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Company

NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP

Ticker
NOC
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Aerospace & Defense
Report date
April 21, 2026
Valye AI Score

100

Very high visibility
Recent developments
Recent developments summary

Recent news highlights Northrop Grumman's strong Q1 2026 earnings and revenue growth, with a notable stock price decline following the earnings release. The company is advancing production capacity for the B-21 program and maintaining a robust backlog.

Recent developments:
  • Northrop Grumman reported Q1 2026 revenue of $9.88 billion and net income of $875 million, with earnings per share of $6.16, reflecting year-over-year growth in sales and profitability [N5][N8][S2].
  • Despite strong quarterly results, the stock price fell 6% following the earnings announcement, indicating mixed market reactions [N3].
  • The company is expanding production capacity for the B-21 Raider program, including an agreement to sell a test asset aircraft to the U.S. Air Force to accelerate delivery schedules [S10].
  • Northrop Grumman's backlog increased to $95.7 billion as of December 31, 2025, supporting future revenue visibility [S1][S15].
  • Industry-wide factors such as crude price volatility and geopolitical tensions, including concerns related to Iran, have influenced market sentiment [N1].
Overview

Northrop Grumman Corporation, founded in 1939 and reincorporated in Delaware in 1985, is a major global aerospace and defense technology company. It delivers a broad portfolio of products and services including military aircraft, missile defense, advanced weapons, space systems, and cyber technologies. The company operates through four reportable segments: Aeronautics Systems, Defense Systems, Mission Systems, and Space Systems, each with key programs supporting U.S. and international defense and intelligence customers. The U.S. government accounts for approximately 84% of sales. The company maintains a substantial backlog and invests in advanced technologies and workforce development to support national security priorities and future growth.

Executive summary

Northrop Grumman Corporation is a leading aerospace and defense technology company serving primarily the U.S. government and international customers through four main segments: Aeronautics Systems, Defense Systems, Mission Systems, and Space Systems. The company reported Q1 2026 revenue of $9.88 billion and net income of $875 million, with a strong backlog of $95.7 billion as of December 31, 2025. Liquidity remains solid with a current ratio of 1.15 as of March 31, 2026. Recent news highlights strong quarterly results, though the stock price declined following the earnings release. Financial figures (if any) are summarized from the latest available SEC filings and are provided for informational purposes only — not financial advice.

Scenarios for NOC

Bull case model:

Northrop Grumman's broad and diversified portfolio across aerospace, defense, mission systems, and space provides multiple avenues for sustained business activity. The company's strong backlog and ongoing investments in advanced technologies position it to meet evolving national security needs. Its focus on innovation, digital transformation, and talent development supports operational excellence and program execution. The company's liquidity and profitability metrics indicate financial strength to support ongoing commitments and strategic initiatives.

Bear case model:

Northrop Grumman faces risks from supply chain disruptions, raw material shortages, and geopolitical uncertainties that could impact program delivery and costs. Intense competition in the defense sector and potential bid protests may affect contract awards. The company's heavy reliance on U.S. government spending exposes it to budgetary and regulatory risks. Cybersecurity threats and compliance challenges also pose operational risks. Market reactions to earnings and other developments can lead to stock price volatility despite strong underlying performance.

Moat:

Northrop Grumman's moat is supported by its extensive portfolio of advanced aerospace and defense technologies, long-term contracts with the U.S. government, and a significant backlog of $95.7 billion. Its leadership in critical programs such as the B-21 Raider, missile defense systems, and space launch vehicles, combined with a highly skilled workforce and strong intellectual property protections, create high barriers to entry. The company's integrated capabilities across multiple defense domains and its relationships with government agencies further strengthen its competitive position.

Risks overview
Risks summary
Northrop Grumman's biggest risks stem from supply chain vulnerabilities, dependence on U.S. government contracts, competitive pressures, and cybersecurity threats.
Risks details:

• Supply Chain and Raw Material Risks: Challenges in obtaining raw materials and components due to global inflation, geopolitical conflicts, and supply chain disruptions could increase costs and delay program deliveries.
• Customer Concentration: Approximately 84% of sales are to the U.S. government, making the company sensitive to changes in government defense budgets, priorities, and procurement policies.
• Competitive and Contractual Risks: The defense industry is highly competitive with long operating cycles. Bid protests and contract award challenges can delay or reduce revenue opportunities.
• Cybersecurity and Physical Security Threats: The company faces evolving cybersecurity risks and physical security threats that could impact operations, information integrity, and reputation.

FINAL FORECAST FOR NOC

Final take one line
Northrop Grumman exhibits very high visibility with a diversified defense portfolio, strong backlog, solid liquidity, and recent robust quarterly results amid competitive and geopolitical challenges.
Final take 12 to 24 month view

Business trends: Continued activity in defense and aerospace segments supported by a strong backlog and investments in advanced technologies.
Execution milestones: Expansion of B-21 Raider production capacity and delivery schedule acceleration; ongoing execution of key defense and space programs.
Key risks: Supply chain disruptions, dependence on U.S. government contracts, competitive pressures, and cybersecurity threats.

Valye AI Visibility Research Score

Very high visibility

Visibility score reflects the breadth and consistency of available disclosure across SEC filings, recent public reporting, and baseline business context (research-only; not investment advice).

