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Company

Prairie Operating Co.

Ticker
PROP
Sector
Industry
Report date
August 15, 2026
Valye AI Score

100

Very high visibility
Recent developments
Recent developments summary

Prairie Operating Co. reported Q2 earnings above estimates and experienced management changes with the promotion of its CFO to CEO and appointment of a new CFO. Analyst commentary noted expectations of earnings decline prior to the Q2 report.

Recent developments:
  • Prairie Operating Co. reported Q2 earnings above estimates, reflecting operational performance improvements [N1].
  • Analysts had estimated a decline in earnings prior to the Q2 report, highlighting some market uncertainty [N6].
  • The company promoted CFO Gregory Patton to CEO and appointed Michael Shelly as the new CFO in June 2026, indicating leadership transition [S6].
Overview

Prairie Operating Co. operates primarily in the Denver-Julesburg Basin in Weld County, Colorado, focusing on crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. The company’s assets include approximately 45,000 net leasehold acres in its Central Weld Assets and 23,000 net leasehold acres in its Genesis Assets. It pursues growth through organic drilling and accretive acquisitions, emphasizing capital efficiency and environmental responsibility. The company employs advanced drilling technologies and maintains a disciplined capital allocation strategy. Its proved reserves totaled approximately 121.1 MMBoe as of December 31, 2025, with a PV-10 value of $1.22 billion. The company’s stock is listed on Nasdaq but is currently under notice for minimum bid price compliance [S1][S2][Q0].

Executive summary

Financial figures (if any) are summarized from the latest available SEC filings and are provided for informational purposes only — not financial advice. Prairie Operating Co. is an independent oil and natural gas company focused on the DJ Basin in Colorado, with significant acreage and proved reserves. The company reported net income of $109 million and basic EPS of $1.75 for Q2 2026, with liquidity ratios indicating a current ratio of 0.25 as of June 30, 2026. Recent news includes Q2 earnings above estimates and management changes [S1][S2][N1].

Scenarios for PROP

Bull case model:

The company’s large and growing acreage position in a prolific basin, combined with its use of next-generation drilling technologies and disciplined capital management, supports potential for operational growth. Accretive acquisitions and a focus on liquids-rich assets may enhance cash flow generation. Recent earnings above estimates and management continuity may support execution of its development plans [N1][S1].

Bear case model:

Prairie Operating Co. faces risks from commodity price fluctuations that could impact drilling activity and production economics. The company’s liquidity ratios indicate a low current ratio, which may constrain financial flexibility. Additionally, the company is under Nasdaq notice for minimum bid price compliance, posing a risk of delisting. Execution risks include the uncertainty of development plans resulting in economic production and integration of acquisitions [Q0][S2][S1].

Moat:

Prairie Operating Co.’s moat is based on its strategic asset location in the DJ Basin, which is considered a premier resource play with low break-even prices and a long production history. The company’s extensive leasehold acreage, significant proved reserves, and use of advanced drilling and completion technologies contribute to operational efficiency and well economics. Its management’s experience in acquisitions and development further supports its competitive position. However, the company faces typical industry risks including commodity price volatility and regulatory challenges [S1].

Risks overview
Risks summary
Commodity price volatility combined with liquidity constraints and Nasdaq listing compliance risks represent the primary challenges to the company’s operational and financial stability.
Risks details:

• Commodity Price Volatility: Fluctuations in oil, natural gas, and NGL prices can materially affect the company’s drilling plans, production economics, and cash flow.
• Liquidity and Financial Flexibility: The company’s current ratio of 0.25 as of June 30, 2026, indicates limited short-term liquidity, which may constrain operational and strategic flexibility.
• Nasdaq Listing Compliance: The company received a notice for not meeting the minimum $1.00 bid price requirement, with a compliance deadline in December 2026. Failure to regain compliance could lead to delisting.
• Execution Risk: There is no guarantee that the company’s development plans will result in successful production of economic quantities of oil and natural gas. Integration of acquisitions and operational execution remain critical.

FINAL FORECAST FOR PROP

Final take one line
Prairie Operating Co. has moderate visibility supported by detailed SEC disclosures and recent earnings news, with key risks including commodity price volatility, liquidity constraints, and Nasdaq listing compliance.
Final take 12 to 24 month view

Business trends: Focus on organic drilling growth and accretive acquisitions in the DJ Basin, leveraging advanced technology and capital discipline.
Execution milestones: Completion of planned drilling programs, integration of recent acquisitions, and management transition to new CEO and CFO.
Key risks: Commodity price fluctuations impacting drilling and production economics, liquidity challenges, and potential Nasdaq delisting due to minimum bid price non-compliance.

