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Company

Great Elm Capital Corp.

Ticker
GECC
Sector
Industry
Report date
November 2, 2026
Valye AI Score

93

Very high visibility
Recent developments
Recent developments summary

Recent developments highlight Great Elm Capital's Q2 2026 earnings call and financial performance, including challenges in meeting earnings and revenue benchmarks.

Recent developments:
  • Great Elm Capital reported Q2 2026 earnings and revenues that lagged expectations, reflecting operational challenges [N2].
  • The Q2 2026 earnings call provided highlights on company performance and strategic context [N1].
  • The company missed Q4 2025 earnings estimates as reported in early 2026 [N5].
  • Comparative industry peers such as Ares Management and KKR reported meeting or exceeding Q2 earnings and revenue benchmarks in mid-2026, providing sector context [N3][N4].
Overview

Great Elm Capital Corp. operates as a business development company (BDC) that invests in other investment companies and private funds, incurring acquired fund fees and expenses. The company uses leverage at levels around 143.9% of net assets with an average interest rate of 7.67%. It pays management and incentive fees and offers a dividend reinvestment plan to shareholders. The company’s net asset value per share has declined in recent periods, and it reported a net loss for the quarter ending September 30, 2026. Shares outstanding have increased over time. The company’s market price has traded at a discount to net asset value, consistent with BDC industry norms. Quarterly distributions have been declared regularly, though the source of distributions may include return of capital under certain circumstances. Recent earnings calls and reports indicate challenges in meeting earnings and revenue benchmarks.

Executive summary

Great Elm Capital Corp. is a publicly reporting business development company with detailed disclosures in its 10-K and 10-Q filings. The company employs leverage of approximately 143.9% of net assets and incurs management and incentive fees. As of September 30, 2026, it reported a net loss of $4.226 million and zero cash and equivalents. The net asset value per share declined to $8.07, with shares outstanding near 14 million. Recent earnings reports indicate the company lagged Q2 earnings and revenue expectations and missed Q4 earnings estimates. Distributions have been consistently declared quarterly. Financial figures (if any) are summarized from the latest available SEC filings and are provided for informational purposes only — not financial advice.

Scenarios for GECC

Bull case model:

The company’s leverage strategy and diversified investment portfolio provide potential for income generation and capital appreciation. Regular dividend distributions and a dividend reinvestment plan support shareholder engagement. Management’s experience and fee alignment may contribute to operational efficiency. The company’s ability to raise capital through share issuance and maintain asset coverage ratios under regulatory requirements supports ongoing operations.

Bear case model:

The company reported a net loss and declining net asset value per share in recent periods, with zero cash and equivalents reported as of September 30, 2026. Earnings and revenue performance have lagged in recent quarters, indicating operational challenges. The BDC sector’s typical discount to net asset value and regulatory constraints on distributions and leverage may limit financial flexibility. Market volatility and interest rate exposure related to leverage present risks to returns and capital preservation.

Moat:

Great Elm Capital Corp.'s moat derives from its status as a regulated business development company with access to leverage and a diversified portfolio of investments in other funds and companies. Its management expertise and fee structure align incentives with performance. The company’s ability to deploy capital through leverage and its dividend reinvestment plan provide structural advantages. However, the BDC sector typically experiences market price discounts to net asset value, reflecting inherent valuation volatility and regulatory constraints.

Risks overview
Risks summary
The primary risks for Great Elm Capital Corp. relate to its high leverage, earnings volatility, liquidity constraints, and the typical market discount to net asset value experienced by BDCs.
Risks details:

• Leverage Risk: The company employs significant leverage (approximately 143.9% of net assets), which increases financial risk and sensitivity to interest rate changes and market fluctuations [S1].
• Earnings Volatility: Recent quarters have shown net losses and earnings below expectations, indicating potential volatility in income generation [N2][N5][S2].
• Liquidity Risk: Cash and cash equivalents were reported as zero as of September 30, 2026, which may constrain the company’s ability to meet short-term obligations [S2].
• Market Discount Risk: Shares have traded at a discount to net asset value, a common characteristic of BDCs, which may affect shareholder returns and market perception [S1].
• Distribution Source Risk: Distributions may include return of capital rather than taxable income or gains, which can affect the sustainability of dividend payments [S1].

