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Company

United States Gasoline Fund, LP

Ticker
UGA
Sector
Industry
Report date
November 9, 2026
Valye AI Score

82

Very high visibility
Recent developments
Recent developments summary

Recent news coverage highlights UGA's trading performance, including reaching new 52-week highs in 2026 and reporting a trading loss in November 2025. The fund is noted among top-performing ETF areas and is discussed in the context of rising interest in oil and gasoline ETFs.

Recent developments:
  • United States Gasoline Fund reported a trading loss in November 2025, reflecting volatility in gasoline futures prices and market conditions [N5].
  • UGA touched new 52-week highs in September 2026, indicating periods of strong market performance [N2].
  • The fund also hit new 52-week highs in July 2026, reflecting positive investor interest [N3].
  • UGA was highlighted as a top-performing ETF area in the first half of 2026, showing notable market activity [N4].
  • Oil ETFs, including UGA, have surged in investor interest, reflecting broader commodity market trends [N1].
  • UGA was in focus ahead of Memorial Day travel in 2025, indicating seasonal demand impacts on gasoline prices [N6].
Overview

United States Gasoline Fund, LP (UGA) is an exchange-traded fund focused on tracking the price of gasoline through investments in gasoline futures contracts and related instruments. The fund invests primarily in benchmark gasoline futures contracts traded on the NYMEX and may also use contracts on ICE Futures or other exchanges to meet investment objectives while managing regulatory position limits and accountability levels. UGA employs a strategy of rolling futures contracts from the near month to subsequent months to avoid position limits near contract expiration. The fund's shares trade on the NYSE Arca exchange and it has an unlimited number of shares authorized for issuance. UGA's expenses include management fees, brokerage commissions, and other operational costs. The fund's NAV and asset levels are influenced by gasoline price fluctuations, market conditions, and interest rates on Treasury and cash investments. UGA is subject to risks including commodity price volatility, regulatory constraints, interest rate and inflation risks, and potential impacts from geopolitical and macroeconomic events.

Executive summary

Financial figures (if any) are summarized from the latest available SEC filings and are provided for informational purposes only — not financial advice. United States Gasoline Fund, LP (UGA) is an exchange-traded fund that primarily invests in gasoline futures contracts to track gasoline prices. The fund manages regulatory constraints such as position limits and accountability levels on futures contracts and employs a rolling strategy to manage contract expirations. UGA's financial snapshot as of September 30, 2026, shows cash and equivalents of approximately $93.2 million, revenues of about $51.2 million, and net income near $50.8 million for the quarter. The fund's NAV and assets have fluctuated with gasoline price volatility and market conditions. Risks include commodity price volatility, regulatory limits, interest rate and inflation risks, and macroeconomic disruptions. Recent news highlights UGA's trading performance and market interest in gasoline and oil ETFs.

Scenarios for UGA

Bull case model:

UGA offers investors a direct and liquid vehicle to gain exposure to gasoline price movements through futures contracts, benefiting from its established market presence and regulatory compliance. The fund's rolling strategy and diversified futures holdings across exchanges help manage position limits and maintain tracking of gasoline prices. Recent market interest in oil and gasoline ETFs highlights investor demand for commodity exposure, potentially supporting liquidity and trading activity in UGA shares.

Bear case model:

UGA faces risks from regulatory position limits and accountability levels that may restrict its ability to fully invest in benchmark gasoline futures contracts, potentially causing tracking errors. Volatility in gasoline futures prices, including contango and backwardation effects, can negatively impact returns. Interest rate fluctuations and inflation may reduce the value of cash and Treasury investments held by the fund. Additionally, geopolitical conflicts, natural disasters, and public health disruptions can cause commodity price volatility and liquidity challenges, increasing investment risk.

Moat:

UGA's moat lies in its specialized focus on gasoline futures contracts, providing investors with direct exposure to gasoline price movements through a regulated and liquid exchange-traded fund structure. Its established relationships with authorized participants and adherence to regulatory position limits support operational continuity. The fund's daily NAV calculation and rolling futures strategy help maintain alignment with gasoline price benchmarks. However, the fund's performance and tracking ability are subject to commodity market volatility and regulatory constraints, which can affect its competitive positioning.

Risks overview
Risks summary
The primary risks for UGA stem from commodity price volatility and regulatory constraints on futures positions, which can affect the fund's ability to track gasoline prices accurately and impact investment returns.
Risks details:

• Commodity Price Volatility: UGA's investment returns are directly affected by fluctuations in gasoline futures prices, which can be volatile due to market supply and demand, geopolitical events, and economic conditions.
• Regulatory Position Limits: Federal and exchange-imposed position limits and accountability levels may restrict UGA's ability to hold certain futures contracts, potentially causing tracking errors relative to gasoline prices.
• Interest Rate Risk: Changes in interest rates can affect the value of UGA's Treasury and cash investments, potentially reducing income and asset values.
• Inflation Risk: Rising inflation can erode the present value of UGA's assets, including cash and fixed income holdings.
• Market and Liquidity Risks: Natural disasters, public health crises, geopolitical conflicts, and other macroeconomic factors can impact commodity prices and the liquidity of UGA's investments.
• Money Market Fund Risk: Investments in government money market funds carry risks including potential loss of principal and share price fluctuations, as these funds are not insured or guaranteed by the FDIC or other agencies.

