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Company

NATIONAL BEVERAGE CORP

Ticker
FIZZ
Sector
Industry
Report date
July 1, 2026
Valye AI Score

100

Very high visibility
Recent developments
Recent developments summary

Recent news coverage highlights National Beverage Corp's inclusion in consumer staples stock lists inspired by Warren Buffett's criteria, alongside a maintained sell recommendation by UBS. The stock has been noted as oversold in technical analyses and has experienced notable option activity.

Recent developments:
  • National Beverage Corp has been featured multiple times in Validea's Top Consumer Staples Stocks Based On Warren Buffett lists throughout 2025, indicating recognition in the consumer staples sector [N1][N3][N5][N7].
  • UBS maintained a sell recommendation on National Beverage Corp as of December 6, 2025, reflecting cautious analyst sentiment [N2].
  • Technical analysis reports from 2025 noted that National Beverage Corp's stock was oversold according to RSI alerts, suggesting potential market undervaluation [N6][N8].
  • Notable option activity involving National Beverage Corp was reported in August 2025, indicating investor interest in derivatives trading [N8].
Overview

National Beverage Corp is a beverage company operating a single reportable segment encompassing the development, production, marketing, and sale of beverages in the United States. The company manages its operations through vertically integrated production facilities and a centralized supply chain. Its product portfolio includes carbonated soft drinks and the Power+ brand among others. The company recognizes revenue when performance obligations are satisfied and extends credit to customers based on financial evaluation. It uses derivative instruments to mitigate raw material cost risks and incurs marketing and shipping costs classified within selling, general and administrative expenses. The company maintains a management agreement with Corporate Management Advisors, Inc. for senior corporate functions and strategic services.

Executive summary

Financial figures (if any) are summarized from the latest available SEC filings and are provided for informational purposes only — not financial advice. National Beverage Corp operates a single segment focused on beverage development, production, marketing, and sales primarily in the U.S. Fiscal 2026 net sales were $1.18 billion with stable gross margin of 37.0%. Net income was $183.6 million with EPS of $1.96. The company maintains strong liquidity with $349.5 million cash and a current ratio of 4.39 as of May 2, 2026. Recent news highlights include multiple mentions in consumer staples stock lists and a sell recommendation by UBS.

Scenarios for FIZZ

Bull case model:

National Beverage Corp demonstrates stable gross margins and consistent profitability with net income of $183.6 million in fiscal 2026. The company maintains strong liquidity with $349.5 million in cash and no outstanding borrowings, supporting operational flexibility. Capital expenditures focus on capacity expansion, sustainability, and packaging improvements, indicating ongoing investment in operational efficiency. The company’s inclusion in multiple consumer staples stock lists suggests recognition of its market position. Its vertically integrated operations and centralized supply chain may provide cost advantages and quality control.

Bear case model:

The company experienced a decline in net sales primarily due to a 6.7% decrease in case volume, influenced by external factors such as government shutdowns, inflation, and cautious consumer spending. Gross profit decreased slightly due to increased packaging and ingredient costs. The company faces risks from commodity price fluctuations, labor disruptions, and changing consumer preferences. The presence of a sell recommendation by UBS and news of the stock being oversold indicate market concerns. Additionally, the company’s reliance on a management agreement with a related party may present governance considerations.

Moat:

National Beverage Corp's moat is supported by its vertically integrated production facilities and centralized supply chain infrastructure, enabling control over product quality and cost efficiencies. Its established brand portfolio, including the Power+ brand and carbonated soft drinks, provides consumer recognition. The company's management agreement with Corporate Management Advisors, Inc. offers experienced leadership and strategic direction. Additionally, its strong liquidity position and absence of debt provide financial flexibility. However, the beverage industry is competitive and subject to commodity price volatility and changing consumer preferences, which can impact the company's competitive position.

