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Company

OLD SECOND BANCORP INC

Ticker
OSBC
Sector
Industry
Report date
November 4, 2026
Valye AI Score

93

Very high visibility
Recent developments
Recent developments summary

Recent developments focus on the third quarter 2026 earnings results and operational highlights, including net income and key financial metrics.

Recent developments:
  • Old Second Bancorp reported third quarter 2026 net income of $28.9 million with basic EPS of $0.57 and diluted EPS of $0.56 [N3][S2].
  • The company’s Q3 2026 earnings call discussed operational performance and risk management strategies [N1][N2].
  • News coverage highlighted that the company missed Q3 earnings and revenue estimates but provided detailed analysis of key metrics [N4][N5].
  • Liquidity remains strong with cash and cash equivalents of $108.1 million as of September 30, 2026 [S2].
Overview

Old Second Bancorp Inc operates as a financial institution with a focus on liquidity management, interest rate risk control, and balance sheet optimization. The company maintains a diversified funding base including deposits, borrowings, and securities portfolios. It employs quarterly stress testing and monthly management reviews to monitor liquidity risk, with oversight by the Board of Directors. Interest rate risk is managed within policy limits using asset-liability modeling and derivatives. The company’s balance sheet is moderately asset sensitive, with variable rate assets repricing faster than deposits. As of late 2025 and mid-2026, the company reported strong liquidity, growing loan portfolios, and positive net income.

Executive summary

Financial figures (if any) are summarized from the latest available SEC filings and are provided for informational purposes only — not financial advice. Old Second Bancorp Inc is a financial institution with a strong liquidity profile supported by diverse funding sources and a stable deposit base. The company actively manages interest rate risk and liquidity through established governance and risk management frameworks. Recent SEC filings disclose $28.9 million net income for Q3 2026 and $108.1 million in cash and equivalents as of September 30, 2026. The balance sheet shows significant loan and deposit growth with detailed disclosures on assets, liabilities, and equity. Recent earnings call transcripts and news coverage provide additional clarity on operational performance and risk management.

Scenarios for OSBC

Bull case model:

The company demonstrates disciplined liquidity and interest rate risk management, supported by a diversified funding base and a stable deposit franchise. Its asset-sensitive balance sheet and use of derivatives for risk mitigation provide flexibility in varying rate environments. Recent acquisitions have contributed to portfolio diversification and risk profile flattening. Continued operational execution and risk oversight could sustain financial performance and support growth in assets and earnings.

Bear case model:

Risks include sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations which can materially impact net interest income and earnings. The company faces potential credit risk from its loan portfolio and off-balance sheet commitments. Economic conditions, regulatory changes, and competitive pressures could affect deposit stability and funding costs. Inflationary pressures may increase expenses and impact borrower creditworthiness. The company’s exposure to market and liquidity risks requires ongoing management vigilance.

Moat:

Old Second Bancorp's moat is supported by its strong liquidity profile, diverse funding sources including Federal Home Loan Bank and Federal Reserve borrowings, and a stable core deposit base. Its risk management framework, including regular stress testing and asset-liability committee oversight, helps mitigate interest rate and liquidity risks. The company's scale with multi-billion dollar assets and deposits, combined with its governance and risk controls, provide competitive resilience in the regional banking sector.

Risks overview
Risks summary
Interest rate risk is a significant factor affecting earnings due to the company’s asset-sensitive balance sheet and exposure to rate fluctuations.
Risks details:

• Interest Rate Risk: The company’s earnings and financial condition are sensitive to changes in interest rates due to its asset-sensitive balance sheet and variable rate assets repricing faster than deposits. Interest rate fluctuations can materially impact net interest income and earnings.
• Credit Risk: The loan portfolio carries credit risk, including potential losses from borrower defaults. The allowance for credit losses is maintained but economic downturns or borrower financial stress could increase credit losses.
• Liquidity Risk: Although the company maintains a strong liquidity profile, disruptions in funding sources or deposit withdrawals could strain liquidity. The company performs regular stress testing to monitor this risk.
• Regulatory and Economic Risks: Changes in regulatory policies or adverse economic conditions could impact operations, capital requirements, and profitability. Inflationary pressures may increase operating costs and affect borrower credit quality.

FINAL FORECAST FOR OSBC

Final take one line
Old Second Bancorp exhibits very high visibility with comprehensive SEC disclosures and detailed recent earnings coverage supporting clarity on its financial and operational profile.
Final take 12 to 24 month view

Business trends: Continued focus on liquidity management, interest rate risk mitigation, and portfolio diversification through acquisitions.
Execution milestones: Regular quarterly earnings releases, ongoing stress testing, and asset-liability committee oversight.
Key risks: Interest rate sensitivity, credit risk in loan portfolio, liquidity pressures, and regulatory/economic uncertainties.

