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Company

NATIONAL GRID PLC

Ticker
NGG
Sector
Industry
Report date
June 3, 2026
Valye AI Score

100

Very high visibility
Recent developments
Recent developments summary

Recent developments highlight National Grid's financial performance, strategic outlook, and market positioning through earnings calls and profit announcements.

Recent developments:
  • National Grid held its H2 earnings call in May 2026, discussing operational and financial results [N2].
  • The company reported a rise in FY26 profit and indicated earnings growth for FY27, endorsing a five-year financial framework [N3].
  • National Grid is recognized for its role in powering future AI energy demands alongside renewable energy initiatives [N7].
  • Recent analysis compares National Grid's value proposition against peers in the energy sector [N1].
  • Shares of National Grid were noted as oversold in March 2026, reflecting market sentiment [N4].
Overview

National Grid plc operates as a major energy infrastructure utility primarily in the United Kingdom and the United States. Its core business involves the transmission and distribution of electricity and gas, serving millions of customers. The company invests heavily in capital projects to maintain and upgrade its networks, with capital expenditures totaling £11.549 billion in fiscal 2025/26. National Grid emphasizes responsible tax practices and transparent governance, with oversight by its Audit & Risk Committee and executive management. The company manages pension obligations actively and maintains a dividend policy targeting growth in line with UK inflation. It employs over 33,000 people and contributes significantly to public finances through taxes borne and collected. Institutional investors such as BlackRock hold substantial stakes in the company.

Executive summary

Financial figures (if any) are summarized from the latest available SEC filings and are provided for informational purposes only — not financial advice. National Grid plc is a UK-based utility company with significant operations in the UK and US, focusing on electricity and gas transmission and distribution. The company reported Q2 2026 revenue of £7.065 billion and net income of £618 million, with liquidity ratios near parity as of September 30, 2025. National Grid maintains a responsible tax strategy with detailed country-level disclosures and significant capital expenditures of £11.549 billion in fiscal 2025/26. The Board recommended a dividend increase aligned with inflation. Recent news highlights include profit growth and a five-year financial framework endorsement [S1][S2][N2][N3].

Scenarios for NGG

Bull case model:

National Grid benefits from its essential role in energy infrastructure, with steady cash flows supported by regulated returns. Its significant capital expenditure program underpins network reliability and modernization, positioning it to support the energy transition and emerging demands such as AI-related energy consumption. The company's disciplined tax strategy and strong governance enhance stakeholder trust. Dividend growth aligned with inflation supports shareholder income. Institutional ownership and positive earnings developments reflect confidence in its business model [N3][N2][N7].

Bear case model:

National Grid faces risks from regulatory changes that could impact allowed returns or capital recovery. The capital-intensive nature of the business requires sustained investment, which may pressure liquidity and cash flows, especially given liquidity ratios near parity. Tax policy changes or adverse rulings could affect effective tax rates and cash taxes paid. Pension obligations and demographic assumptions pose actuarial risks. Market and operational risks include energy demand fluctuations and infrastructure failures. Competition from alternative energy solutions and evolving technology may challenge traditional utility models.

Moat:

National Grid's moat derives from its ownership and operation of critical energy infrastructure assets in regulated markets in the UK and US. The capital-intensive nature of its business, regulatory frameworks, and long-term contracts create high barriers to entry for competitors. Its extensive transmission and distribution networks are essential for energy delivery, providing a stable and predictable revenue base. The company's scale, regulatory relationships, and ongoing investments in infrastructure modernization further reinforce its competitive position.

Risks overview
Risks summary
Regulatory changes and capital expenditure demands represent the most significant risks to National Grid's financial and operational stability.
Risks details:

• Regulatory Risk: Changes in regulatory frameworks in the UK and US could affect allowed returns, capital expenditure recovery, and operational flexibility.
• Capital Expenditure and Liquidity Risk: High capital expenditure requirements may strain liquidity, especially given current ratio below 1 and low cash ratio.
• Tax and Policy Risk: Changes in tax legislation or policy could impact effective tax rates and cash tax payments, affecting financial performance.
• Pension and Actuarial Risk: Defined benefit pension obligations carry risks related to investment returns and demographic assumptions.
• Operational and Market Risk: Energy demand variability, infrastructure reliability, and competition from alternative energy sources may impact business stability.

FINAL FORECAST FOR NGG

Final take one line
National Grid plc exhibits high business model visibility supported by detailed financial disclosures, strategic capital investments, and active governance in regulated energy markets.
Final take 12 to 24 month view

Business trends: Continued capital investment in energy infrastructure and focus on supporting energy transition and AI-related energy demands.
Execution milestones: Delivery of FY26 financial results, endorsement of a five-year financial framework, and active management of pension obligations.
Key risks: Regulatory changes, capital expenditure demands impacting liquidity, tax policy shifts, pension actuarial risks, and operational market uncertainties.