Risks overview
Risks summary
The company faces significant risks from commodity price volatility, consumer demand fluctuations, and operational disruptions, alongside governance considerations related to its management agreement with a related party.
Risks details:

• Commodity Price Volatility: The company is exposed to fluctuations in raw material costs such as aluminum cans, plastic bottles, and juice concentrates, which can impact margins if cost increases cannot be fully recovered through pricing.
• Consumer Demand and Market Conditions: Sales volume declined due to factors including government shutdowns, inflation, and cautious consumer spending, indicating sensitivity to macroeconomic and market conditions.
• Labor and Operational Risks: Potential labor strikes, work stoppages, or other employment interruptions could disrupt production and supply chain operations.
• Regulatory and Environmental Risks: Changes in government regulations, taxes, fees, or responses to climate change could affect operations and costs.
• Technology and Cybersecurity Risks: Failures or cyberattacks on the company’s or third parties’ technology systems could disrupt business operations.
• Related Party Management Agreement: The company’s management agreement with Corporate Management Advisors, Inc., owned by its CEO, may present conflicts of interest or governance risks.

FINAL FORECAST FOR FIZZ

Final take one line
National Beverage Corp exhibits high business and financial visibility with stable operations, strong liquidity, and recognized market presence amid industry risks.
Final take 12 to 24 month view

Business trends: The company shows stable gross margins and profitability with ongoing investments in capacity and sustainability, while facing volume declines influenced by macroeconomic factors.
Execution milestones: Continued capital expenditures to enhance production efficiency and packaging, maintenance of strong liquidity, and management of commodity cost exposures.
Key risks: Commodity price volatility, consumer demand fluctuations, operational disruptions, regulatory changes, and governance risks related to related-party management agreements.

Valye AI Visibility Research Score

Very high visibility

Visibility score reflects the breadth and consistency of available disclosure across SEC filings, recent public reporting, and baseline business context (research-only; not investment advice).

100
LLM visibility overview
LLM Visibility known facts
  • National Beverage Corp operates as a single operating and reportable segment focused on the development, production, marketing, and sale of beverages primarily in the United States.
  • The company manages its business on a consolidated basis with vertically integrated production facilities and a centralized supply chain.
  • The Chief Operating Decision Maker is the CEO, supported by the President and executive team, who use consolidated operating income and net income to assess performance.
  • Net sales for fiscal year ended May 2, 2026 were $1,180.6 million, slightly down from $1,201.4 million in fiscal 2025, impacted by one less selling week and a 6.7% decline in case volume.
  • Average selling price per case increased by 5.2% in fiscal 2026.
  • Gross profit for fiscal 2026 was $437.3 million, slightly down from $443.9 million in fiscal 2025, with gross margin stable at 37.0%.
  • Selling, general and administrative expenses decreased slightly to $207.2 million in fiscal 2026 from $208.5 million in fiscal 2025, with a slight increase as a percentage of net sales to 17.5%.
  • Other income, net primarily consists of interest income, which increased to $10.6 million in fiscal 2026 from $9.3 million in fiscal 2025 due to higher average invested balances.
  • Effective tax rates were 23.7% in fiscal 2026 and 23.6% in fiscal 2025, influenced by state income taxes.
  • At May 2, 2026, the company had $349.5 million in cash and cash equivalents and no outstanding borrowings under unsecured revolving credit facilities totaling $150 million.
  • Working capital increased to $457.8 million at May 2, 2026, driven by higher cash, inventory, derivative assets, and income tax receivables, partially offset by decreases in accounts payable and accrued liabilities.
  • Days sales outstanding was 31.9 days at May 2, 2026, slightly improved from 32.5 days at May 3, 2025.
  • Inventory increased by $10.4 million to $95.5 million at May 2, 2026, with annual inventory turns decreasing to 8.2 times from 8.7 times.
  • Capital expenditures for fiscal 2026 were $25.1 million, focused on capacity expansion, sustainability, packaging capabilities, and production efficiency improvements.
  • The company intends to maintain capital expenditures in fiscal 2027 at levels comparable to fiscal 2026.
  • The company repurchased common shares for $0.7 million in fiscal 2026 and paid a special cash dividend of $304.1 million in fiscal 2025.
  • The company classifies shipping and handling costs within selling, general and administrative expenses, which were $75.1 million in fiscal 2026.
  • Marketing costs were $46.6 million in fiscal 2026, included in selling, general and administrative expenses.
  • The company offers various sales incentive arrangements to customers, which are accrued over the period of benefit and accounted for as reductions of sales.
  • Revenue is recognized when performance obligations are satisfied, with limited rights of return.
  • The company extends credit to customers based on financial condition, generally without collateral, with payment terms typically within 30 days.
  • The company uses derivative financial instruments to partially mitigate exposure to raw material cost fluctuations.
  • The company operates under a management agreement with Corporate Management Advisors, Inc. (CMA), paying fees of $11.8 million in fiscal 2026.
  • The company maintains self-insured and deductible programs for certain liabilities and accrues for known and estimated claims based on actuarial assumptions.
  • The company has operating leases with future minimum lease payments totaling $66.9 million as of May 2, 2026, with weighted average remaining lease term of about 5.4 years.
  • The company’s long-lived assets and operations are located entirely in the United States.
  • The company’s financial statements are prepared in accordance with US GAAP and include critical accounting estimates related to revenue recognition and asset impairment.
  • The company’s liquidity sources include cash and cash equivalents, cash generated from operations, and borrowing capacity under revolving credit facilities.
  • The company’s net income for fiscal 2026 was $183.6 million, slightly down from $186.8 million in fiscal 2025.
  • Earnings per share (basic and diluted) for fiscal 2026 were $1.96.
  • The company’s current ratio was 4.39 and cash ratio was 2.59 as of May 2, 2026, indicating strong liquidity.
  • Recent news includes multiple mentions in Validea's Top Consumer Staples Stocks Based On Warren Buffett lists and a maintained sell recommendation by UBS.
  • Recent news also notes the stock being oversold according to RSI alerts and notable option activity.
  • The company’s business is subject to risks including commodity price fluctuations, labor disruptions, consumer demand changes, regulatory changes, and technology risks as disclosed in SEC filings.
Sources
Sources - Context summary

