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Company

NMI Holdings, Inc.

Ticker
NMIH
Sector
Industry
Report date
November 7, 2026
Valye AI Score

99

Very high visibility
Recent developments
Recent developments summary

Recent developments include NMI Holdings’ Q3 2026 earnings release and related commentary highlighting higher claims and costs impacting results, with detailed earnings call transcripts and analysis.

Recent developments:
  • NMI Holdings reported net income of $93.5 million for Q3 2026, with revenue of $187.55 million and EPS of $1.25 (basic) and $1.23 (diluted) as of September 30, 2026 [N3][S2].
  • Q3 2026 earnings were impacted by higher claims and costs, leading to revenues and earnings lagging some expectations [N1][N7].
  • The company’s Q3 2026 earnings call provided detailed discussion on claims experience, risk management, and operational factors affecting results [N4][N5][N6].
  • NMI Holdings continues to operate in a competitive mortgage insurance market alongside other approved private insurers and government programs [N1].
Overview

NMI Holdings, Inc. provides private mortgage insurance primarily through its subsidiary NMIC, which is licensed nationwide and approved by government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The company’s mortgage insurance protects lenders and investors from losses on high loan-to-value residential mortgages, facilitating secondary market sales and expanding home financing access. NMI’s insurance products are governed by Master Policies that define coverage terms, premium obligations, and claims processes. The company also offers outsourced loan review services through NMIS. NMI operates in a competitive market alongside five other approved private mortgage insurers and government-run programs. Its business and financial performance are closely tied to GSE policies and regulatory frameworks. As of late 2026, NMI reported quarterly revenues and earnings with detailed disclosures on claims experience and operational metrics.

Executive summary

NMI Holdings, Inc. is a mortgage insurance provider operating primarily through its subsidiaries NMIC and Re One, offering primary mortgage insurance on first-lien residential loans across the U.S. The company reported Q3 2026 revenue of $187.55 million and net income of $93.47 million, with basic EPS of $1.25 and diluted EPS of $1.23 as of September 30, 2026. Financial figures (if any) are summarized from the latest available SEC filings and are provided for informational purposes only — not financial advice. NMI’s business is influenced by regulatory oversight of the GSEs and ongoing potential reforms in the U.S. housing finance system. Recent Q3 2026 results reflected higher claims and costs impacting earnings and revenues, with detailed disclosures and commentary available in SEC filings and earnings call transcripts.

Scenarios for NMIH

Bull case model:

NMI Holdings benefits from its broad licensing and GSE approvals, enabling it to serve a large and diverse mortgage lender customer base across the U.S. Its proprietary pricing and risk management tools support disciplined underwriting and pricing strategies. The company’s capital adequacy and regulatory compliance position it to maintain market access and customer trust. Continued growth in insured loan volumes and expansion of customer relationships could support revenue stability. The company’s focus on customer service and ancillary services like loan review may enhance customer retention and competitive differentiation.

Bear case model:

NMI Holdings faces risks from potential regulatory and legislative changes affecting the GSEs and the role of private mortgage insurance in the U.S. housing finance system. Changes in GSE business practices, capital requirements, or mortgage insurance cancellation policies could reduce demand for private MI or increase claims costs. The competitive landscape includes other private insurers and government-run programs, which may pressure pricing and market share. Elevated claims and costs, as reflected in recent quarterly results, could adversely impact profitability. Uncertainty around future GSE reforms and housing market conditions adds to operational risks.

Moat:

NMI Holdings’ moat derives from its regulatory approvals and licensing to provide mortgage insurance nationwide, including approval by the GSEs, which are the largest secondary market participants requiring mortgage insurance on high-LTV loans. The company’s proprietary pricing platform, Rate GPS®, and its established relationships with a broad and diverse customer base of mortgage lenders contribute to differentiated risk management and underwriting capabilities. The regulatory capital sufficiency under PMIERs and compliance with evolving GSE requirements support its financial strength and credibility. Additionally, NMI’s integrated loan review services and customer service offerings enhance its competitive positioning in a highly regulated and competitive industry.

Risks overview
Risks summary
The most significant risk to NMI Holdings is regulatory and legislative changes affecting the GSEs and the private mortgage insurance market, which could materially impact the company’s business and financial condition.
Risks details:

• Regulatory and Legislative Risk: Potential changes to GSE charters, business practices, or federal legislation could reduce the private mortgage insurance market opportunity or alter mortgage insurance requirements, impacting revenues and losses.
• Competitive Risk: Competition from other private mortgage insurers and government-run MI programs may pressure pricing, underwriting standards, and market share.
• Claims and Cost Risk: Higher claims and associated costs can adversely affect earnings and financial results, as seen in recent quarterly performance.
• Operational and Market Risk: Changes in housing market conditions, mortgage origination volumes, and loan performance can influence insurance in force and profitability.

FINAL FORECAST FOR NMIH

Final take one line
NMI Holdings, Inc. exhibits very high visibility with detailed disclosures on its mortgage insurance business, regulatory environment, and recent financial results reflecting operational challenges.
Final take 12 to 24 month view

Business trends: The company operates in a competitive private mortgage insurance market influenced by GSE policies and housing finance reforms.
Execution milestones: Maintaining regulatory capital sufficiency, managing claims experience, and expanding customer relationships remain key operational focuses.
Key risks: Regulatory changes to GSEs and mortgage insurance requirements, competitive pressures, and claims cost volatility pose material risks.

