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Company

NATIONAL BEVERAGE CORP

Ticker
FIZZ
Sector
Industry
Report date
September 10, 2026
Valye AI Score

94

Very high visibility
Recent developments
Recent developments summary

Recent news highlights include multiple mentions as a top consumer staples stock based on Warren Buffett's criteria, a maintained sell recommendation by UBS, and market analyses noting the stock as oversold.

Recent developments:
  • National Beverage Corp has been repeatedly recognized in Validea's Top Consumer Staples Stocks based on Warren Buffett's criteria throughout 2025 [N1][N3][N5][N7].
  • UBS maintained a sell recommendation on National Beverage (FIZZ) in December 2025 [N2].
  • Market analyses in late 2025 noted that National Beverage is oversold, with RSI alerts indicating potential undervaluation [N6][N8].
  • The company’s Q4 income increased in line with estimates as reported in July 2025 [N13].
Overview

National Beverage Corp operates in the beverage industry, producing and selling various beverage products including the Power+ Brand and carbonated soft drinks. The company’s business model involves selling products primarily on credit with payment terms typically within 30 days and offering sales incentives based on customer performance. The company manages commodity price risks through supplier pricing agreements and derivative instruments. Capital expenditures focus on expanding capacity, sustainability, and production efficiency. Liquidity is supported by cash reserves, operating cash flow, and revolving credit facilities. The company’s financial disclosures provide detailed insights into sales, margins, expenses, and liquidity metrics.

Executive summary

Financial figures (if any) are summarized from the latest available SEC filings and are provided for informational purposes only — not financial advice. National Beverage Corp reported net sales of $1,180.6 million for Fiscal 2026, with stable gross margins at 37.0%. The company’s liquidity position as of August 1, 2026, shows a current ratio of 2.39 and cash and equivalents of $107.1 million. Recent news highlights include recognition as a top consumer staples stock and a maintained sell recommendation by UBS. Risk factors remain consistent with prior disclosures, including economic and commodity price risks [S1][S2][N1][N2].

Scenarios for FIZZ

Bull case model:

The company’s stable gross margins and ability to increase average selling prices per case despite volume declines indicate pricing power. Capital investments aimed at capacity expansion and sustainability may enhance operational efficiencies. Recognition in consumer staples stock analyses suggests market interest in its brand positioning. The company’s strong liquidity and cash flow generation support financial stability and potential strategic initiatives.

Bear case model:

Declining case volumes and the impact of external factors such as government shutdowns, inflation, and cautious consumer spending pose risks to revenue growth. The competitive beverage market and sensitivity to raw material cost fluctuations may pressure margins. The maintained sell recommendation by UBS reflects market concerns. Operational risks include labor disruptions, changes in retailer support, and evolving consumer preferences. The company’s exposure to commodity price volatility and regulatory changes also present challenges.

Moat:

National Beverage Corp’s moat is supported by its established brand portfolio, including the Power+ Brand, and its ability to maintain stable gross margins despite commodity cost fluctuations. The company’s control over packaging and production efficiencies, along with its management of sales incentives and credit risk, contribute to operational resilience. Its liquidity position and access to revolving credit facilities provide financial flexibility. However, the beverage industry’s competitive environment and sensitivity to consumer preferences and commodity prices present ongoing challenges to sustaining competitive advantages.

Risks overview
Risks summary
The company faces significant risks from economic conditions, commodity price volatility, and competitive pressures that could materially affect its financial performance.
Risks details:

• Economic and Market Conditions: General economic conditions, inflation, and cautious consumer spending have impacted sales volume and may continue to affect demand.
• Commodity Price Volatility: Fluctuations in raw material and packaging costs, including aluminum and high fructose corn syrup, can affect cost of goods sold and margins.
• Competitive Environment: Pricing pressure and competition in the beverage industry may limit the company’s ability to pass on cost increases to customers.
• Operational Risks: Labor strikes, work stoppages, and disruptions in production or supply chains could impact product availability and costs.
• Regulatory and Environmental Risks: Changes in government regulations, taxes, and climate-related factors may affect operations and costs.
• Credit and Customer Risks: The company extends credit to customers and estimates credit losses based on financial condition and collectability, which may vary.

FINAL FORECAST FOR FIZZ

Final take one line
National Beverage Corp exhibits very high visibility with detailed SEC disclosures and extensive recent news coverage highlighting stable margins, liquidity strength, and market recognition alongside noted risks.
Final take 12 to 24 month view

Business trends: Stable gross margins with pricing power amid volume declines; focus on capacity expansion and sustainability investments.
Execution milestones: Maintaining liquidity and cash flow generation; managing commodity cost risks and operational efficiencies.
Key risks: Economic and commodity price volatility, competitive pressures, and operational disruptions including labor and regulatory challenges.

Valye AI Visibility Research Score

Very high visibility

Visibility score reflects the breadth and consistency of available disclosure across SEC filings, recent public reporting, and baseline business context (research-only; not investment advice).