Generated 2026-07-01

Sources - Earning calls
Sources - Other context
Sources - SEC Filings
  • S1 | 2026-07-01 | 10-K
  • S2 | 2026-03-12 | 10-Q
Sources - News headlines
  • N1 | 2025-12-19 | www.nasdaq.com | Validea's Top Consumer Staples Stocks Based On Warren Buffett - 12/19/2025 | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/valideas-top-consumer-staples-stocks-based-warren-buffett-12-19-2025
  • N2 | 2025-12-06 | www.nasdaq.com | UBS Maintains National Beverage (FIZZ) Sell Recommendation | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/ubs-maintains-national-beverage-fizz-sell-recommendation
  • N3 | 2025-11-21 | www.nasdaq.com | Validea's Top Consumer Staples Stocks Based On Warren Buffett - 11/21/2025 | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/valideas-top-consumer-staples-stocks-based-warren-buffett-11-21-2025
  • N4 | 2025-10-28 | www.nasdaq.com | Sum Up The Pieces: IYY Could Be Worth $183 | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/sum-pieces-iyy-could-be-worth-183
  • N5 | 2025-10-24 | www.nasdaq.com | Validea's Top Consumer Staples Stocks Based On Warren Buffett - 10/24/2025 | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/valideas-top-consumer-staples-stocks-based-warren-buffett-10-24-2025
  • N6 | 2025-10-13 | www.nasdaq.com | National Beverage is Now Oversold (FIZZ) | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/national-beverage-now-oversold-fizz
  • N7 | 2025-09-26 | www.nasdaq.com | Validea's Top Consumer Staples Stocks Based On Warren Buffett - 9/26/2025 | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/valideas-top-consumer-staples-stocks-based-warren-buffett-9-26-2025
  • N8 | 2025-09-02 | www.nasdaq.com | RSI Alert: National Beverage (FIZZ) Now Oversold | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/rsi-alert-national-beverage-fizz-now-oversold
Important legal disclaimer

This material is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, legal or tax advice, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security. The Valye AI Score is a model-based estimate derived from public information and is subject to change without notice. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information herein. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should conduct their own research and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

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