Valye AI Visibility Research Score

Very high visibility

Visibility score reflects the breadth and consistency of available disclosure across SEC filings, recent public reporting, and baseline business context (research-only; not investment advice).

99
LLM visibility overview
LLM Visibility known facts
  • NMI Holdings, Inc. provides mortgage insurance through its wholly-owned subsidiaries NMIC and Re One, with NMIC as the primary insurance subsidiary approved by GSEs and licensed in all 50 states and D.C.
  • The company offers primary mortgage insurance on first-lien mortgage loans, mostly owner-occupied single-family homes, with coverage levels varying between 6% and 35%.
  • Mortgage insurance protects lenders and investors from default-related losses on a portion of the unpaid principal balance of insured mortgages, facilitating secondary market sales primarily to GSEs.
  • NMI Holdings uses proprietary pricing platform Rate GPS® to evaluate risk and price policies dynamically.
  • The company had issued master policies to 2,193 customers as of December 31, 2025, including a broad mix of mortgage lenders.
  • As of December 31, 2025, NMI had $221.4 billion of primary Insurance in Force (IIF) and $59.3 billion of primary Risk in Force (RIF).
  • For the year ended December 31, 2025, NMI generated new insurance written (NIW) of $48.9 billion and employed 225 full-time and part-time employees.
  • The company’s premiums are based on statutory rating rules filed with state insurance departments and are influenced by coverage percentages, loan-to-value ratios, borrower credit profiles, and market conditions.
  • NMI’s mortgage insurance policies are governed by Master Policies, with the current form effective from March 1, 2020, aligning with GSE requirements.
  • Premiums may be paid by either lenders or borrowers, with borrower-paid mortgage insurance (BPMI) and lender-paid mortgage insurance (LPMI) structures.
  • NMI also offers outsourced loan review services through its subsidiary NMIS, providing compliance assessments and limited indemnification to mortgage originators.
  • The company’s common stock trades on Nasdaq under the ticker 'NMIH'.
  • As of September 30, 2026, NMI reported revenue of $187.55 million, net income of $93.47 million, basic EPS of $1.25, and diluted EPS of $1.23 according to its 10-Q filing.
  • NMI had cash and cash equivalents of $16.45 million as of June 30, 2018, per SEC filings; no recent short-term investments reported.
  • The company’s PMIERs available assets exceeded risk-based required assets by 70% as of December 31, 2025, indicating regulatory capital sufficiency.
  • The U.S. residential mortgage market is large and includes primary lenders and secondary market participants such as GSEs, which rely on private mortgage insurance for high-LTV loans.
  • NMI operates in a competitive private mortgage insurance industry with five other approved participants and competes on coverage terms, underwriting, pricing, customer service, financial strength, and innovation.
  • The company’s business is materially influenced by the practices and regulations of the GSEs, including FHFA oversight and potential reforms affecting mortgage insurance demand.
  • Recent executive orders and regulatory changes may impact mortgage insurance cancellation policies and turnover of insurance in force, affecting future revenues.
  • NMI’s Q3 2026 earnings reported net income of $93.5 million and revenue of $187.55 million, with earnings per share of approximately $1.25 (basic) and $1.23 (diluted).
  • Q3 2026 results showed higher claims and costs impacting earnings and revenues, with commentary provided in earnings call transcripts and related news.
  • The company’s strategy focuses on expanding customer base, disciplined risk selection, proactive pricing, customer service, and maintaining financial strength and profitability.
Sources
Sources - Context summary

Generated 2026-11-08

Sources - Earning calls
  • N4
Sources - Other context
  • S1
  • S2
Sources - SEC Filings
  • S1 | 2026-02-12 | 10-K
  • S2 | 2026-11-05 | 10-Q
Sources - News headlines
  • N1 | 2026-11-06 | www.nasdaq.com | NMIH Q3 Earnings Miss Estimates on Higher Claims and Costs | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/nmih-q3-earnings-miss-estimates-higher-claims-and-costs
  • N2 | 2026-11-06 | www.nasdaq.com | PLMR Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates on Strong Premium Growth | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/plmr-q3-earnings-beat-estimates-strong-premium-growth
  • N3 | 2026-11-06 | www.nasdaq.com | NMI Holdings, Inc. Reports Net Income of $93.5 million for Third Quarter 2026 | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/nmi-holdings-inc-reports-net-income-935-million-third-quarter-2026
  • N4 | 2026-11-06 | www.nasdaq.com | NMI Holdings (NMIH) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/nmi-holdings-nmih-q3-2026-earnings-call-transcript
  • N5 | 2026-11-06 | www.nasdaq.com | What NMI (NMIH) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/what-nmi-nmih-said-its-q3-earnings-call
  • N6 | 2026-11-06 | www.nasdaq.com | NMI Holdings (NMIH) Reports Q3 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/nmi-holdings-nmih-reports-q3-earnings-what-key-metrics-have-say
  • N7 | 2026-11-05 | www.nasdaq.com | NMI Holdings (NMIH) Q3 Earnings and Revenues Lag Estimates | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/nmi-holdings-nmih-q3-earnings-and-revenues-lag-estimates
  • N8 | 2026-11-04 | www.nasdaq.com | Exzeo (XZO) Q3 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/exzeo-xzo-q3-earnings-and-revenues-top-estimates
Important legal disclaimer

This material is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, legal or tax advice, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security. The Valye AI Score is a model-based estimate derived from public information and is subject to change without notice. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information herein. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should conduct their own research and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

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