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Company

NOMURA HOLDINGS INC

Ticker
NMR
Sector
Industry
Report date
June 22, 2026
Valye AI Score

94

Very high visibility
Recent developments
Recent developments summary

Recent news coverage primarily discusses Nomura’s stock valuation and investor sentiment, with multiple articles analyzing whether the stock is undervalued or a good value investment option.

Recent developments:
  • Multiple recent articles analyze whether Nomura’s stock is undervalued and discuss its attractiveness as a value stock compared to peers [N1][N2][N3][N4][N5][N6][N7].
  • An article highlights that Nomura Holdings (NMR) is currently oversold based on RSI technical indicators [N8].
  • News coverage includes comparisons of Nomura’s stock with other financial stocks such as HOOD and MKTX, focusing on value investment perspectives [N2][N4][N6].
Overview

Nomura Holdings Inc. is a Japan-based financial services company with a broad global footprint through numerous wholly owned subsidiaries and affiliates. It operates across multiple business segments including Wealth Management, Investment Management, Wholesale, and Banking. The company has a strategic focus on expanding recurring revenue streams, enhancing profitability, and deepening its global presence. It completed a significant acquisition of Macquarie’s U.S. and European public asset management business in late 2025, broadening its asset management capabilities. Nomura emphasizes human capital management with metrics targeting productivity, diversity, and employee development. The company’s capital policy balances growth investments with shareholder returns, targeting consistent dividend payouts and buybacks. Its major offices are located in key financial centers worldwide, with a mix of owned and leased properties [S1][S2].

Executive summary

Financial figures (if any) are summarized from the latest available SEC filings and are provided for informational purposes only — not financial advice. Nomura Holdings Inc. is a diversified global financial services group with significant operations in wealth management, investment management, wholesale, and banking. The company reported increased net revenue and record net income for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, supported by growth across its divisions and recent acquisitions. It maintains a human capital management strategy focused on sustainable value creation and diversity. Recent news coverage centers on valuation and investor perspectives on the stock [S1][S2][N1][N2][N3].

Scenarios for NMR

Bull case model:

Nomura has demonstrated steady progress in expanding its recurring revenue base, with record performance in its Wealth Management Division and significant growth in assets under management in Investment Management. The Wholesale Division’s record income before taxes and Banking Division’s revenue growth indicate diversified earnings streams. The acquisition of Macquarie’s asset management business adds scale and geographic reach. The company’s capital policy supports shareholder returns through dividends and buybacks, reflecting financial strength. Its human capital initiatives aim to enhance productivity and stability, supporting sustainable growth [S1].

Bear case model:

Nomura operates in a highly competitive and regulated financial services environment, exposed to market volatility, geopolitical risks, and economic uncertainties. Despite recent profitability improvements, the company reported a net loss in an earlier period (2011 data), indicating potential earnings volatility. The complexity of integrating acquisitions and managing global operations presents execution risks. Regulatory changes, including Basel regulations, may affect capital requirements and business strategies. Market sentiment and valuation concerns reflected in recent news highlight investor uncertainty [S1][S2].

Moat:

Nomura’s moat is supported by its diversified global financial services platform, spanning wealth management, investment management, wholesale markets, and banking. Its scale and breadth of operations, including a large asset management business with significant assets under management, provide competitive advantages. The company’s established presence in key financial markets and its strategic acquisitions enhance its market position. Additionally, its focus on human capital management and operational resilience contributes to sustaining its business foundation. However, the financial services industry is competitive and subject to regulatory and market risks, which can impact moat durability [S1].

Risks overview
Risks summary
Nomura’s biggest risks stem from market volatility and geopolitical uncertainties that can affect its diversified financial services operations, alongside regulatory and execution challenges inherent in its global business model.
Risks details:

• Market and Geopolitical Volatility: Nomura’s financial performance is sensitive to global economic conditions, market volatility, and geopolitical events such as tariffs, political changes in Japan, and Middle East instability, which can impact revenues and asset values [S1].
• Regulatory Environment: The company faces evolving regulatory requirements including Basel regulations that influence capital allocation, risk management, and shareholder return policies [S1].
• Integration and Execution Risks: Acquisitions such as the Macquarie asset management business require effective integration to realize synergies and avoid operational disruptions [S1].
• Competitive Pressure: Nomura competes with global financial institutions across its business segments, which may pressure margins and market share [S1].

FINAL FORECAST FOR NMR

Final take one line
Nomura Holdings is a diversified global financial services firm with moderate visibility supported by detailed SEC disclosures and recent valuation-focused news coverage.
Final take 12 to 24 month view

Business trends: Expansion of recurring revenue streams, asset management growth, and record profitability across divisions.
Execution milestones: Completion of Macquarie asset management acquisition, record performance in Wealth Management and Wholesale divisions, and capital policy supporting shareholder returns.
Key risks: Market and geopolitical volatility, regulatory changes, integration challenges, and competitive pressures.