FINAL FORECAST FOR GECC

Final take one line
Great Elm Capital Corp. exhibits detailed public disclosures with recent operational challenges and typical BDC sector risks.
Final take 12 to 24 month view

Business trends: The company continues to operate as a leveraged BDC with fluctuating earnings and net asset value, facing sector-wide valuation discounts.
Execution milestones: Recent quarterly earnings calls and financial reports provide transparency on performance and strategic positioning.
Key risks: High leverage, earnings volatility, liquidity constraints, and market discount to net asset value remain primary risks.

Valye AI Visibility Research Score

Very high visibility

Visibility score reflects the breadth and consistency of available disclosure across SEC filings, recent public reporting, and baseline business context (research-only; not investment advice).

93
LLM visibility overview
LLM Visibility known facts
  • Great Elm Capital Corp. is a publicly traded company with SEC filings including a 10-K filed on 2026-03-02 and a 10-Q filed on 2026-11-02 [S1][S2].
  • The company operates as a business development company (BDC) with leverage of approximately 143.9% of average net assets at an average annual interest rate of 7.67% as of the latest filings [S1].
  • Great Elm Capital Corp. incurs management and incentive fees, including acquired fund fees and expenses related to investments in other funds, which are included in total returns but are not direct costs [S1].
  • The company has a dividend reinvestment plan allowing shareholders to reinvest dividends in additional shares unless they opt for cash [S1].
  • Distributions have been declared quarterly at $0.35 per share for several periods through 2025 and into early 2026, with some variation [S1].
  • Net asset value per share declined from $11.79 at the end of 2025 to $8.07 as of the latest period ending September 30, 2026 [S1].
  • Shares outstanding increased to approximately 13.998 million as of the latest period [S1].
  • The company reported a net loss of $4.226 million for the quarter ending September 30, 2026, with basic and diluted EPS of -$0.30 per share [S2].
  • Cash and cash equivalents were reported as zero as of September 30, 2026 [S2].
  • Recent earnings calls and reports indicate that Great Elm Capital lagged Q2 earnings and revenue estimates as of August 2026 [N2].
  • The company missed Q4 earnings estimates reported in March 2026 [N5].
  • Great Elm Capital's Q2 earnings call in August 2026 provided operational highlights and context [N1].
  • The company’s net investment income and realized gains/losses have fluctuated over recent years, with net investment income around $1.40 per share in 2025 and net realized losses impacting returns [S1].
  • The company’s market price per share has traded below net asset value per share in recent periods, consistent with typical BDC discount behavior [S1].
  • The company’s total return based on net asset value was negative 21.03% for the year ended December 31, 2025 [S1].
Sources
Sources - Context summary

Generated 2026-11-02

Sources - Earning calls
Sources - Other context
Sources - SEC Filings
  • S1 | 2026-03-02 | 10-K
  • S2 | 2026-11-02 | 10-Q
Sources - News headlines
  • N1 | 2026-08-06 | www.nasdaq.com | Great Elm Capital Group Q2 Earnings Call Highlights | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/great-elm-capital-group-q2-earnings-call-highlights
  • N2 | 2026-08-06 | www.nasdaq.com | Great Elm Capital (GECC) Lags Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/great-elm-capital-gecc-lags-q2-earnings-and-revenue-estimates
  • N3 | 2026-07-31 | www.nasdaq.com | Ares Management (ARES) Q2 Earnings Meet Estimates | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/ares-management-ares-q2-earnings-meet-estimates
  • N4 | 2026-07-30 | www.nasdaq.com | KKR & Co. Inc. (KKR) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/kkr-co-inc-kkr-q2-earnings-and-revenues-top-estimates
  • N5 | 2026-03-03 | www.nasdaq.com | Great Elm Capital (GECC) Misses Q4 Earnings Estimates | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/great-elm-capital-gecc-misses-q4-earnings-estimates
  • N6 | 2026-02-27 | www.nasdaq.com | Goldman Sachs BDC (GSBD) Surpasses Q4 Earnings Estimates | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/goldman-sachs-bdc-gsbd-surpasses-q4-earnings-estimates
  • N7 | 2026-02-12 | www.nasdaq.com | Affiliated Managers Group (AMG) Tops Q4 Earnings and Revenue Estimates | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/affiliated-managers-group-amg-tops-q4-earnings-and-revenue-estimates
  • N8 | 2026-02-11 | www.nasdaq.com | Sound Point Meridian Capital, Inc. (SPMC) Misses Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/sound-point-meridian-capital-inc-spmc-misses-q3-earnings-and-revenue-estimates
Important legal disclaimer

This material is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, legal or tax advice, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security. The Valye AI Score is a model-based estimate derived from public information and is subject to change without notice. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information herein. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should conduct their own research and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

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