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Company

NATHANS FAMOUS, INC.

Ticker
NATH
Sector
Industry
Report date
August 7, 2026
Valye AI Score

100

Very high visibility
Recent developments
Recent developments summary

Recent developments include the announcement of a drop in Q4 profit, the pending merger agreement with Smithfield Foods for a $450 million cash buyout, and an upcoming ex-dividend date. The company has experienced revenue growth driven by pricing and volume increases in its Branded Product Program, offset by declines in franchise fees and Company-owned restaurant sales.

Recent developments:
  • Nathan's Famous announced a drop in Q4 profit reflecting softer results [N2].
  • The company entered into a merger agreement with Smithfield Foods for a $450 million cash buyout, pending regulatory and shareholder approvals [N3][N7].
  • Nathan's Famous stock is set to go ex-dividend soon [N1].
Overview

Nathan's Famous, Inc. is primarily engaged in marketing the Nathan's Famous brand and selling products bearing its trademarks through multiple channels. The company operates and franchises quick-service restaurants featuring its signature beef hot dogs and other menu items. It also sells packaged products through supermarkets and foodservice operators under licensing and branded product programs. The restaurant system includes Company-owned and franchised locations, including virtual kitchens, across the United States and internationally. The company focuses on expanding distribution and market penetration across its business platforms. Revenues are mainly derived from the Licensing Program, Branded Product Program, Company-owned restaurants, and franchise royalties. The company faces inflationary pressures on commodity prices and labor costs, competitive labor market challenges, and regulatory impacts such as minimum wage increases. Nathan's is in the process of being acquired by Smithfield Foods, which will result in it becoming a wholly owned subsidiary and ceasing to be publicly traded upon completion of the merger.

Executive summary

Nathan's Famous, Inc. operates quick-service restaurants and sells branded food products primarily under the Nathan's Famous trademark. The company generates revenue through its Licensing Program, Branded Product Program, Company-owned and franchised restaurants, and licensing agreements. As of June 28, 2026, the restaurant system included 223 locations across 19 states and 11 countries. The company reported a 15% revenue increase in the thirteen weeks ended June 28, 2026, driven by pricing and volume growth in the Branded Product Program, partially offset by declines in franchise fees and Company-owned restaurant sales. Net income was $8.83 million with EBITDA of $13.0 million. The company is subject to inflationary pressures on commodity and labor costs and is dependent on Smithfield Foods, Inc. as its principal supplier and licensing partner. Nathan's entered into a merger agreement with Smithfield Foods in January 2026 for a $450 million cash buyout, pending regulatory and shareholder approvals. Financial figures (if any) are summarized from the latest available SEC filings and are provided for informational purposes only — not financial advice.

Scenarios for NATH

Bull case model:

Nathan's Famous has demonstrated revenue growth driven by pricing actions and volume increases in its Branded Product Program, which is a significant contributor to overall revenues and profits. The company's diversified business model across licensing, branded products, and franchised restaurants supports multiple revenue streams. The pending merger with Smithfield Foods could provide operational synergies and access to broader resources. The company's liquidity position with a strong current ratio and cash reserves supports ongoing operations and strategic initiatives. The brand's long-standing recognition and presence in multiple states and countries provide a platform for continued market penetration and expansion.

Bear case model:

The company faces risks from inflationary pressures on commodity prices, especially beef and beef trimmings, and rising labor costs, which have negatively impacted earnings. Competitive labor market conditions and regulatory changes such as minimum wage increases pose challenges to cost management and franchisee profitability. The company's dependence on Smithfield Foods as principal supplier and licensing partner creates concentration risk. The merger completion is subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals, with potential delays or failure impacting business continuity. Seasonal fluctuations and economic conditions can affect sales patterns, and the company may face challenges in maintaining or growing its franchise system amid these pressures.

Moat:

Nathan's Famous benefits from a well-established brand with a long history dating back to 1916, recognized for its signature beef hot dogs and quick-service restaurant presence. The company's multi-channel distribution model, including licensing agreements, branded product sales, and franchised restaurants, provides diversified revenue streams. Its strategic partnerships, notably with Smithfield Foods as principal supplier and licensing partner, support product quality and supply chain stability. The company's franchise system and branded product programs enable market penetration beyond Company-owned locations, leveraging brand recognition and proprietary products. However, the company faces competitive pressures in labor and commodity markets, and its profitability is sensitive to inflationary cost pressures and regulatory changes affecting labor costs.