94
LLM visibility overview
LLM Visibility known facts
  • National Beverage Corp is a beverage company with net sales of $1,180.6 million for Fiscal 2026, slightly down from $1,201.4 million in Fiscal 2025, impacted by one less selling week and a 6.7% decline in case volume affecting Power+ Brand and carbonated soft drink brands.
  • Average selling price per case increased by 5.2% in Fiscal 2026, with gross margin stable at 37.0% for both Fiscal 2026 and Fiscal 2025 despite increased packaging and ingredient costs.
  • Selling, general and administrative expenses decreased slightly to $207.2 million in Fiscal 2026 from $208.5 million in Fiscal 2025, with a slight increase as a percentage of net sales to 17.5%.
  • Other income primarily consists of interest income, which increased to $10.6 million in Fiscal 2026 from $9.3 million in Fiscal 2025 due to higher average invested balances.
  • Effective tax rates were 23.7% in Fiscal 2026 and 23.6% in Fiscal 2025, influenced by state income taxes.
  • Liquidity as of August 1, 2026 includes cash and cash equivalents of $107.1 million, current assets of $327.5 million, and current liabilities of $136.9 million, resulting in a current ratio of 2.39 and a cash ratio of 0.78.
  • The company’s net income for the quarter ended August 1, 2026 was $47.0 million with basic and diluted EPS of $0.50.
  • Fiscal 2026 cash position increased by $155.7 million compared to a decrease in Fiscal 2025, with net cash provided by operating activities of $181.3 million.
  • Capital expenditures in Fiscal 2026 were $25.1 million, focused on capacity expansion, sustainability, packaging capabilities, and production efficiency improvements.
  • The company maintains unsecured revolving credit facilities totaling $150 million with no borrowings outstanding as of May 2, 2026.
  • Working capital increased to $457.8 million at May 2, 2026, driven by increases in cash, inventory, derivative assets, and income tax receivable, partially offset by decreases in accounts payable and accrued liabilities.
  • Annual inventory turns decreased to 8.2 times from 8.7 times year-over-year.
  • The company sells products primarily on credit with payment terms generally within 30 days and offers sales incentives accrued over the period of benefit.
  • Risk factors include economic conditions, pricing competition, raw material cost fluctuations, labor disruptions, retailer support, consumer preferences, technology risks, regulatory changes, and climate-related impacts.
  • No material changes in risk factors were reported in the latest quarterly filing as of September 10, 2026.
  • Recent news includes multiple mentions as a top consumer staples stock based on Warren Buffett's criteria and a maintained sell recommendation by UBS.
  • The company was noted as oversold in several recent market analyses.
  • The latest SEC filings include a 10-K filed July 1, 2026, and a 10-Q filed September 10, 2026, providing detailed financial and operational disclosures.
Sources
Sources - Context summary

Generated 2026-09-10

Sources - Earning calls
Sources - Other context
Sources - SEC Filings
  • S1 | 2026-07-01 | 10-K
  • S2 | 2026-09-10 | 10-Q
Sources - News headlines
  • N1 | 2025-12-19 | www.nasdaq.com | Validea's Top Consumer Staples Stocks Based On Warren Buffett - 12/19/2025 | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/valideas-top-consumer-staples-stocks-based-warren-buffett-12-19-2025
  • N2 | 2025-12-06 | www.nasdaq.com | UBS Maintains National Beverage (FIZZ) Sell Recommendation | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/ubs-maintains-national-beverage-fizz-sell-recommendation
  • N3 | 2025-11-21 | www.nasdaq.com | Validea's Top Consumer Staples Stocks Based On Warren Buffett - 11/21/2025 | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/valideas-top-consumer-staples-stocks-based-warren-buffett-11-21-2025
  • N4 | 2025-10-28 | www.nasdaq.com | Sum Up The Pieces: IYY Could Be Worth $183 | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/sum-pieces-iyy-could-be-worth-183
  • N5 | 2025-10-24 | www.nasdaq.com | Validea's Top Consumer Staples Stocks Based On Warren Buffett - 10/24/2025 | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/valideas-top-consumer-staples-stocks-based-warren-buffett-10-24-2025
  • N6 | 2025-10-13 | www.nasdaq.com | National Beverage is Now Oversold (FIZZ) | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/national-beverage-now-oversold-fizz
  • N7 | 2025-09-26 | www.nasdaq.com | Validea's Top Consumer Staples Stocks Based On Warren Buffett - 9/26/2025 | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/valideas-top-consumer-staples-stocks-based-warren-buffett-9-26-2025
  • N8 | 2025-09-02 | www.nasdaq.com | RSI Alert: National Beverage (FIZZ) Now Oversold | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/rsi-alert-national-beverage-fizz-now-oversold
Important legal disclaimer

This material is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, legal or tax advice, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security. The Valye AI Score is a model-based estimate derived from public information and is subject to change without notice. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information herein. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should conduct their own research and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

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