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Company

NORTHERN TRUST CORP

Ticker
NTRS
Sector
Industry
Report date
July 31, 2026
Valye AI Score

87

Very high visibility
Recent developments
Recent developments summary

Recent developments focus on Northern Trust's Q2 2026 earnings results, highlighting growth in net interest income and assets under management, along with a dividend increase. The company’s earnings call transcripts and reports provide detailed insights into key financial metrics and operational highlights.

Recent developments:
  • Northern Trust reported Q2 2026 earnings with higher net interest income and growth in assets under management, accompanied by a dividend increase [N5].
  • The Q2 2026 earnings call provided detailed highlights on financial performance and business execution [N6].
  • Multiple news articles covered Northern Trust's Q2 2026 earnings and revenue results, emphasizing key metrics and operational strength [N7][N8].
  • The Q2 2026 earnings call transcript offers comprehensive insights into the company’s financial and strategic positioning [N3].
Overview

Northern Trust Corporation operates in the financial services sector, providing wealth management and related financial services. The company reports its financial performance through SEC filings, with the latest annual 10-K filed in February 2026 and quarterly 10-Q filings through July 2026. Its business model includes managing assets and generating income through net interest and noninterest income streams. The company has reported revenues of approximately $8.09 billion for the full year 2025 and net income of $792.2 million for Q2 2026. Earnings per share data is available for Q1 2026, showing basic EPS of $2.72 and diluted EPS of $2.71. Recent earnings calls and news coverage highlight growth in net interest income and assets under management, as well as dividend increases, reflecting ongoing operational execution.

Executive summary

Financial figures (if any) are summarized from the latest available SEC filings and are provided for informational purposes only — not financial advice.

Scenarios for NTRS

Bull case model:

Northern Trust demonstrates operational strength through consistent revenue generation and net income growth, supported by increases in net interest income and assets under management. The company’s dividend increases indicate a commitment to returning value to shareholders. Its established presence in wealth management and financial services provides a platform for continued client engagement and fee income generation. The detailed earnings call transcripts and positive market coverage reflect ongoing business momentum and execution.

Bear case model:

Risks include sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations impacting net interest income, market volatility affecting assets under management and fee income, and regulatory changes in the financial services industry. The absence of disclosed liquidity ratios in recent filings may limit visibility into short-term financial flexibility. Competitive pressures in wealth management and financial services could impact growth and profitability. External macroeconomic factors such as geopolitical tensions and market instability may also pose challenges to business operations and financial performance.

Moat:

Northern Trust's moat is derived from its established position in wealth management and financial services, supported by a broad client base and scale in assets under management. The company's ability to generate recurring net interest income and noninterest income, along with its regulatory compliance and risk management capabilities, contribute to its competitive positioning. The extensive disclosure and transparency in financial reporting also support investor confidence and operational clarity.

Risks overview
Risks summary
Interest rate fluctuations and market volatility represent significant risks to Northern Trust's financial performance, alongside regulatory and competitive challenges.
Risks details:

• Interest Rate Risk: Changes in interest rates can affect the company’s net interest income and overall profitability.
• Market Volatility: Fluctuations in financial markets can impact assets under management and fee-based revenues.
• Regulatory Environment: Evolving financial regulations may increase compliance costs and operational complexity.
• Competitive Pressure: Competition in wealth management and financial services could limit growth opportunities.
• Macroeconomic and Geopolitical Risks: Global economic and political uncertainties may adversely affect business conditions and client behavior.

FINAL FORECAST FOR NTRS

Final take one line
Northern Trust Corporation exhibits very high visibility through detailed SEC filings and extensive recent earnings coverage highlighting operational execution and financial performance.
Final take 12 to 24 month view

Business trends: Growth in net interest income and assets under management with dividend increases indicate ongoing operational momentum.
Execution milestones: Completion and disclosure of Q2 2026 earnings with detailed earnings call transcripts and financial highlights.
Key risks: Exposure to interest rate fluctuations, market volatility, regulatory changes, and competitive pressures in financial services.

Valye AI Visibility Research Score

Very high visibility

Visibility score reflects the breadth and consistency of available disclosure across SEC filings, recent public reporting, and baseline business context (research-only; not investment advice).

87
LLM visibility overview
LLM Visibility known facts
  • Northern Trust Corporation is a financial services company with publicly disclosed financials through SEC filings including a 10-K filed on 2026-02-24 and a 10-Q filed on 2026-07-30 [S1][S2].
  • The company reported full year 2025 revenues of approximately $8.09 billion USD as of December 31, 2025 [S1].
  • Northern Trust reported net income of approximately $792.2 million USD for the quarter ended June 30, 2026 [S2].
  • Basic earnings per share were $2.72 and diluted earnings per share were $2.71 for the quarter ended March 31, 2026 [S2].
  • Liquidity ratios such as current ratio and cash ratio are not disclosed in the latest SEC filings [S2].
  • Recent news coverage includes detailed Q2 2026 earnings call transcripts and highlights, indicating higher net interest income (NII) and assets under management (AUM) growth, along with a dividend increase [N3][N5][N6][N7][N8].
  • Northern Trust's business model involves wealth management and financial services, as indicated by segment references in SEC filings [S1].
  • The company is covered extensively in financial news outlets with multiple articles discussing earnings, valuation, and market positioning [N3][N5][N6][N7][N8].
Sources
Sources - Context summary

Generated 2026-07-31

Sources - Earning calls
  • N3
  • N6
Sources - Other context
Sources - SEC Filings
  • S1 | 2026-02-24 | 10-K
  • S2 | 2026-07-30 | 10-Q
Sources - News headlines
  • N1 | 2026-07-29 | www.nasdaq.com | State Street to Expand Latam Presence With Santander CACEIS JV Buyout | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/state-street-expand-latam-presence-santander-caceis-jv-buyout
  • N2 | 2026-07-28 | www.nasdaq.com | HSBC to Divest Singapore Insurance Unit to Allianz for $2.09B | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/hsbc-divest-singapore-insurance-unit-allianz-209b
  • N3 | 2026-07-23 | www.nasdaq.com | Northern Trust (NTRS) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/northern-trust-ntrs-q2-2026-earnings-call-transcript
  • N4 | 2026-07-22 | www.nasdaq.com | Stock Indexes Mixed Ahead of Alphabet’s Earnings | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/stock-indexes-mixed-ahead-alphabets-earnings
  • N5 | 2026-07-22 | www.nasdaq.com | NTRS Q2 Earnings Beat on Higher NII & AUM Growth, Dividend Raised | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/ntrs-q2-earnings-beat-higher-nii-aum-growth-dividend-raised
  • N6 | 2026-07-22 | www.nasdaq.com | Northern Trust Q2 Earnings Call Highlights | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/northern-trust-q2-earnings-call-highlights
  • N7 | 2026-07-22 | www.nasdaq.com | Northern Trust (NTRS) Reports Q2 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/northern-trust-ntrs-reports-q2-earnings-what-key-metrics-have-say
  • N8 | 2026-07-22 | www.nasdaq.com | Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/northern-trust-corporation-ntrs-q2-earnings-and-revenues-top-estimates
Important legal disclaimer

This material is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, legal or tax advice, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security. The Valye AI Score is a model-based estimate derived from public information and is subject to change without notice. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information herein. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should conduct their own research and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

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