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Company

STARBUCKS CORP

Ticker
SBUX
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Restaurants
Report date
January 28, 2026
Valye AI Score

86

Very high visibility
Valye AI Visibility Research Score

Very high visibility

Visibility score reflects the breadth and consistency of available disclosure across SEC filings, recent public reporting, and baseline business context (research-only; not investment advice).

86
Recent developments

Scenarios for SBUX

Recent developments summary

Recent news highlights Starbucks's operational progress with US sales growth, governance decisions, and leadership recognition.

Recent developments:
  • Starbucks posted its first quarter of US sales growth in two years, indicating a turnaround in its business performance [N1].
  • The company mandated CEO private jet use following a security review, reflecting governance and operational oversight [N2].
  • Analysts and market watchers are focusing on Starbucks's upcoming earnings report, signaling interest in its near-term financial results [N3].
  • Public commentary praises CEO Brian Niccol's strategic approach, describing it as having 'cracked the code' for the company [N4].
Overview

Starbucks Corporation is a global coffeehouse chain operating primarily in the consumer cyclical sector under the restaurants industry classification. The company operates through company-operated and licensed stores, generating revenue from beverage and food sales as well as other related products and services. Starbucks files detailed financial reports with the SEC, including annual 10-K and quarterly 10-Q filings, which provide insights into its financial performance, liquidity, and segment operations. The company maintains a significant cash position and current assets relative to liabilities, supporting operational liquidity. Recent news coverage highlights a return to US sales growth and strategic governance decisions, reflecting ongoing business developments.

Executive summary

What this means

Financial figures (if any) are summarized from the latest available SEC filings and are provided for informational purposes only — not financial advice. Starbucks Corporation operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, specifically in the Restaurants industry. The company reported approximately $9.92 billion in revenue and $293.3 million in net income for the quarter ending December 28, 2025. Liquidity ratios as of that date include a current ratio of 1.05 and a cash ratio of 0.28. Recent business news indicates the company posted its first quarter of US sales growth in two years, signaling operational progress. Additional news covers governance decisions and strategic leadership commentary [N1][N2][N3][N4][S1][S2].

Scenarios for SBUX

Bull case model:

The company has demonstrated operational resilience with recent US sales growth after a period of stagnation, indicating potential for renewed momentum [N1]. Strategic leadership under CEO Brian Niccol is recognized publicly for effective execution [N4]. Starbucks's liquidity position and diversified store base provide a foundation for continued business stability and potential expansion. Governance actions such as CEO private jet use mandates reflect attention to operational oversight [N2].

Bear case model:

Starbucks faces risks related to competitive pressures in the restaurant and coffeehouse industry, which could impact sales and margins. The relatively modest net income compared to revenue suggests ongoing cost or margin challenges. Operational execution risks remain as the company navigates market dynamics and consumer preferences. Governance and reputational risks could arise from public scrutiny of executive decisions. Economic or geopolitical factors could also affect global store operations and supply chains.

Moat:

Starbucks benefits from a strong brand presence and a global network of company-operated and licensed stores, which creates customer loyalty and scale advantages. Its diversified store formats and product offerings contribute to competitive positioning. The company's ability to generate consistent revenue streams from both retail and licensed operations supports its market moat. Additionally, Starbucks's operational scale and brand recognition create barriers to entry for competitors in the premium coffeehouse segment.

Risks overview
Risks summary
Competitive pressures and operational execution challenges represent the primary risks to Starbucks's business model and financial performance.
Risks details:

• Competitive Market Risks: The restaurant and coffeehouse industry is highly competitive, which may pressure Starbucks's sales growth and profitability.
• Operational Execution Risks: Challenges in maintaining consistent growth and managing costs could impact financial performance.
• Governance and Reputational Risks: Decisions such as CEO private jet use may attract public scrutiny and affect company reputation.
• Economic and Geopolitical Risks: Global operations expose Starbucks to risks from economic downturns, regulatory changes, and supply chain disruptions.

LLM visibility overview
LLM Visibility known facts
  • Starbucks Corporation operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector within the Restaurants industry.
  • The company reports quarterly and annual financials to the SEC, with the latest 10-Q filed on 2026-01-28 and 10-K on 2025-11-14.
  • As of the quarter ending 2025-12-28, Starbucks reported revenue of approximately $9.92 billion and net income of $293.3 million USD.
  • The company had cash and cash equivalents of about $3.18 billion USD as of 2022-07-03, and current assets of $12.02 billion USD with current liabilities of $11.49 billion USD as of 2025-12-28, resulting in a current ratio of 1.05 and a cash ratio of 0.28.
  • Starbucks operates both company-operated stores and licensed stores, as indicated by segment disclosures in SEC filings.
  • Recent news highlights include Starbucks posting its first quarter of US sales growth in two years, indicating a turnaround in performance [N1].
  • The company has mandated CEO private jet use after a security review, reflecting governance and operational decisions [N2].
  • There is anticipation and analysis around Starbucks's upcoming earnings report [N3].
  • Public commentary includes recognition of CEO Brian Niccol's strategic approach, described as having 'cracked the code' for the company [N4].
  • Financial figures are summarized from the latest available SEC filings and are provided for informational purposes only — not financial advice.

FINAL FORECAST FOR SBUX

Final take one line
Starbucks exhibits very high business model visibility supported by detailed SEC filings and recent primary news coverage highlighting operational progress and governance actions.
Final take 12 to 24 month view

Business trends: Starbucks shows signs of operational recovery with US sales growth resuming after two years, alongside strategic leadership recognition.
Execution milestones: Continued quarterly financial reporting with detailed segment disclosures and governance decisions such as CEO private jet use mandate.
Key risks: Competitive pressures, operational execution challenges, governance scrutiny, and economic/geopolitical uncertainties remain relevant.

Final take watchlist summary
Sources
Sources - Context summary

Generated 2026-01-29

Sources - Earning calls
Sources - Other context
Sources - SEC Filings
  • S1 | 2025-11-14 | 10-K
  • S2 | 2026-01-28 | 10-Q
Sources - News headlines
  • N1 | 2026-01-29 | aol.com | Starbucks earnings: Company posts first quarter of US sales growth in 2 years as turnaround continues | https://www.aol.com/finance/starbucks-earnings-company-posts-first-124759872.html
  • N2 | 2026-01-29 | Yahoo Finance | Starbucks Mandates CEO Private Jet Use After Security Review | https://finance.yahoo.com/news/starbucks-mandates-ceo-private-jet-150841357.html
  • N3 | 2026-01-29 | benzinga.com | A Look at Starbucks's Upcoming Earnings Report | https://www.benzinga.com/insights/earnings/26/01/50158486/a-look-at-starbuckss-upcoming-earnings-report
  • N4 | 2026-01-29 | invezz.com | Starbucks stock: Cramer says buy as Brian Niccol has ‘cracked the code’ | https://invezz.com/news/2026/01/28/starbucks-stock-cramer-says-buy-as-brian-niccol-has-cracked-the-code/
Important legal disclaimer

This material is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, legal or tax advice, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security. The Valye AI Score is a model-based estimate derived from public information and is subject to change without notice. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information herein. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should conduct their own research and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

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Generated by Valye SEC Pipeline Engine

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