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Company

NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP

Ticker
NOC
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Aerospace & Defense
Report date
January 27, 2026
Valye AI Score

97

Very high visibility
Valye AI Visibility Research Score

Very high visibility

Visibility score reflects the breadth and consistency of available disclosure across SEC filings, recent public reporting, and baseline business context (research-only; not investment advice).

97
Recent developments

Scenarios for NOC

Recent developments summary

Recent developments include the release of Northrop Grumman's fourth quarter and full-year 2025 financial results, highlighting ongoing operational transparency and financial performance. The company has also engaged in strategic agreements to support rapid production goals in collaboration with the Department of Defense and industry partners.

Recent developments:
  • Northrop Grumman released its fourth quarter and full-year 2025 financial results, providing detailed insights into its revenue, net income, and earnings per share [N1].
  • The company announced alignment with rapid production goals in a Department of Defense and L3Harris agreement, emphasizing operational execution focus [N6].
  • Analysts have noted a moderate buy rating with a 4% upside potential, reflecting market interest in the company's valuation following recent contract awards [N4].
  • Northrop Grumman is recognized among the best-performing stocks historically in its sector, underscoring its market presence and investor attention [N5].
Overview

Northrop Grumman Corporation is a leading aerospace and defense company operating primarily in the United States. It provides a broad range of products and services across multiple segments including Aeronautics Systems, Mission Systems, and Defense Systems. The company engages in complex contracts with government agencies, particularly the U.S. Department of Defense, and manages a global supply chain. Its business model involves long-term contracts, advanced technology development, and integration of systems for defense and security applications. The company regularly files detailed financial reports with the SEC and communicates key business developments through press releases and media coverage.

Executive summary

What this means

Financial figures (if any) are summarized from the latest available SEC filings and are provided for informational purposes only — not financial advice. Northrop Grumman Corporation is a major aerospace and defense company with detailed financial disclosures through SEC filings and active communication of business developments via multiple news outlets. The company reported $10.423 billion in revenue and $1.1 billion in net income for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, with liquidity ratios indicating a stable short-term financial position. Operational and regulatory risks are disclosed in filings, including cybersecurity, supply chain, workforce, and legal challenges [S2][N1].

Scenarios for NOC

Bull case model:

Northrop Grumman benefits from sustained government defense spending and strategic partnerships that support rapid production and innovation in aerospace and defense technologies. Its diversified business segments and strong contract backlog provide operational stability. The company's liquidity position and consistent profitability as reported in recent SEC filings demonstrate financial resilience. Continued advancements in uncrewed aircraft and defense systems align with evolving defense priorities, supporting ongoing business activity [N1][N6].

Bear case model:

The company faces risks from cybersecurity threats, supply chain disruptions, inflationary pressures, and workforce challenges, including the need to maintain a qualified and security-cleared workforce. Legal and regulatory risks, including investigations and changes in procurement laws, could impact operations and costs. The defense industry is subject to political and budgetary uncertainties that may affect contract awards and funding levels. Operational execution risks remain in managing complex contracts and meeting production goals [S2].

Moat:

Northrop Grumman's moat is supported by its strong relationships with U.S. government defense agencies, extensive technological expertise, and scale in aerospace and defense manufacturing. Its contracts often involve classified and highly specialized products requiring significant security clearances and technical capabilities, creating high barriers to entry for competitors. The company's integrated systems and long-term contracts provide revenue visibility and operational continuity. Additionally, its investments in research and development and strategic partnerships reinforce its competitive positioning.

Risks overview
Risks summary
Northrop Grumman's biggest risks stem from operational challenges including cybersecurity and supply chain issues, alongside legal and regulatory uncertainties inherent in the defense industry.
Risks details:

• Operational Risks: Includes cybersecurity threats, supply chain disruptions, inflationary pressures, labor shortages, and challenges in attracting and retaining qualified personnel with necessary security clearances [S2].
• Legal and Regulatory Risks: Exposure to investigations, claims, litigation, and changes in procurement and defense-related laws and regulations that could affect contract terms and compliance costs [S2].
• Market and Political Risks: Dependence on government defense budgets and policies introduces uncertainty related to contract awards and funding levels.

