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Company

ORIGIN AGRITECH LTD

Ticker
SEED
Sector
Basic Materials
Industry
Agricultural Inputs
Report date
January 30, 2026
Valye AI Score

92

Very high visibility
Valye AI Visibility Research Score

Very high visibility

Visibility score reflects the breadth and consistency of available disclosure across SEC filings, recent public reporting, and baseline business context (research-only; not investment advice).

92
Recent developments

Scenarios for SEED

Recent developments summary

Recent developments include the announcement of fiscal year 2025 results, operational upgrades at the Xinjiang plant, new seed facility operations, patent licensing agreements, and investment agreements.

Recent developments:
  • Origin Agritech announced its fiscal year 2025 financial results, reporting revenue of approximately $12.85 million USD and a net loss of about $7.51 million USD [N1].
  • The company is upgrading its Xinjiang seed production plant, which has contributed to reported losses during the upgrade period [N2].
  • Origin Agritech entered into a patent license agreement with Shunfeng BioTech for the Cas-SF01 gene editing platform, expanding its technology portfolio [N3].
  • The company began operations at a new seed facility, enhancing its production capabilities [N7].
  • Investment agreements were announced, supporting the company's funding and growth initiatives [N6].
  • Insiders have experienced appreciation on investments, indicating some shareholder value recognition [N4].
  • The company’s stock experienced a significant after-hours price increase, reflecting market reaction to recent news [N8].
Overview

Origin Agritech Ltd operates in the agricultural inputs sector, focusing on hybrid crop seed development, production, and distribution primarily in China. The company controls its PRC operating entities through contractual arrangements with VIEs due to foreign ownership restrictions. Its business model includes research and development of seed technologies, production at upgraded facilities, and sales to a concentrated customer base. The company also engages in patent licensing and strategic investment agreements. Financially, Origin Agritech reported revenues of approximately $12.85 million USD and a net loss of $7.51 million USD for fiscal year 2025, with liquidity constraints reflected in a current ratio of 0.44. The company disclosed material weaknesses in internal controls related to accounting personnel and processes. It maintains a cybersecurity program and has not experienced material cybersecurity incidents recently. Origin Agritech is actively managing funding and operational risks in a complex regulatory and economic environment [S1][N1][N2][N3][N6][N7].

Executive summary

What this means

Financial figures (if any) are summarized from the latest available SEC filings and are provided for informational purposes only — not financial advice. Origin Agritech Ltd is a hybrid crop seed developer, producer, and distributor operating primarily in China through subsidiaries and VIEs. The company reported fiscal year 2025 revenue of approximately $12.85 million USD and a net loss of about $7.51 million USD, with negative earnings per share of 7.12 CNY. It disclosed a material weakness in internal controls over financial reporting due to staffing limitations. Recent developments include plant upgrades, new seed facility operations, patent licensing agreements, and investment agreements. The company faces liquidity challenges with a current ratio below 1 and is exploring funding alternatives. Risks include foreign currency exposure, regulatory environment, inflation, and operational execution [S1][N1][N2][N3].

Scenarios for SEED

Bull case model:

Origin Agritech's recent operational milestones, including the commencement of seed facility operations and patent licensing agreements, demonstrate active execution of its business strategy. The company's ability to raise capital through investment agreements and share sales provides financial resources to support growth initiatives. Its focus on hybrid seed technology and gene editing platforms positions it in a specialized niche within agricultural inputs. If the company successfully addresses internal control weaknesses and liquidity challenges, it may enhance operational efficiency and market presence [N1][N3][N6][N7].

Bear case model:

The company reported a net loss and negative earnings per share for fiscal 2025, alongside a working capital deficit and low liquidity ratios, indicating financial strain. Material weaknesses in internal controls over financial reporting highlight risks in financial management and compliance. Customer concentration and exposure to foreign currency fluctuations add to operational risks. The complex regulatory environment in China, including foreign ownership restrictions and inflationary pressures, may adversely impact business performance. Challenges in securing qualified accounting personnel and funding alternatives present ongoing risks to execution and financial stability [S1][N2].

Moat:

Origin Agritech's moat is based on its specialized hybrid crop seed development and production capabilities in China, supported by proprietary seed technologies and patent licensing agreements such as the Cas-SF01 gene editing platform. The company's control over PRC operating entities through contractual VIE arrangements allows it to operate in a restricted foreign investment sector. Its established relationships with key customers and ongoing investments in seed production facilities contribute to its competitive position. However, the company faces challenges including regulatory restrictions, customer concentration, and operational risks that may affect the sustainability of its competitive advantages [S1][N3].

Risks overview
Risks summary
Liquidity constraints combined with internal control weaknesses and regulatory risks in China represent the most significant challenges to Origin Agritech's operational and financial stability.
Risks details:

• Financial and Liquidity Risk: The company reported a net loss and working capital deficit with a current ratio of 0.44 as of September 30, 2025, indicating liquidity constraints. It depends on external financing and operational cash flow to meet obligations.
• Internal Control Weaknesses: Material weaknesses in internal control over financial reporting were identified due to insufficient qualified accounting personnel and inadequate separation of duties, which may affect financial reporting reliability.
• Regulatory and Political Risk: Operating primarily in China, the company faces risks from changes in government policies, foreign ownership restrictions, inflation, and currency exchange rate fluctuations that could impact operations and financial results.
• Customer Concentration: Top three customers accounted for approximately 46% of revenues in fiscal 2025, exposing the company to risks if any major customer reduces orders or delays payments.
• Foreign Currency Risk: Revenues and expenses are denominated in Renminbi with cash mostly held in Renminbi, exposing the company to exchange rate fluctuations that may affect financial position.

