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Company

MGIC INVESTMENT CORP

Ticker
MTG
Sector
Industry
Report date
July 30, 2026
Valye AI Score

94

Very high visibility
Recent developments
Recent developments summary

Recent news highlights MGIC's Q2 2026 earnings with strong profitability and ongoing growth in its mortgage insurance business, alongside industry peers showing similar trends.

Recent developments:
  • MGIC reported Q2 2026 earnings with revenues of $295.4 million and net income of $182.1 million, reflecting strong operational performance [N1][N2].
  • The company's mortgage insurance business continues to drive growth and profitability, supported by reinsurance and risk management strategies [N4].
  • Industry peers such as Radian and NMI Holdings also reported growth and profitability in mortgage insurance, indicating sector-wide trends [N3][N5].
  • MGIC's stock has experienced volatility around earnings reports, with some declines noted post-earnings and recoveries thereafter [N6][N8].
Overview

MGIC Investment Corp is a Wisconsin-based holding company specializing in private mortgage insurance and mortgage credit risk management solutions through its subsidiaries. It operates nationwide across all U.S. states and territories. The company plays a key role in facilitating low down payment mortgages by providing credit enhancement that enables lenders to sell loans to government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. MGIC's business model depends on underwriting mortgage insurance policies, managing risk through reinsurance programs, and maintaining regulatory capital requirements. The company is subject to extensive regulation by state insurance departments and must comply with GSE eligibility standards. MGIC's financial performance is sensitive to macroeconomic conditions affecting the housing market, including home prices, interest rates, and employment levels. The company reported $1.2 billion in revenues for 2025 and maintains a strong capital base and financial strength ratings [S1][S2].

Executive summary

Financial figures (if any) are summarized from the latest available SEC filings and are provided for informational purposes only — not financial advice. MGIC Investment Corp operates as a holding company providing private mortgage insurance and related risk management solutions primarily in the U.S. The company reported $295.4 million in revenue and $182.1 million in net income for Q2 2026, with strong capital and liquidity positions. MGIC's business is closely tied to the U.S. housing finance system and government-sponsored enterprises, with regulatory compliance and macroeconomic factors materially impacting its operations and financial results [S1][S2][N1][N2].

Scenarios for MTG

Bull case model:

MGIC benefits from its comprehensive nationwide licensing and strong compliance with GSE requirements, supporting its ability to write new insurance across all U.S. markets. The company's reinsurance programs and capital management strategies enhance financial strength and flexibility. Recent upgrades in financial strength ratings by Moody's and positive outlooks from S&P reflect confidence in MGIC's risk management and capital adequacy. The mortgage insurance industry plays a critical role in enabling low down payment home financing, which supports demand for MGIC's products. MGIC's focus on digital innovation and customer experience may improve operational efficiency and competitive positioning [S1][N4].

Bear case model:

MGIC faces risks from macroeconomic factors such as recession, rising unemployment, and declining home prices, which can increase loan delinquencies and insurance claims, adversely affecting profitability. Changes in GSE business practices, regulatory reforms, or shifts in mortgage credit standards could reduce MGIC's new insurance written or increase capital requirements. Competition from government-backed mortgage insurance programs and alternative credit risk mitigation techniques may pressure pricing and market share. Regulatory changes, including adoption of revised model acts, could impose additional capital or operational requirements. The timing and impact of potential GSE reforms remain uncertain, adding to business risk [S1][S2].

Moat:

MGIC's moat derives from its established position as a leading private mortgage insurer licensed across all U.S. states and territories, its compliance with stringent GSE eligibility requirements, and its extensive reinsurance arrangements that diversify risk and capital sources. The company's longstanding relationships with GSEs and lenders, combined with regulatory barriers to entry and the complexity of mortgage insurance underwriting, create significant competitive advantages. Additionally, MGIC's focus on digital and analytical capabilities and customer experience aims to differentiate it within a competitive industry. However, the business remains exposed to macroeconomic cycles and regulatory changes that can impact mortgage origination volumes and credit performance [S1].

Risks overview
Risks summary
MGIC's biggest risks stem from macroeconomic fluctuations impacting mortgage credit performance and potential regulatory or GSE policy changes that could materially affect its business model and financial condition.
Risks details:

• Macroeconomic Sensitivity: MGIC's financial results are sensitive to economic downturns, unemployment, home price declines, and other housing market factors that affect borrower credit performance and mortgage default rates [S1].
• Regulatory and GSE Changes: Changes in government-sponsored enterprises' business practices, eligibility requirements, or federal legislation could reduce MGIC's revenues or increase losses. Regulatory reforms may impose higher capital or operational burdens [S1].
• Competitive Pressure: MGIC competes with government-backed mortgage insurance programs and alternative credit risk mitigation methods, which may impact market share and pricing [S1].
• Operational Risks: MGIC must maintain compliance with complex insurance regulations and manage reinsurance arrangements effectively to sustain financial strength and capital flexibility [S1].

FINAL FORECAST FOR MTG

Final take one line
MGIC Investment Corp operates a well-established private mortgage insurance business with strong regulatory compliance and financial strength, influenced by macroeconomic and regulatory factors.
Final take 12 to 24 month view

Business trends: Continued focus on mortgage credit risk management, digital capabilities, and customer experience amid evolving housing finance environment.
Execution milestones: Maintaining compliance with GSE eligibility requirements, expanding reinsurance programs, and sustaining financial strength ratings.
Key risks: Macroeconomic volatility affecting mortgage defaults, regulatory and GSE policy changes, and competitive pressures from government-backed programs and alternative credit risk solutions.