LLM visibility overview
LLM Visibility known facts
  • Northrop Grumman Corporation operates in the Aerospace & Defense industry within the Industrials sector.
  • The company reports under the US GAAP accounting standards and files regular SEC reports including 10-K and 10-Q filings.
  • As of the quarter ended September 30, 2025, Northrop Grumman reported cash and cash equivalents of $1.957 billion and current assets of $14.105 billion against current liabilities of $12.718 billion, resulting in a current ratio of 1.11 and a cash ratio of 0.17, indicating liquidity position.
  • For the nine months ended September 30, 2025, the company reported revenues of $10.423 billion and net income of $1.1 billion, with basic and diluted earnings per share of $7.69 and $7.67 respectively, as per the 10-Q filed on October 21, 2025 [S2].
  • The company operates multiple business segments including Aeronautics Systems, Mission Systems, and Defense Systems, with intersegment sales reported.
  • Northrop Grumman faces operational risks including cyber and security threats, supply chain disruptions, inflationary pressures, labor shortages, and the need to attract and retain qualified personnel with security clearances [S2].
  • Legal and regulatory risks include investigations, claims, litigation, and changes in procurement laws and regulations affecting the defense industry [S2].
  • Recent news highlights include the release of the fourth quarter and full-year 2025 financial results, indicating ongoing operational transparency and market communication [N1][N2].
  • The company has announced agreements and collaborations, such as with the U.S. Department of Defense and L3Harris, focusing on rapid production goals [N6].
  • Northrop Grumman is recognized as one of the best-performing stocks historically within its sector [N5].

FINAL FORECAST FOR NOC

Final take one line
Northrop Grumman exhibits very high visibility through comprehensive SEC disclosures and active market communication, with clear operational focus and known industry risks.
Final take 12 to 24 month view

Business trends: Continued government defense spending and strategic partnerships support stable operations and technology development.
Execution milestones: Delivery of financial results, alignment with rapid production goals, and contract awards with DoD and partners.
Key risks: Operational challenges including cybersecurity and supply chain issues, legal and regulatory uncertainties, and dependence on government budgets.

Final take watchlist summary
Sources
Sources - Context summary

Generated 2026-01-27

Sources - Earning calls
Sources - Other context
Sources - SEC Filings
  • S1 | 2025-01-30 | 10-K
  • S2 | 2025-07-22 | 10-Q
Sources - News headlines
  • N1 | 2026-01-27 | www.globenewswire.com | Northrop Grumman Releases Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2025 Financial Results | https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2026/01/27/3226279/189/en/Northrop-Grumman-Releases-Fourth-Quarter-and-Full-Year-2025-Financial-Results.html
  • N2 | 2026-01-27 | investingnews.com | Northrop Grumman Releases Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2025 Financial Results | INN | https://investingnews.com/northrop-grumman-releases-fourth-quarter-and-full-year-2025-financial-results
  • N3 | 2026-01-27 | Yahoo Finance | What To Expect From Northrop Grumman’s (NOC) Q4 Earnings | https://finance.yahoo.com/news/expect-northrop-grumman-noc-q4-030902715.html
  • N4 | 2026-01-27 | Yahoo Finance | Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) a Moderate Buy, Analysts See 4% Upside | https://finance.yahoo.com/news/northrop-grumman-corporation-noc-moderate-123708323.html
  • N5 | 2026-01-15 | Yahoo Finance | These are the 30 best-performing stocks of all time | https://finance.yahoo.com/news/10-best-performing-stocks-time-201602097.html?fr=sycsrp_catchall
  • N6 | 2026-01-15 | defensedaily.com | NorthropGrummanSays It’s In Tune With Rapid Production Goal In DoD-L3Harris Agreement | https://www.defensedaily.com/northrop-grumman-says-its-in-tune-with-rapid-production-goal-in-dod-l3harris-agreement/business-financial/
  • N7 | 2026-01-15 | Yahoo Finance | S&P 500 Gains and Losses Today: Coinbase Shares Soar; Oil and Defense Stocks... | https://finance.yahoo.com/news/p-500-gains-losses-today-203212197.html?fr=sycsrp_catchall
  • N8 | 2026-01-15 | Yahoo Finance | Top Picks 2025- Heico HEI | https://finance.yahoo.com/news/top-picks-2025-heico-hei-100000963.html?fr=sycsrp_catchall
Important legal disclaimer

This material is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, legal or tax advice, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security. The Valye AI Score is a model-based estimate derived from public information and is subject to change without notice. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information herein. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should conduct their own research and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

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Generated by Valye SEC Pipeline Engine

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