Valye AI Visibility Research Score

Very high visibility

Visibility score reflects the breadth and consistency of available disclosure across SEC filings, recent public reporting, and baseline business context (research-only; not investment advice).

100
LLM visibility overview
LLM Visibility known facts
  • Prairie Operating Co. is an independent oil and natural gas company focused on acquisition and development of crude oil, natural gas, and NGLs primarily in Weld County, Colorado, within the Denver-Julesburg Basin (DJ Basin) [S1].
  • The company’s assets include Central Weld Assets (~45,000 net leasehold acres) and Genesis Assets (~23,000 net leasehold acres) as of December 31, 2025 [S1].
  • Central Weld Assets were acquired through multiple transactions in 2024 and 2025, including from Nickel Road Development LLC, Bayswater Resources, LLC, Edge Energy II LLC, Summit Oil & Gas, LLC, and Crown Exploration II, Ltd [S1].
  • The company’s development plan includes drilling and completing approximately 40 gross wells in 2026, with further development planned in 2027, subject to commodity prices [S1].
  • Prairie Operating uses advanced technology such as 3-D seismic mapping and geo-steering to improve drilling efficiency and well results [S1].
  • The company’s proved reserves as of December 31, 2025, total approximately 121.1 MMBoe, primarily acquired during 2025, with a standardized measure of discounted future net cash flows of $851.7 million and PV-10 of $1.22 billion [S1].
  • Prairie Operating reported net income of $109.0 million and basic EPS of $1.75 for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, with revenue of $68.1 million reported for Q2 2025 [S2].
  • Liquidity ratios as of June 30, 2026, include a current ratio of 0.25 and a cash ratio of 0, with cash and equivalents of $21,000 and current liabilities of $167.4 million [S2].
  • The company’s common stock is listed on Nasdaq but received a notice in July 2026 for not meeting the minimum $1.00 bid price requirement, with a compliance deadline of December 29, 2026 [Q0].
  • Management changes include promotion of Gregory S. Patton from CFO to CEO in June 2026 and appointment of Michael Shelly as CFO [S6].
  • Recent news highlights include Q2 earnings reported above estimates and analyst commentary on potential earnings decline [N1][N6].
Sources
Sources - Context summary

Generated 2026-08-15

Sources - Earning calls
Sources - Other context
Sources - SEC Filings
  • S1 | 2026-03-30 | 10-K
  • S2 | 2026-08-14 | 10-Q
Sources - News headlines
  • N1 | 2026-08-14 | www.nasdaq.com | Prairie Operating Co. (PROP) Q2 Earnings Top Estimates | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/prairie-operating-co-prop-q2-earnings-top-estimates
  • N2 | 2026-08-11 | www.nasdaq.com | Sable Offshore Corp. (SOC) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Lag Estimates | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/sable-offshore-corp-soc-q2-earnings-and-revenues-lag-estimates
  • N3 | 2026-08-07 | www.nasdaq.com | Kimbell Royalty (KRP) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Surpass Estimates | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/kimbell-royalty-krp-q2-earnings-and-revenues-surpass-estimates
  • N4 | 2026-08-06 | www.nasdaq.com | ConocoPhillips (COP) Tops Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/conocophillips-cop-tops-q2-earnings-and-revenue-estimates
  • N5 | 2026-08-05 | www.nasdaq.com | Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/occidental-petroleum-oxy-q2-earnings-and-revenues-top-estimates
  • N6 | 2026-08-04 | www.nasdaq.com | Analysts Estimate Prairie Operating Co. (PROP) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/analysts-estimate-prairie-operating-co-prop-report-decline-earnings-what-look-out
  • N7 | 2026-08-03 | www.nasdaq.com | Tidewater (TDW) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/tidewater-tdw-q2-earnings-and-revenues-beat-estimates
  • N8 | 2026-07-30 | www.nasdaq.com | Cactus, Inc. (WHD) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Surpass Estimates | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/cactus-inc-whd-q2-earnings-and-revenues-surpass-estimates
Important legal disclaimer

This material is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, legal or tax advice, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security. The Valye AI Score is a model-based estimate derived from public information and is subject to change without notice. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information herein. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should conduct their own research and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

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