Valye AI Visibility Research Score

Very high visibility

Visibility score reflects the breadth and consistency of available disclosure across SEC filings, recent public reporting, and baseline business context (research-only; not investment advice).

100
LLM visibility overview
LLM Visibility known facts
  • National Grid plc is a UK-based utility company operating primarily in the UK and the US, providing essential energy infrastructure services including electricity and gas transmission and distribution.
  • The company reported revenue of £7.065 billion and net income of £618 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, with basic EPS of £0.126 per share, as per the latest SEC 6-K filing [S2].
  • Liquidity ratios as of September 30, 2025, include a current ratio of 0.97 and a cash ratio of 0.1, indicating near parity of current assets and liabilities but low cash relative to liabilities [S2].
  • National Grid's tax strategy emphasizes responsible tax practices, compliance with tax laws, and conservative tax risk management overseen by the Audit & Risk Committee and CFO [S1].
  • The company operates in multiple tax jurisdictions including the UK, US, Isle of Man, Luxembourg, and Belgium, with detailed country-by-country revenue, profit, and tax contributions disclosed [S1].
  • In fiscal year 2025/26, National Grid's total capital expenditure was £11.549 billion (excluding joint venture investments), reflecting significant investment in infrastructure [S1].
  • The effective tax rate for continuing operations was 22.5%, while the effective cash tax rate was 0.8%, influenced by accelerated capital allowances and capital expenditure [S1].
  • National Grid's total tax contribution in 2025/26 was £3.169 billion, including taxes borne (£1.898 billion) and taxes collected (£1.271 billion), supporting public services and local governments in the UK and US [S1].
  • The company manages defined benefit pension obligations actively, with a net IAS 19 accounting surplus of £2.147 billion as of March 31, 2026, supported by actuarial gains and bulk annuity transactions [S1].
  • The Board recommended a final dividend of 32.14p per ordinary share for 2025/26, representing a 3.8% increase aligned with UK CPIH inflation, with distributable reserves sufficient to cover more than five years of forecast dividends [S1].
  • Recent business news highlights include National Grid's FY26 profit rise, earnings growth outlook for FY27, and endorsement of a five-year financial framework [N3].
  • The company held a H2 earnings call in May 2026 discussing operational and financial performance [N2].
  • National Grid is recognized for its role in energy infrastructure supporting the transition to renewable energy and AI-related energy demands [N7].
  • The company has a significant workforce of over 33,000 employees across its operations [S1].
  • Major shareholders include institutional investors such as BlackRock, Inc., holding over 8% of voting rights as of May 2026 [Q6].
Sources
Sources - Context summary

Generated 2026-06-03

Sources - Earning calls
Sources - Other context
Sources - SEC Filings
  • S1 | 2026-06-03 | 20-F
  • S2 | 2026-05-29 | 6-K
Sources - News headlines
  • N1 | 2026-05-27 | www.nasdaq.com | NGG or ORA: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now? | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/ngg-or-ora-which-better-value-stock-right-now
  • N2 | 2026-05-15 | www.nasdaq.com | National Grid Transco H2 Earnings Call Highlights | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/national-grid-transco-h2-earnings-call-highlights
  • N3 | 2026-05-14 | www.nasdaq.com | National Grid FY26 Profit Rises; Sees Earnings Growth In FY27, Backs 5 Yr Financial Framework | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/national-grid-fy26-profit-rises-sees-earnings-growth-fy27-backs-5-yr-financial-framework
  • N4 | 2026-03-20 | www.nasdaq.com | Shares of NGG Now Oversold | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/shares-ngg-now-oversold
  • N5 | 2026-02-26 | www.nasdaq.com | Are Oils-Energy Stocks Lagging TechnipFMC (FTI) This Year? | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/are-oils-energy-stocks-lagging-technipfmc-fti-year-0
  • N6 | 2026-02-06 | www.nasdaq.com | Has National Grid Transco (NGG) Outpaced Other Oils-Energy Stocks This Year? | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/has-national-grid-transco-ngg-outpaced-other-oils-energy-stocks-year
  • N7 | 2026-01-27 | www.nasdaq.com | Move Over, Tesla Solar. These 2 Energy Stocks Are Powering The Future of AI | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/move-over-tesla-solar-these-2-energy-stocks-are-powering-future-ai
  • N8 | 2025-12-26 | www.nasdaq.com | CMS Energy Poised to Gain From Renewable Expansion & Investments | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/cms-energy-poised-gain-renewable-expansion-investments
Important legal disclaimer

This material is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, legal or tax advice, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security. The Valye AI Score is a model-based estimate derived from public information and is subject to change without notice. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information herein. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should conduct their own research and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

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