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Company

OKTA INC

Ticker
OKTA
Sector
Technology
Industry
Software - Infrastructure
Report date
February 1, 2026
Valye AI Score

86

Very high visibility
Valye AI Visibility Research Score

Very high visibility

Visibility score reflects the breadth and consistency of available disclosure across SEC filings, recent public reporting, and baseline business context (research-only; not investment advice).

86
Recent developments

Scenarios for OKTA

Recent developments summary

Recent news highlights Okta's improved profitability alongside ongoing challenges with credibility and cautious guidance. Security issues remain a focus, with analysis discussing the company's technology moves and risk profile.

Recent developments:
  • Okta reported increased profits but continues to face challenges in restoring credibility with customers and the market.[N1]
  • Discussions around whether Okta has moved past its prior security issues remain active, with insights into its latest technology developments.[N2]
  • Despite beating Q1 earnings estimates, Okta's shares declined following cautious guidance commentary from management.[N4]
  • Analyses consider Okta's risk-reward profile in the current market environment, reflecting mixed investor sentiment.[N3]
Overview

Okta Inc operates in the software infrastructure industry, providing cloud-based identity and access management solutions. Its platform supports secure authentication, authorization, and lifecycle management for enterprise customers. The company emphasizes security compliance, holding certifications such as SOC 2 Type II, ISO/IEC standards, and FedRAMP authorization. Okta's revenue model is subscription-based, with revenue recognized ratably over service periods. The company faces intense competition from larger technology firms, including Microsoft, and must manage growth, customer retention, and evolving technology demands. Okta's business is subject to risks from cybersecurity incidents, economic conditions, regulatory compliance, and operational execution.

Executive summary

What this means

Financial figures (if any) are summarized from the latest available SEC filings and are provided for informational purposes only — not financial advice. Okta Inc is a technology company specializing in identity and access management software solutions delivered primarily via subscription. The company has attained multiple security and privacy certifications and operates in a highly competitive market with significant exposure to cybersecurity risks. Okta achieved profitability in fiscal 2025 but has a history of losses and faces risks related to customer retention, competition, economic conditions, and execution of growth strategies. As of October 31, 2025, Okta held $645 million in cash and equivalents and $1.818 billion in short-term investments, with a current ratio of 1.47 and a cash ratio of 1.13, indicating liquidity to support operations. Recent news highlights ongoing challenges with credibility and cautious guidance despite profit improvements.[S1][N1]

Scenarios for OKTA

Bull case model:

Okta has achieved profitability recently and maintains a strong liquidity position with over $2.4 billion in combined cash and short-term investments as of October 2025. Its platform's multiple security certifications and compliance with stringent regulatory frameworks support customer trust and retention. The company’s subscription model provides recurring revenue streams, and its partner ecosystem facilitates market reach and implementation. Continued innovation and effective management of growth and customer satisfaction could support sustained business performance.[S1][N1]

Bear case model:

Okta operates in a highly competitive market with dominant players like Microsoft, which have greater financial and technical resources. The company has a history of losses and may face challenges maintaining consistent profitability. Risks include cybersecurity incidents that could damage reputation, fluctuations in customer spending due to economic conditions, and execution risks related to managing growth and restructuring efforts. Customer retention and expansion are critical, and failure to maintain these could adversely impact revenue. The company's convertible notes maturing in 2026 may also pose liquidity risks.[S1][N1]

Moat:

Okta's moat is primarily based on its specialized identity and access management platform with multiple security and privacy certifications, which are critical for enterprise customers. Its extensive partner ecosystem and integration capabilities create network effects that support customer retention and expansion. However, the company faces strong competition from larger firms with broader product portfolios and greater resources, which challenges its competitive position. Okta's focus on security compliance and certifications provides differentiation but requires ongoing investment to maintain.

Risks overview
Risks summary
The most significant risks for Okta include intense competition, cybersecurity vulnerabilities, customer retention challenges, and economic conditions that may reduce demand for its solutions.
Risks details:

• Economic and Market Conditions: Adverse economic conditions, inflation, interest rates, and geopolitical events may reduce customer spending on identity solutions, impacting revenue and cash flows.
• Competition: Intense competition from larger, well-established companies with greater resources may lead to price pressure, loss of market share, and reduced profitability.
• Cybersecurity and Privacy Risks: Past cybersecurity incidents have harmed reputation and financial results. Future incidents or failure to maintain security certifications could adversely affect business and customer trust.
• Customer Retention and Growth: Revenue depends on renewing subscriptions and expanding customer base. Failure to retain or grow customers could harm revenue and profitability.
• Operational Execution: Challenges in managing rapid growth, restructuring, and maintaining service levels could impact customer satisfaction and financial results.
• Regulatory Compliance: Compliance with global data protection laws and privacy regulations is complex and failure to comply could result in penalties and loss of customers.
• Liquidity and Convertible Notes: Convertible notes maturing in 2026 may affect liquidity and stock value. Failure to meet obligations could lead to defaults and financial strain.