Valye AI Visibility Research Score

Very high visibility

Visibility score reflects the breadth and consistency of available disclosure across SEC filings, recent public reporting, and baseline business context (research-only; not investment advice).

94
LLM visibility overview
LLM Visibility known facts
  • Nomura Holdings Inc. is a Japan-based financial services group with a global presence including subsidiaries in the U.S., U.K., Hong Kong, Singapore, India, Australia, Germany, France, Luxembourg, Switzerland, and the Netherlands [S1].
  • The company operates through multiple divisions: Wealth Management, Investment Management, Wholesale, and Banking [S1].
  • In fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, Nomura reported net revenue of ¥2,167.7 billion, a 14.5% increase from the prior year, and net income attributable to shareholders of ¥362.1 billion [S1].
  • Return on equity was 10.1% for the year ended March 31, 2026 [S1].
  • Earnings per share (diluted) for the year ended March 31, 2026 was ¥118.99, up from ¥111.03 the prior year [S1].
  • The company paid a total annual dividend of ¥51 per share for the year ended March 31, 2026 [S1].
  • Nomura has a human capital management strategy focusing on Value Creation, Stability and Resilience, and Well Growing, with specific metrics tracked such as labor productivity, diversity ratios, and training hours [S1].
  • As of March 31, 2026, Nomura's shareholders' equity totaled approximately ¥3.7 trillion, with total capitalization and indebtedness of about ¥21.15 trillion [S2].
  • Cash and cash equivalents were ¥7.16 billion as of March 31, 2026 [S2].
  • The company completed the acquisition of Macquarie’s U.S. and European public asset management business in December 2025, expanding its asset management operations [S1].
  • Nomura’s Wealth Management Division achieved its best performance since establishment, with recurring revenue at an all-time high and net inflows in recurring revenue assets [S1].
  • Investment Management Division’s assets under management reached ¥136.9 trillion, with significant revenue growth supported by market factors and recent acquisitions [S1].
  • Wholesale Division recorded all-time high income before income taxes, driven by Global Markets and Investment Banking revenues [S1].
  • Banking Division saw growth in loans outstanding and investment trust balances, contributing to higher revenues [S1].
  • The company’s major offices are located in Tokyo, Osaka, Nagoya, London, New York, Hong Kong, and Mumbai, with a mix of owned and leased properties [S1].
  • Nomura’s capital policy aims to maintain appropriate capital ratios, balance investment and shareholder returns, and target a consolidated payout ratio of at least 40% per semi-annual earnings and a total payout ratio of at least 50% including buybacks [S1].
  • Recent news articles focus on valuation and investor sentiment regarding Nomura’s stock, discussing whether it is undervalued or a good value investment option [N1][N2][N3][N4][N5][N6][N7][N8].
Sources
Sources - Context summary

Generated 2026-06-22

Sources - Earning calls
Sources - Other context
Sources - SEC Filings
  • S1 | 2026-06-22 | 20-F
  • S2 | 2026-06-22 | 6-K
Sources - News headlines
  • N1 | 2026-06-17 | www.nasdaq.com | Are Investors Undervaluing Nomura (NMR) Right Now? | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/are-investors-undervaluing-nomura-nmr-right-now-0
  • N2 | 2026-06-01 | www.nasdaq.com | NMR or HOOD: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now? | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/nmr-or-hood-which-better-value-stock-right-now-0
  • N3 | 2026-06-01 | www.nasdaq.com | Is Nomura (NMR) Stock Undervalued Right Now? | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/nomura-nmr-stock-undervalued-right-now
  • N4 | 2026-05-14 | www.nasdaq.com | NMR or HOOD: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now? | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/nmr-or-hood-which-better-value-stock-right-now
  • N5 | 2026-05-14 | www.nasdaq.com | Should Value Investors Buy Nomura (NMR) Stock? | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/should-value-investors-buy-nomura-nmr-stock
  • N6 | 2026-04-28 | www.nasdaq.com | NMR vs. HOOD: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option? | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/nmr-vs-hood-which-stock-better-value-option
  • N7 | 2026-04-28 | www.nasdaq.com | Are Investors Undervaluing Nomura (NMR) Right Now? | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/are-investors-undervaluing-nomura-nmr-right-now
  • N8 | 2026-03-03 | www.nasdaq.com | RSI Alert: Nomura Holdings (NMR) Now Oversold | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/rsi-alert-nomura-holdings-nmr-now-oversold
Important legal disclaimer

This material is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, legal or tax advice, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security. The Valye AI Score is a model-based estimate derived from public information and is subject to change without notice. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information herein. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should conduct their own research and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

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