Black checkmark with a sparkle and a curved line underneath on a white background.
Company

NextDecade Corp

Ticker
Sector
Industry
Report date
May 2, 2026
Valye AI Score

100

Very high visibility
Recent developments
Recent developments summary

Recent news highlights include insider buying activity, advances in construction of Train 6, and stock price movements linked to sector leadership and earnings expectations.

Recent developments:
  • NextDecade's stock price experienced notable jumps and surges in early 2026, reflecting market interest and sector momentum [N1][N3].
  • Insider buying was reported on March 26, 2026, indicating confidence from company insiders [N4].
  • The company advanced construction on Train 6, marking a new phase in LNG expansion as of November 2025 [N7].
  • NextDecade was highlighted among top oils and energy stocks set to beat earnings, indicating positive market sentiment [N2][N6].
  • Sector leadership in oil and gas exploration and production stocks included NextDecade in March 2026 [N5].
Overview

NextDecade Corporation operates in the liquefied natural gas (LNG) sector, primarily engaged in the construction and development of the Rio Grande LNG Facility near Brownsville, Texas. The facility is designed to liquefy natural gas for export, with five liquefaction trains currently under construction and plans for three additional trains. The company has secured long-term LNG sale and purchase agreements with multiple counterparties, covering a significant portion of the initial production capacity. Construction is managed under lump-sum turnkey contracts with Bechtel Energy Inc., which guarantees cost, performance, and schedule. NextDecade is also exploring carbon capture and storage (CCS) projects at the facility. The company faces competition from larger and more established LNG producers and is managing substantial project-related indebtedness. As of the latest quarter, the company reported no revenue and a net loss, reflecting its development-stage status.

Executive summary

NextDecade Corporation is focused on constructing and developing the Rio Grande LNG Facility in Texas, which includes five liquefaction trains under construction and plans for three additional expansion trains. The company has secured long-term LNG sale agreements covering most of the initial capacity and has engaged Bechtel under lump-sum turnkey contracts for construction. Financially, as of March 31, 2026, NextDecade reported no revenue and a net loss of $195 million for the quarter, with liquidity ratios indicating current liabilities exceed current assets. The company faces competitive pressures and substantial indebtedness related to project financing. Financial figures (if any) are summarized from the latest available SEC filings and are provided for informational purposes only — not financial advice.

Scenarios for NEXT

Bull case model:

NextDecade's progress in constructing multiple liquefaction trains and securing long-term LNG sale agreements demonstrates execution capability in a capital-intensive industry. The company's strategic location and access to natural gas feedstock provide a foundation for competitive LNG production. Expansion plans for additional trains and exploration of CCS projects indicate potential for capacity growth and diversification. The fully wrapped EPC contracts with Bechtel reduce construction risk and provide cost and schedule certainty. Insider buying activity and positive sector news reflect market interest in the company's prospects [N4][N8].

Bear case model:

NextDecade faces significant financial risks due to substantial indebtedness and current liquidity ratios below 1, indicating potential challenges in meeting short-term obligations. The company has not yet generated revenue and reported a net loss in the latest quarter, consistent with its development stage. Competition from larger, more established LNG producers with greater resources may limit market share and pricing power. Regulatory and permitting risks remain, particularly for expansion trains and CCS projects. Market volatility and LNG demand fluctuations could impact the company's ability to secure additional financing and commercial agreements.

Moat:

NextDecade's competitive advantages include its strategic location near abundant natural gas reserves in the Permian Basin and Eagle Ford Shale, access to an uncongested waterway for LNG shipping, and long-term land leases at the Rio Grande LNG Facility. The company has secured long-term LNG sale agreements with creditworthy counterparties, providing revenue visibility upon commencement of operations. Its use of established liquefaction technology and fully wrapped EPC contracts with Bechtel mitigate construction and operational risks. However, the LNG market is highly competitive, with many competitors possessing greater financial, technical, and marketing resources, which may challenge NextDecade's market position.

Risks overview
Risks summary
The company's substantial indebtedness combined with liquidity constraints and competitive pressures represent the most significant risks to its business and financial condition.
Risks details:

• Substantial Indebtedness and Liquidity Constraints: The company has incurred significant debt to finance construction, resulting in liquidity ratios below 1, which may affect its ability to meet obligations and comply with debt covenants.
• Competition: NextDecade operates in a highly competitive LNG market with competitors possessing greater financial, technical, and marketing resources.
• Regulatory and Permitting Risks: Expansion projects and CCS initiatives require additional permits and approvals, which may face delays or challenges.
• Market and Customer Risks: The company's revenue depends on counterparties' performance under long-term LNG sale agreements and market demand for LNG.
• Operational Risks: Construction and commissioning of large-scale LNG facilities involve risks related to cost overruns, delays, and technological challenges despite EPC contracts.

FINAL FORECAST FOR NEXT

Final take one line
NextDecade is a development-stage LNG company with substantial project activity and secured long-term contracts, facing execution and financial risks amid competitive pressures.
Final take 12 to 24 month view

Business trends: Continued construction and development of Rio Grande LNG Facility trains, advancement of expansion permits, and exploration of CCS projects.
Execution milestones: Completion of Phase 1, Train 4 and Train 5 construction, securing long-term LNG sale agreements, and advancing permitting for Trains 6-8.
Key risks: Substantial indebtedness and liquidity constraints, competitive market pressures, regulatory and permitting uncertainties, and reliance on counterparties' performance under long-term contracts.

Valye AI Visibility Research Score

Very high visibility

Visibility score reflects the breadth and consistency of available disclosure across SEC filings, recent public reporting, and baseline business context (research-only; not investment advice).