LLM visibility overview
LLM Visibility known facts
  • Okta Inc operates in the Technology sector, specifically in Software - Infrastructure.
  • Okta provides identity and access management solutions primarily through subscription-based platforms.
  • The company has attained multiple security certifications including SOC 2 Type II, CSA Star Level 2, ISO/IEC 27001:2022, ISO/IEC 27017:2015, ISO/IEC 27018:2019, and complies with FedRAMP and HIPAA security requirements.
  • Okta's platform supports FIPS 140-2 encryption requirements.
  • Okta's business depends on retaining existing customers and expanding its customer base, with revenues primarily from subscription renewals and additional license purchases.
  • The company faces intense competition, notably from larger firms such as Microsoft, with competitors having greater resources and broader product offerings.
  • Okta has experienced rapid growth historically but faces challenges managing growth and maintaining service levels.
  • The company has a history of losses but achieved profitability in fiscal 2025, with net income of $43 million for the quarter ended October 31, 2025.
  • As of October 31, 2025, Okta had $645 million in cash and equivalents and $1.818 billion in short-term investments, with a current ratio of 1.47 and a cash ratio of 1.13.
  • Okta's results of operations may fluctuate quarterly due to factors including demand variability, competition, security incidents, and sales cycle timing.
  • The company has experienced cybersecurity incidents in the past that impacted reputation and financial results and remains exposed to similar risks.
  • Okta depends on third-party partners for sales and implementation, which can affect growth and customer satisfaction.
  • The company is subject to global data protection laws and privacy regulations, which impact its operations and contractual obligations.
  • Okta's customer base includes public sector entities, which involve specific risks related to budget cycles and compliance requirements.
  • The company faces risks from economic conditions, including inflation, interest rates, and geopolitical events, which can affect customer spending on identity solutions.
  • Okta's convertible notes due in 2026 may affect liquidity and stock value depending on conversion events.
  • The company has undertaken restructuring efforts to reduce expenses and improve profitability, which may impact employee morale and execution.
  • Okta's revenue recognition is primarily ratable over subscription periods, causing lag effects from changes in sales activity.

FINAL FORECAST FOR OKTA

Final take one line
Okta exhibits high business model visibility with detailed SEC disclosures and recent news highlighting profitability gains amid ongoing credibility and security challenges.
Final take 12 to 24 month view

Business trends: Okta's business is characterized by subscription-based identity management solutions with increasing profitability and ongoing security focus. Execution milestones: Managing growth, maintaining security certifications, and customer retention are critical milestones. Key risks: Intense competition, cybersecurity incidents, economic conditions affecting customer spending, and liquidity risks related to convertible notes.

Final take watchlist summary
Sources
Sources - Context summary

Generated 2026-02-01

Sources - Earning calls
Sources - Other context
Sources - SEC Filings
  • S1 | 2025-12-02 | 10-Q
Sources - News headlines
  • N1 | 2026-02-01 | Yahoo Finance | Okta’s Profits Are Up, But Its Credibility Still Hasn’t Recovered | https://finance.yahoo.com/news/okta-profits-credibility-still-hasn-122357786.html?fr=sycsrp_catchall
  • N2 | 2026-02-01 | benzinga.com | IsOktaPast Its Security Issues? Stock Insights and Latest Tech Moves | https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/03/44463331/is-okta-past-its-security-issues-stock-insights-and-latest-tech-moves
  • N3 | 2026-02-01 | insidermonkey.com | DoesOkta(OKTA) Offer an Attractive Risk-Reward Profile? | https://www.insidermonkey.com/blog/does-okta-okta-offer-an-attractive-risk-reward-profile-1575123/
  • N4 | 2026-02-01 | Analysis: benzinga.com | OktaBeats Q1 Earnings Estimates, Shares Tumble On Cautious Guidance Commentary | https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/25/05/45630958/okta-beats-q1-earnings-estimates-shares-tumble-on-cautious-guidance-commentary
Important legal disclaimer

This material is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, legal or tax advice, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security. The Valye AI Score is a model-based estimate derived from public information and is subject to change without notice. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information herein. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should conduct their own research and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

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Generated by Valye SEC Pipeline Engine

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