Valye AI Visibility Research Score

Very high visibility

Visibility score reflects the breadth and consistency of available disclosure across SEC filings, recent public reporting, and baseline business context (research-only; not investment advice).

94
LLM visibility overview
LLM Visibility known facts
  • MGIC Investment Corp is a holding company providing private mortgage insurance and mortgage credit risk management solutions through wholly-owned subsidiaries [S1].
  • In 2025, MGIC reported total revenues of $1.2 billion and primary new insurance written (NIW) of $60.2 billion [S1].
  • As of December 31, 2025, MGIC's direct primary insurance in force (IIF) was $303.1 billion and risk in force (RIF) was $81.2 billion [S1].
  • MGIC's principal mortgage insurance subsidiary is licensed in all 50 U.S. states, DC, Puerto Rico, and Guam, and wrote new insurance in all these jurisdictions in 2025 [S1].
  • MGIC's business strategies include maximizing value through mortgage credit enhancement, differentiating customer experience, advancing digital and analytical capabilities, managing mortgage credit risk and capital, maintaining financial strength, and talent retention [S1].
  • MGIC earned $738 million net income in 2025 ($3.14 per diluted share), paid $800 million in dividends to the holding company, and repurchased 12% of shares outstanding at the start of the year [S1].
  • MGIC's financial strength rating was upgraded by Moody's from A3 to A2 and S&P revised its outlook to positive from stable [S1].
  • MGIC expanded its reinsurance program in 2025 to protect against losses and diversify capital sources [S1].
  • The private mortgage insurance industry is heavily influenced by the business practices and requirements of the government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which purchase most loans insured by MGIC [S1].
  • MGIC complies with the GSEs' private mortgage insurer eligibility requirements (PMIERs) and is eligible to insure loans purchased by the GSEs [S1].
  • The mortgage insurance industry is sensitive to macroeconomic factors such as recession, unemployment, home prices, interest rates, and household formation rates, which affect loan originations and credit performance [S1].
  • MGIC competes with government-backed mortgage insurance programs (FHA, VA, USDA) and alternative credit risk mitigation techniques [S1].
  • MGIC is subject to comprehensive regulation by state insurance departments and must maintain minimum statutory capital relative to risk in force [S1].
  • MGIC reported Q2 2026 revenues of $295.4 million and net income of $182.1 million, with basic EPS of $0.87 and diluted EPS of $0.86 as of June 30, 2026 [S2].
  • MGIC had cash and cash equivalents of $207.3 million as of June 30, 2026 [S2].
  • Recent news highlights MGIC's mortgage insurance business driving growth and profitability, with Q2 2026 earnings reported positively [N1][N2][N4].
  • MGIC's mortgage insurance business is part of a competitive industry with other players like Radian and NMI Holdings also showing growth and profitability [N3][N5].
  • MGIC's stock performance has shown volatility around earnings reports, with some declines and recoveries noted in recent months [N6][N8].
Sources
Sources - Context summary

Generated 2026-07-30

Sources - Earning calls
Sources - Other context
Sources - SEC Filings
  • S1 | 2026-02-25 | 10-K
  • S2 | 2026-07-29 | 10-Q
Sources - News headlines
  • N1 | 2026-07-30 | www.nasdaq.com | MGIC (MTG) Reports Q2 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/mgic-mtg-reports-q2-earnings-what-key-metrics-have-say
  • N2 | 2026-07-29 | www.nasdaq.com | MGIC Investment (MTG) Q2 Earnings Beat Estimates | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/mgic-investment-mtg-q2-earnings-beat-estimates
  • N3 | 2026-07-01 | www.nasdaq.com | Radian's Mortgage Insurance Fuels Recurring Revenues & Profitability | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/radians-mortgage-insurance-fuels-recurring-revenues-profitability
  • N4 | 2026-07-01 | www.nasdaq.com | MGIC Investment's Mortgage Insurance Drives Growth and Profitability | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/mgic-investments-mortgage-insurance-drives-growth-and-profitability
  • N5 | 2026-06-30 | www.nasdaq.com | NMI Holdings' Mortgage Insurance Drives Growth and Profitability | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/nmi-holdings-mortgage-insurance-drives-growth-and-profitability
  • N6 | 2026-05-29 | www.nasdaq.com | Why Is MGIC (MTG) Down 3.7% Since Last Earnings Report? | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/why-mgic-mtg-down-37-last-earnings-report
  • N7 | 2026-05-07 | www.nasdaq.com | Radian Q1 Earnings & Revenues Top Estimates, Premiums Rise Y/Y | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/radian-q1-earnings-revenues-top-estimates-premiums-rise-y-y
  • N8 | 2026-04-22 | www.nasdaq.com | MGIC (MTG) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/mgic-mtg-q3-2024-earnings-call-transcript
Important legal disclaimer

This material is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, legal or tax advice, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security. The Valye AI Score is a model-based estimate derived from public information and is subject to change without notice. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information herein. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should conduct their own research and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

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