Risks overview
Risks summary
The primary risks include the uncertainty around the merger completion, inflationary pressures on commodity and labor costs, and dependence on Smithfield Foods as a key supplier and licensing partner.
Risks details:

• Merger Completion Risk: The merger with Smithfield Foods is contingent on stockholder approval, regulatory clearances including CFIUS, and other closing conditions. Failure or delay in completion could impact business operations and stockholder value.
• Inflationary and Commodity Price Risks: Inflationary pressures on beef, beef trimmings, and other commodities, as well as rising labor costs, have negatively impacted earnings and may continue to do so, affecting profitability.
• Labor Market and Regulatory Risks: Increased minimum wages and labor demand have raised labor costs and created challenges in staffing Company-owned and franchised restaurants, potentially impacting margins and franchisee viability.
• Supply Chain and Concentration Risks: Dependence on Smithfield Foods as principal supplier and licensing partner creates concentration risk. Supply constraints or disruptions could adversely affect product availability and costs.
• Seasonality and Economic Sensitivity: Sales and earnings are subject to seasonal fluctuations influenced by weather and economic conditions, which may affect quarterly and annual performance variability.

FINAL FORECAST FOR NATH

Final take one line
Nathan's Famous operates a diversified branded food and restaurant business with strong visibility into its licensing and product programs, currently undergoing a merger process with Smithfield Foods amid inflationary and labor cost pressures.
Final take 12 to 24 month view

Business trends: Growth driven by licensing and branded product programs, with pricing and volume increases offsetting some declines in franchise and Company-owned restaurant sales.
Execution milestones: Completion of merger with Smithfield Foods pending regulatory and shareholder approvals; ongoing management of inflationary cost pressures and labor market challenges.
Key risks: Merger completion uncertainty, inflation and commodity price volatility, labor cost and staffing challenges, supplier concentration risk, and seasonal sales variability.

Valye AI Visibility Research Score

Very high visibility

Visibility score reflects the breadth and consistency of available disclosure across SEC filings, recent public reporting, and baseline business context (research-only; not investment advice).