100
LLM visibility overview
LLM Visibility known facts
  • NextDecade Corporation is a Houston-based energy company primarily engaged in construction and development activities related to liquefaction of natural gas and sale of LNG, focused on the Rio Grande LNG Facility near Brownsville, Texas [S1].
  • The Rio Grande LNG Facility site covers approximately 1,000 acres with 15,000 feet of frontage on the Brownsville Ship Channel, leased long-term [S1].
  • The company is constructing five liquefaction trains (Phase 1, Train 4, and Train 5) at the Rio Grande LNG Facility, with construction commenced between July 2023 and October 2025 [S1].
  • The combined capacity of these five trains is approximately 30 million tonnes per annum (MTPA) of LNG [S1].
  • NextDecade has entered into long-term LNG Sale and Purchase Agreements (SPAs) with 14 creditworthy counterparties for approximately 25.3 MTPA of LNG from Trains 1 through 5, with a weighted average term of 19.5 years [S1].
  • Approximately 23.75 MTPA of the SPAs are linked to Henry Hub pricing, with average fixed fees totaling about $3.0 billion annually, unadjusted for inflation [S1].
  • The company markets uncontracted LNG volumes through spot, short-term, and medium-term agreements and has entered into time charter agreements for LNG shipping capacity [S1].
  • Engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) contracts for Phase 1, Train 4, and Train 5 are fully wrapped, lump-sum turnkey contracts with Bechtel Energy Inc., which guarantees cost, performance, and schedule [S1].
  • Total expected capital costs are approximately $18.0 billion for Phase 1, $6.7 billion for Train 4, and $6.7 billion for Train 5, including EPC costs, owner's costs, contingencies, and financing costs [S1].
  • NextDecade is developing and advancing permitting for expansion Trains 6 through 8, which are wholly owned and cumulatively expected to add about 18 MTPA of liquefaction capacity [S1].
  • Train 6 is being developed inside the existing levee adjacent to Trains 1 through 5, with pre-filing initiated with FERC in November 2025 and a full application planned for mid-2026 [S1].
  • The company is exploring a potential carbon capture and storage (CCS) project at the Rio Grande LNG Facility but has not yet entered into definitive commercial arrangements for CCS [S1].
  • NextDecade has obtained all major permits required to build and export LNG from the first five trains, including FERC approval and Department of Energy export authorizations [S1].
  • The company had 360 full-time employees as of December 31, 2025, with no collective bargaining agreements [S1].
  • NextDecade's common stock trades on Nasdaq under the symbol 'NEXT' [S1].
  • As of March 31, 2026, NextDecade reported cash and cash equivalents of $143.12 million, current assets of $487.52 million, and current liabilities of $1.214 billion, resulting in a current ratio of 0.4 and a cash ratio of 0.12 [S2].
  • The company reported zero revenue and a net loss of $195.04 million for the quarter ended March 31, 2026, with basic and diluted EPS of -$0.51 per share [S2].
  • NextDecade's subsidiaries have incurred substantial indebtedness to finance construction, which may affect cash flow and compliance with debt covenants [S1].
  • The company faces intense competition from independent, state-owned, and other oil and natural gas companies with greater resources and longer operating histories [S1].
  • Recent news highlights include insider buying reports, advances in Train 6 construction, and stock price movements linked to sector leadership and earnings expectations [N1][N2][N3][N4][N5][N6][N7][N8].
Sources
Sources - Context summary

Generated 2026-05-02

Sources - Earning calls
Sources - Other context
Sources - SEC Filings
  • S1 | 2026-02-27 | 10-K
  • S2 | 2026-04-30 | 10-Q
Sources - News headlines
  • N1 | 2026-04-03 | www.nasdaq.com | Why NextDecade Stock Jumped Today | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/why-nextdecade-stock-jumped-today
  • N2 | 2026-04-02 | www.nasdaq.com | How to Boost Your Portfolio with Top Oils and Energy Stocks Set to Beat Earnings | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/how-boost-your-portfolio-top-oils-and-energy-stocks-set-beat-earnings-9
  • N3 | 2026-03-26 | www.nasdaq.com | Why NextDecade Stock Surged Today | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/why-nextdecade-stock-surged-today
  • N4 | 2026-03-26 | www.nasdaq.com | Thursday 3/26 Insider Buying Report: BORR, NEXT | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/thursday-3-26-insider-buying-report-borr-next
  • N5 | 2026-03-19 | www.nasdaq.com | Thursday Sector Leaders: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production, Rental, Leasing, & Royalty Stocks | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/thursday-sector-leaders-oil-gas-exploration-production-rental-leasing-royalty-stocks
  • N6 | 2026-02-17 | www.nasdaq.com | How to Boost Your Portfolio with Top Oils and Energy Stocks Set to Beat Earnings | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/how-boost-your-portfolio-top-oils-and-energy-stocks-set-beat-earnings-2
  • N7 | 2026-01-25 | www.nasdaq.com | The 2026 LNG Wave: A Cash Cow Winner and A 10X Growth Opportunity | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/2026-lng-wave-cash-cow-winner-and-10x-growth-opportunity
  • N8 | 2025-12-15 | www.nasdaq.com | Insiders Buy Natural Gas Stocks: 2 for the Watchlist | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/insiders-buy-natural-gas-stocks-2-watchlist
Important legal disclaimer

This material is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, legal or tax advice, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security. The Valye AI Score is a model-based estimate derived from public information and is subject to change without notice. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information herein. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should conduct their own research and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

Blue logo with a stylized checkmark and star above the blue text 'VALYE' on a black background.

Generated by Valye SEC Pipeline Engine