FINAL FORECAST FOR UGA

Final take one line
UGA is a gasoline futures-focused ETF with detailed regulatory compliance and market exposure, facing typical commodity and regulatory risks.
Final take 12 to 24 month view

Business trends: Continued volatility in gasoline futures prices and growing investor interest in commodity ETFs shape UGA's market environment.
Execution milestones: Ongoing management of regulatory position limits, daily NAV calculations, and futures contract rolling strategies maintain fund operations.
Key risks: Regulatory constraints on futures positions, commodity price volatility, interest rate and inflation risks, and macroeconomic disruptions remain significant challenges.

Valye AI Visibility Research Score

Very high visibility

Visibility score reflects the breadth and consistency of available disclosure across SEC filings, recent public reporting, and baseline business context (research-only; not investment advice).

82
LLM visibility overview
LLM Visibility known facts
  • United States Gasoline Fund, LP (UGA) is an exchange-traded fund that invests primarily in gasoline futures contracts and other gasoline-related investments to track the price of gasoline.
  • UGA holds futures contracts traded on the NYMEX and may also invest in contracts on ICE Futures or other exchanges if regulatory limits are reached.
  • As of December 31, 2025, UGA held 1,072 gasoline futures contracts on NYMEX and did not exceed accountability levels or position limits imposed by NYMEX or ICE Futures.
  • UGA's investment strategy involves rolling futures contracts from the near month to the next month starting two weeks before expiration to avoid position limits.
  • UGA is subject to federal position limits under CFTC regulations and does not qualify for exemptions, which may affect its ability to invest in benchmark futures contracts.
  • UGA invests substantially all proceeds in benchmark gasoline futures contracts and related investments.
  • UGA is not a Swap Entity but is a financial end-user subject to variation margin requirements for swaps it enters into.
  • UGA calculates its per share NAV daily using NYMEX closing prices and other relevant market prices.
  • UGA had 1,250,000 shares outstanding as of December 31, 2025, with an unlimited number of shares authorized for issuance.
  • UGA's expenses include management fees, brokerage fees, commissions, offering costs, licensing fees, registration fees, and fees for independent directors and tax accounting.
  • For the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, UGA's per share NAV decreased primarily due to lower gasoline prices and related futures contract values.
  • UGA's average daily total net assets decreased from approximately $100.5 million in 2024 to $77.0 million in 2025.
  • UGA earned dividend and interest income on Treasuries and cash equivalents, with a yield of 4.01% for 2025, down from 4.92% in 2024.
  • UGA held cash and cash equivalents of approximately $93.2 million as of September 30, 2026.
  • UGA reported revenues of approximately $51.2 million and net income of approximately $50.8 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2026.
  • UGA faces risks including price volatility of gasoline futures, regulatory position limits, interest rate risk affecting Treasury investments, inflation risk, and potential losses from government money market funds.
  • Natural disasters, public health disruptions, geopolitical conflicts, and other macroeconomic factors can impact gasoline prices and UGA's investment values.
  • UGA's management fee is calculated as a percentage of total net assets, accrued daily and paid monthly.
  • UGA's gasoline futures prices experienced volatility with periods of contango and backwardation affecting total returns.
  • UGA's shares trade on the NYSE Arca exchange.
  • Recent news highlights include UGA touching new 52-week highs in 2026 and reports of trading losses in November 2025.
  • UGA is mentioned in recent news as a top-performing ETF area in the first half of 2026 and in the context of commodity investor interest in oil ETFs.
Sources
Sources - Context summary

Generated 2026-11-09

Sources - Earning calls
Sources - Other context
Sources - SEC Filings
  • S1 | 2026-02-27 | 10-K
  • S2 | 2026-11-06 | 10-Q
Sources - News headlines
  • N1 | 2026-09-21 | www.nasdaq.com | Oil ETFs Surge: What's Next for Commodity Investors? | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/oil-etfs-surge-whats-next-commodity-investors
  • N2 | 2026-09-17 | www.nasdaq.com | Gasoline ETF (UGA) Touches New 52-Week High | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/gasoline-etf-uga-touches-new-52-week-high
  • N3 | 2026-07-24 | www.nasdaq.com | Gasoline ETF (UGA) Hits New 52-Week High | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/gasoline-etf-uga-hits-new-52-week-high
  • N4 | 2026-07-02 | www.nasdaq.com | Top-Performing ETF Areas of 1H 2026 | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/top-performing-etf-areas-1h-2026
  • N5 | 2026-02-28 | www.nasdaq.com | United States Gasoline Fund Reports November Trading Loss | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/united-states-gasoline-fund-reports-november-trading-loss
  • N6 | 2025-05-21 | www.nasdaq.com | Gasoline ETF in Focus Ahead of Memorial Day Travel | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/gasoline-etf-focus-ahead-memorial-day-travel
Important legal disclaimer

This material is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, legal or tax advice, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security. The Valye AI Score is a model-based estimate derived from public information and is subject to change without notice. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information herein. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should conduct their own research and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

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