LLM visibility overview
LLM Visibility known facts
  • Origin Agritech Ltd is principally engaged in hybrid crop seed development, production, and distribution.
  • The company operates through multiple subsidiaries and variable interest entities primarily in the People's Republic of China (PRC), including Xinjiang Originbo Seed Company Limited (70.52% ownership) and several others with ownership ranging from 51% to 100%.
  • Origin Agritech uses contractual arrangements with variable interest entities (VIEs) to control PRC operating companies due to foreign ownership restrictions in the agricultural seed industry.
  • The company consolidates financial results of its VIEs in accordance with U.S. GAAP.
  • As of September 30, 2025, Origin Agritech reported revenue of approximately $12.85 million USD and a net loss of approximately $7.51 million USD.
  • Basic and diluted earnings per share for fiscal year 2025 were negative 7.12 CNY per share.
  • The company had cash and cash equivalents of approximately $2.23 million USD and current assets of about $9.3 million USD as of September 30, 2025, with current liabilities of approximately $21.0 million USD, resulting in a current ratio of 0.44 and a cash ratio of 0.11.
  • Origin Agritech disclosed a material weakness in internal control over financial reporting related to insufficient qualified accounting personnel and separation of duties as of September 30, 2025.
  • The company has been upgrading its Xinjiang seed production plant and began operations at a new seed facility.
  • Origin Agritech entered into a patent license agreement with Shunfeng BioTech for the Cas-SF01 gene editing platform.
  • The company has announced investment agreements and has sold shares under an 'at the market' arrangement raising approximately $5.38 million USD during fiscal 2025.
  • Top three customers represented approximately 17.8%, 16.3%, and 11.8% of total consolidated revenues in fiscal 2025, indicating some customer concentration.
  • The company faces foreign currency risk due to revenues and expenses denominated in Renminbi and cash held mostly in Renminbi, with some exposure to exchange rate fluctuations.
  • Origin Agritech maintains a cybersecurity program with board oversight and has not experienced material cybersecurity incidents in the past two years.
  • The company has government subsidies recognized as other income, with RMB 5.56 million received in fiscal 2025.
  • Origin Agritech's accumulated deficit was RMB 634.2 million as of September 30, 2025, and it reported a working capital deficit of RMB 83.3 million.
  • The company is evaluating funding alternatives including licensing products, government grants, capital investments, and asset sales to support operations.
  • Depreciation and amortization expenses are recorded for plant, equipment, and intangible assets, including technology rights for licensed seeds.
  • The company disclosed risks related to inflation in China, political and social conditions, and regulatory changes affecting its operations.

FINAL FORECAST FOR SEED

Final take one line
Origin Agritech operates a specialized hybrid seed business in China with moderate visibility supported by detailed SEC disclosures and recent operational developments.
Final take 12 to 24 month view

Business trends: The company is advancing hybrid seed technology development, expanding production capacity, and engaging in patent licensing and investment agreements.
Execution milestones: Completion of seed facility operations, upgrades to Xinjiang plant, and securing patent licenses and investment funding.
Key risks: Financial liquidity constraints, internal control weaknesses, regulatory and political risks in China, customer concentration, and foreign currency exposure.

Final take watchlist summary
Sources
Sources - Context summary

Generated 2026-01-30

Sources - Earning calls
Sources - Other context
  • S1
  • S2
Sources - SEC Filings
  • S1 | 2026-01-30 | 20-F
  • S2 | 2025-09-30 | 6-K
Sources - News headlines
  • N1 | 2026-01-30 | www.prnewswire.com | Origin Agritech Announces Fiscal Year 2025 Results | https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/origin-agritech-announces-fiscal-year-2025-results-302675279.html
  • N2 | 2026-01-30 | stocktitan.net | Chinese seed maker Origin Agritech posts loss as it upgrades Xinjiang plant | https://www.stocktitan.net/news/SEED/origin-agritech-announces-fiscal-year-2025-psksjvrgj18t.html
  • N3 | 2026-01-30 | igrownews.com | Origin Agritech Enters Patent License Agreement with Shunfeng BioTech for Cas-SF01 Gene Editing Platform | https://igrownews.com/origin-agritech-latest-news/
  • N4 | 2026-01-30 | simplywall.st | Origin Agritech Insiders Enjoying CN¥240k Appreciation On CN¥2.40m Investment | https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/food-beverage-tobacco/nasdaq-seed/origin-agritech/news/origin-agritech-insiders-enjoying-cn240k-appreciation-on-cn2
  • N5 | 2026-01-30 | Yahoo Finance | Origin Agritech Announces Fiscal Year 2025 Results | https://finance.yahoo.com/news/origin-agritech-announces-fiscal-2025-220000865.html
  • N6 | 2026-01-30 | nasdaq.com | Origin Agritech Announces Investment Agreements | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/origin-agritech-announces-investment-agreements
  • N7 | 2026-01-30 | world-grain.com | Origin Agritech begins seed facility operations | https://www.world-grain.com/articles/21786-origin-agritech-begins-seed-facility-operations
  • N8 | 2026-01-30 | benzinga.com | Why Origin Agritech Stock Soared 92% After Hours? | https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/10/48216856/why-origin-agritech-stock-soared-92-after-hours
Important legal disclaimer

This material is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, legal or tax advice, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security. The Valye AI Score is a model-based estimate derived from public information and is subject to change without notice. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information herein. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should conduct their own research and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

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Generated by Valye SEC Pipeline Engine

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