Valye AI Visibility Research Score

Very high visibility

Visibility score reflects the breadth and consistency of available disclosure across SEC filings, recent public reporting, and baseline business context (research-only; not investment advice).

93
LLM visibility overview
LLM Visibility known facts
  • Old Second Bancorp Inc is a financial institution with a strong liquidity profile supported by diverse funding sources, a large securities portfolio, and a stable core deposit base as of December 31, 2025 [S1].
  • The company monitors liquidity risk through quarterly stress tests and monthly management reviews, with Board oversight quarterly [S1].
  • Cash and cash equivalents were $124.0 million at December 31, 2025, increasing from $99.3 million at December 31, 2024 [S1].
  • Additional funding sources at the end of 2025 included unused borrowing capacity of $850.7 million from the Federal Home Loan Bank of Chicago, Federal Reserve Bank, and correspondent banks, plus $410.3 million in unencumbered securities available for sale [S1].
  • The company manages interest rate risk within established policy guidelines, using asset-liability modeling and interest rate derivatives, with oversight by an asset-liability committee and Board of Directors [S1].
  • The balance sheet is moderately asset sensitive, with variable rate assets repricing faster than the deposit base [S1].
  • Net interest income sensitivity analysis shows earnings increase when interest rates rise and decrease when rates fall, with a notable flattening of interest rate risk profile due to acquisition of fixed rate consumer loan portfolio [S1].
  • As of September 30, 2026, cash and cash equivalents were $108.1 million [S2].
  • For the third quarter ended September 30, 2026, net income was $28.94 million, with basic EPS of $0.57 and diluted EPS of $0.56 [S2].
  • Total assets were $6.9 billion as of December 31, 2025, with total deposits of $5.6 billion and total stockholders' equity of $896.8 million [S1].
  • The company holds a loan portfolio of approximately $5.25 billion with an allowance for credit losses of $72.3 million as of December 31, 2025 [S1].
  • Recent earnings call transcripts and highlights provide detailed discussion of third quarter 2026 results and operational performance [N1][N2].
  • News coverage includes detailed earnings reports and analysis of key metrics for Q3 2026 [N3][N4][N5].
Sources
Sources - Context summary

Generated 2026-11-04

Sources - Earning calls
  • N1
  • N2
Sources - Other context
Sources - SEC Filings
  • S1 | 2026-02-26 | 10-K
  • S2 | 2026-11-04 | 10-Q
Sources - News headlines
  • N1 | 2026-10-22 | www.nasdaq.com | Old Second Bancorp (OSBC) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/old-second-bancorp-osbc-q3-2026-earnings-call-transcript
  • N2 | 2026-10-22 | www.nasdaq.com | Old Second Bancorp Q3 Earnings Call Highlights | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/old-second-bancorp-q3-earnings-call-highlights
  • N3 | 2026-10-22 | www.nasdaq.com | Old Second Bancorp, Inc. Reports Third Quarter 2026 Net Income of $28.9 Million | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/old-second-bancorp-inc-reports-third-quarter-2026-net-income-289-million
  • N4 | 2026-10-21 | www.nasdaq.com | Old Second Bancorp (OSBC) Misses Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/old-second-bancorp-osbc-misses-q3-earnings-and-revenue-estimates
  • N5 | 2026-10-21 | www.nasdaq.com | Old Second Bancorp (OSBC) Reports Q3 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/old-second-bancorp-osbc-reports-q3-earnings-what-key-metrics-have-say
  • N6 | 2026-10-15 | www.nasdaq.com | First Interstate BancSystem (FIBK) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/first-interstate-bancsystem-fibk-reports-next-week-wall-street-expects-earnings-growth
  • N7 | 2026-07-27 | www.nasdaq.com | Are You Looking for a Top Momentum Pick? Why Old Second Bancorp (OSBC) is a Great Choice | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/are-you-looking-top-momentum-pick-why-old-second-bancorp-osbc-great-choice
  • N8 | 2026-07-23 | www.nasdaq.com | Old Second Bancorp Q2 Earnings Call Highlights | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/old-second-bancorp-q2-earnings-call-highlights
Important legal disclaimer

This material is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, legal or tax advice, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security. The Valye AI Score is a model-based estimate derived from public information and is subject to change without notice. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information herein. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should conduct their own research and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

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