support lease renewals and asset values.
Execution milestones: Ongoing fleet acquisitions, lease management, and aircraft sales with commitments for 24 aircraft through 2028.
Key risks: Customer credit exposure, aircraft valuation uncertainties, market volatility, geographic and customer concentration, and debt financing risks.

Valye AI Visibility Research Score

Very high visibility

Visibility score reflects the breadth and consistency of available disclosure across SEC filings, recent public reporting, and baseline business context (research-only; not investment advice).

100
LLM visibility overview
LLM Visibility known facts
  • Aircastle Limited is an aircraft leasing company owning and managing a fleet of 279 aircraft leased to 73 airline customers in 44 countries as of November 30, 2025.
  • The net book value of the fleet was approximately $8.6 billion as of November 30, 2025, with a weighted average fleet age of 8.6 years and a weighted average remaining lease term of 5.5 years.
  • The fleet utilization rate was over 99% for the nine months ended November 30, 2025.
  • During the nine months ended November 30, 2025, Aircastle purchased 32 aircraft and sold 20 aircraft and other flight equipment.
  • As of November 30, 2025, the company had commitments to purchase 24 aircraft for $1.0 billion, with deliveries through November 2028.
  • The company generates lease rental revenue from flight equipment held for lease, geographically diversified with approximately 26-31% from Asia and Pacific, Europe, and North America regions.
  • Major countries representing at least 10% of net book value include the United States (19%) and India (14%) as of November 30, 2025.
  • The company’s financial performance for the nine months ended November 30, 2025 included total revenues of $723.8 million, net income of $137.2 million, and Adjusted EBITDA of $715.2 million.
  • Cash flow provided by operating activities was $367.2 million for the nine months ended November 30, 2025.
  • As of May 31, 2026, Aircastle had cash and cash equivalents of approximately $440.9 million.
  • For the quarter ended May 31, 2026, the company reported net income of $33.6 million.
  • The company’s financial instruments include cash equivalents, accounts receivable, investments in debt and equity securities, accounts payable, and secured and unsecured financings.
  • The company’s aircraft valuations use a combination of market approach and income approach, with some valuations involving significant non-observable inputs (Level 3).
  • The company accounts for unconsolidated equity method investments and reviews them for impairment when indicators arise.
  • Lease incentive liabilities recorded in maintenance payments were $26.1 million as of November 30, 2025.
  • The company’s lease rental revenue is geographically diversified with no single region dominating, reflecting a broad customer base.
  • The company’s customer base includes airline customers with lease rental revenue concentration from a few lessees, but no single lessee dominates the revenue base.
  • The company pays dividends on common and preference shares, with recent payments approved by the Board of Directors.
  • The company’s debt includes secured and unsecured financings, senior notes with fair value estimates based on quoted market prices or discounted cash flow analyses.
  • The company’s fleet includes narrow-body aircraft, some of which are off-lease due to lessee bankruptcy, expected to remain off-lease for an extended period.
  • The company’s business model includes acquiring aircraft through various channels, managing aircraft throughout their lifecycle, and selling aircraft and engine assets to generate profits and reinvest proceeds.
  • The company’s aircraft are managed by teams based in the United States, Ireland, and Singapore.
  • The company’s financial disclosures are summarized from the latest available SEC filings and are provided for informational purposes only — not financial advice.
Sources
Sources - Context summary

Generated 2026-07-09

Sources - Earning calls
Sources - Other context
Sources - SEC Filings
  • S1 | 2026-04-21 | 10-K
  • S2 | 2026-07-09 | 10-Q
Sources - News headlines
  • N1 | 2026-07-09 | www.nasdaq.com | Stocks Climb on Strength in Chipmakers | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/stocks-climb-strength-chipmakers
  • N2 | 2026-07-09 | www.nasdaq.com | Chipotle Is Up 17% in 1 Month. Is It a Top Buy Before July 29? | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/chipotle-17-1-month-it-top-buy-july-29
  • N3 | 2026-07-09 | www.nasdaq.com | MSCI, UBS Partner To Expand AI-Powered Private Markets Platform | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/msci-ubs-partner-expand-ai-powered-private-markets-platform
  • N4 | 2026-04-21 | www.nasdaq.com | Soybeans Posting Midday Gains Following Bean Oil Rally | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/soybeans-posting-midday-gains-following-bean-oil-rally
  • N5 | 2026-04-21 | www.nasdaq.com | Corn Starting Tuesday with Fractional Losses | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/corn-starting-tuesday-fractional-losses
  • N6 | 2026-04-21 | www.nasdaq.com | Stocks Erase Early Gains as Crude Prices Jump on Iran Concerns | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/stocks-erase-early-gains-crude-prices-jump-iran-concerns
  • N7 | 2026-04-21 | www.nasdaq.com | TAL (TAL) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/tal-tal-q1-2026-earnings-call-transcript
  • N8 | 2026-04-21 | www.nasdaq.com | Albertsons (ACI) Q4 2025 Earnings Transcript | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/albertsons-aci-q4-2025-earnings-transcript
Important legal disclaimer

This material is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, legal or tax advice, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security. The Valye AI Score is a model-based estimate derived from public information and is subject to change without notice. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information herein. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should conduct their own research and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

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