100
LLM visibility overview
LLM Visibility known facts
  • Nathan's Famous, Inc. operates primarily in marketing the 'Nathan's Famous' brand and selling products bearing its trademarks through multiple distribution channels including quick-service restaurants and product licensing programs [S2].
  • The company operates and franchises quick-service restaurants featuring Nathan's World Famous Beef Hot Dogs, crinkle-cut French fries, and other menu items under the 'Nathan's Famous' name, originating from its original Coney Island restaurant opened in 1916 [S2].
  • Nathan's Product Licensing Program sells packaged hot dogs, frozen crinkle-cut French fries, and other products to retail customers through supermarkets, grocery channels, and club stores for off-site consumption [S2].
  • The Branded Product Program allows foodservice retailers and others to sell Nathan's proprietary products outside traditional franchise relationships, granting limited trademark use for certain products [S2].
  • The Branded Menu Program is a limited franchise program enabling foodservice operators to sell a broader variety of Nathan's menu items than under the Branded Product Program [S2].
  • As of June 28, 2026, the restaurant system (excluding virtual kitchens) consisted of 223 locations: 111 Branded Menu Program locations, 4 Company-owned restaurants (including one seasonal unit), across 19 states and 11 foreign countries [S2].
  • At June 29, 2025, the system had 225 locations, including 115 Branded Menu Program locations, 4 Company-owned restaurants, in 19 states and 12 foreign countries [S2].
  • The company focuses on expanding market penetration by increasing distribution points across Licensing, Branded Products, and restaurant systems including virtual kitchens [S2].
  • The Licensing and Branded Product Programs are the largest contributors to revenues and profits [S2].
  • Company-owned restaurants are not expected to increase significantly but may be strategically added as showcase locations for franchise growth [S2].
  • The company is dependent on Smithfield Foods, Inc. as its principal supplier and for licensing revenue and profitability under its agreement with Smithfield Foods [S2].
  • The company faces inflationary pressures on commodity prices, especially beef and beef trimmings, and rising labor costs, which have negatively impacted earnings in fiscal 2027 [S2].
  • The company has taken pricing actions in the Branded Product Program and increased license royalties, partially offset by lower franchise fees and Company-owned restaurant revenues [S2].
  • For the thirteen weeks ended June 28, 2026, total revenues increased approximately 15% to $54.1 million compared to $47.0 million in the prior year period, driven by pricing and volume increases in the Branded Product Program [S2].
  • Foodservice sales from the Branded Product Program increased about 20% to $35.0 million, with volume up 8% and average selling price up 17% compared to the prior year period [S2].
  • Company-owned restaurant sales decreased about 1% to $3.95 million, impacted by a 1% decline in average check [S2].
  • License royalties increased approximately 10% to $13.6 million compared to the prior year period [S2].
  • Net income for the thirteen weeks ended June 28, 2026 was $8.83 million with basic EPS of $2.16 and diluted EPS of $2.14 [S2].
  • EBITDA for the period was $13.0 million and Adjusted EBITDA was $13.6 million, including transaction costs related to the merger agreement and share-based compensation [S2].
  • Liquidity as of June 28, 2026 included cash and equivalents of $24.7 million, current assets of $58.8 million, current liabilities of $24.0 million, with a current ratio of 2.45 and cash ratio of 1.03 [S2].
  • The company entered into a merger agreement with Smithfield Foods, Inc. on January 20, 2026, for a $450 million cash buyout, subject to stockholder approval and regulatory clearances [S1][S2][N3][N7].
  • Completion of the merger is contingent on approval by a majority of Nathan's stockholders, clearance from the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS), and other closing conditions [S2].
  • Post-merger, Nathan's Famous will become a wholly owned subsidiary of Smithfield Foods and cease to be publicly traded [S1][S2].
  • The company faces risks from inflationary pressures on commodity and labor costs, supply chain constraints, competitive pressures, and regulatory changes including minimum wage increases in New York State [S2][S11][S12].
  • Seasonality affects the business with higher sales in the first two fiscal quarters and slower sales in the fourth quarter, influenced by weather and economic conditions [S2][S13].
  • The company has experienced competitive pressure on labor rates and challenges retaining adequate staffing levels at Company-owned and franchised restaurants [S11][S12].
  • The company has a board of directors with experienced members including the CEO Eric Gatoff and Executive Chairman Howard M. Lorber [S1].
  • Recent news highlights include the announcement of a drop in Q4 profit, the pending merger with Smithfield Foods, and an upcoming ex-dividend date [N1][N2][N3][N7].
Sources
Sources - Context summary

Generated 2026-08-07

Sources - Earning calls
Sources - Other context
Sources - SEC Filings
  • S1 | 2026-07-24 | 10-K/A
  • S2 | 2026-08-07 | 10-Q
Sources - News headlines
  • N1 | 2026-06-18 | www.nasdaq.com | Reminder - Nathan's Famous (NATH) Goes Ex-Dividend Soon | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/reminder-nathans-famous-nath-goes-ex-dividend-soon
  • N2 | 2026-06-09 | www.nasdaq.com | NATHAN'S FAMOUS IN Announces Drop In Q4 Profit | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/nathans-famous-announces-drop-q4-profit
  • N3 | 2026-01-25 | www.nasdaq.com | The Hot Dog Hedge: Smithfield Acquires Nathan’s Famous | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/hot-dog-hedge-smithfield-acquires-nathans-famous
  • N4 | 2026-01-22 | www.nasdaq.com | Stocks Settle Sharply Higher as President Trump Claims Deal on Greenland | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/stocks-settle-sharply-higher-president-trump-claims-deal-greenland
  • N5 | 2026-01-22 | www.nasdaq.com | Stocks Rebound as President Trump Eases Rhetoric on Greenland | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/stocks-rebound-president-trump-eases-rhetoric-greenland
  • N6 | 2026-01-22 | www.nasdaq.com | Stocks Rally as Greenland Tensions Ease | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/stocks-rally-greenland-tensions-ease
  • N7 | 2026-01-21 | www.nasdaq.com | Smithfield Foods Reveals $450 Million Cash Buyout Of Nathans Famous | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/smithfield-foods-reveals-450-million-cash-buyout-nathans-famous
  • N8 | 2026-01-19 | www.nasdaq.com | Rave Restaurant Gains 14% in 3 Months: How to Play the Stock? | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/rave-restaurant-gains-14-3-months-how-play-stock
Important legal disclaimer

This material is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, legal or tax advice, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security. The Valye AI Score is a model-based estimate derived from public information and is subject to change without notice. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information herein. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should conduct their own research and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

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