100
LLM visibility overview
LLM Visibility known facts
  • Northrop Grumman Corporation is a leading global aerospace and defense technology company delivering products and services primarily to the U.S. Department of Defense and intelligence community, as well as international customers [S1].
  • The company operates through four reportable segments: Aeronautics Systems, Defense Systems, Mission Systems, and Space Systems [S1].
  • Aeronautics Systems focuses on military aircraft systems including the B-21 Raider, B-2 Spirit, E-130J Phoenix II, F-35 fuselage production, E-2D Advanced Hawkeye, MQ-4C Triton, and RQ-4 Global Hawk [S1].
  • Defense Systems develops strategic deterrent systems, tactical weapons, missile defense, and advanced propulsion including hypersonic systems, with key programs such as Sentinel ICBM modernization, Integrated Battle Command System, and various missile and ammunition systems [S1].
  • Mission Systems provides advanced mission solutions including radar, electronic warfare, communications, cyber, and intelligence systems, with programs like LAIRCM, F-35 fire control radar, SABR radar, and cyber capabilities [S1].
  • Space Systems delivers space, missile defense, and launch systems including solid rocket boosters (GEM 63/63XL), missile warning satellites (Next-Gen OPIR), Cygnus spacecraft, missile defense interceptors, and modules for NASA's Lunar Gateway [S1].
  • Approximately 84% of sales are to the U.S. government, with the remainder to international and other customers [S1,S19].
  • At December 31, 2025, total backlog was $95.7 billion, up from $91.5 billion the prior year, with funded backlog of $43.5 billion and unfunded backlog of $52.2 billion [S1,S15].
  • The company faces competition from major defense contractors including Boeing, General Dynamics, L3Harris, Lockheed Martin, and RTX, as well as new entrants and startups [S1].
  • Northrop Grumman reported Q1 2026 revenue of $9.88 billion and net income of $875 million, with basic EPS of $6.16 and diluted EPS of $6.14 for the quarter ended March 31, 2026 [S2].
  • Liquidity as of March 31, 2026 included $2.09 billion in cash and cash equivalents, current assets of $14.77 billion, current liabilities of $12.82 billion, resulting in a current ratio of 1.15 and a cash ratio of 0.18 [S2].
  • The company’s Q1 2026 operating income was $989 million, up from $573 million in Q1 2025, reflecting improved profitability [S2].
  • Capital expenditures for Q1 2026 totaled $167 million, down from $256 million in Q1 2025, with depreciation and amortization of $372 million [S2].
  • Sales by segment for Q1 2026 were: Aeronautics Systems $3.28 billion, Defense Systems $1.90 billion, Mission Systems $2.86 billion, and Space Systems $2.48 billion [S2].
  • Sales are predominantly to U.S. customers (87% of total sales), with Asia/Pacific and Europe representing smaller portions [S2].
  • Contract types are roughly split evenly between cost-type and fixed-price contracts across segments [S2].
  • The company’s backlog includes significant awards for restricted programs, F-35, GEM 63 boosters, Ground-based Midcourse Defense Weapon Systems, and Virginia Class submarines [S15].
  • Northrop Grumman’s workforce was approximately 95,000 employees as of December 31, 2025, with a focus on recruiting and retaining talent with security clearances and STEM skills [S1].
  • The company faces risks related to supply chain disruptions, raw material availability, geopolitical and macroeconomic factors, cybersecurity threats, and regulatory compliance [S1].
  • Recent news coverage highlights Northrop Grumman’s strong Q1 2026 earnings and revenue growth, though the stock price fell 6% following the report [N3][N5][N8].
  • The company is engaged in expanding production capacity for the B-21 program, including an agreement to sell a test asset aircraft to the U.S. Air Force to accelerate delivery schedules [S10].
Sources
Sources - Context summary

Generated 2026-04-22

Sources - Earning calls
Sources - Other context
Sources - SEC Filings
  • S1 | 2026-01-27 | 10-K
  • S2 | 2026-04-21 | 10-Q
Sources - News headlines
  • N1 | 2026-04-21 | www.nasdaq.com | Stocks Erase Early Gains as Crude Prices Jump on Iran Concerns | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/stocks-erase-early-gains-crude-prices-jump-iran-concerns
  • N2 | 2026-04-21 | www.nasdaq.com | GE Aerospace Q1 Earnings & Revenues Beat Estimates, Rise Y/Y | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/ge-aerospace-q1-earnings-revenues-beat-estimates-rise-y-y
  • N3 | 2026-04-21 | www.nasdaq.com | Northrop Grumman Stock Falls 6% Despite Reporting Strong Q1 Results | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/northrop-grumman-stock-falls-6-despite-reporting-strong-q1-results
  • N4 | 2026-04-21 | www.nasdaq.com | Northrop (NOC) Q1 2026 Earnings Transcript | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/northrop-noc-q1-2026-earnings-transcript
  • N5 | 2026-04-21 | www.nasdaq.com | Northrop Grumman Q1 Earnings Surpass Estimates, Sales Increase Y/Y | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/northrop-grumman-q1-earnings-surpass-estimates-sales-increase-y-y
  • N6 | 2026-04-21 | www.nasdaq.com | Northrop Grumman (NOC) Q1 Earnings: How Key Metrics Compare to Wall Street Estimates | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/northrop-grumman-noc-q1-earnings-how-key-metrics-compare-wall-street-estimates
  • N7 | 2026-04-21 | www.nasdaq.com | Can Rocket Lab's Expanding Backlog Drive Future Revenue Growth? | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/can-rocket-labs-expanding-backlog-drive-future-revenue-growth
  • N8 | 2026-04-21 | www.nasdaq.com | Northrop Grumman (NOC) Q1 Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/northrop-grumman-noc-q1-earnings-and-revenues-beat-estimates
Important legal disclaimer

This material is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, legal or tax advice, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security. The Valye AI Score is a model-based estimate derived from public information and is subject to change without notice. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information herein. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should conduct their own research and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

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