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Company

United States 12 Month Natural Gas Fund, LP

Ticker
UNL
Sector
Industry
Report date
November 9, 2026
Valye AI Score

98

Very high visibility
Recent developments
Recent developments summary

Recent news coverage highlights UNL's status as very oversold, the impact of global supply shocks on LNG production, and the influence of geopolitical tensions on natural gas ETFs.

Recent developments:
  • UNL has been described as getting very oversold in recent market commentary, indicating significant price declines relative to historical levels [N1][N2].
  • Global supply shocks have rattled LNG production, drawing attention to natural gas ETFs including UNL as market participants assess supply constraints [N3].
  • Energy crises and geopolitical conflicts, such as tensions in Iran, have increased focus on natural gas ETFs as investors monitor commodity price impacts [N4].
  • UNL reported strong earnings in November, reflecting operational results amid market volatility [N5].
  • UNL has been noted among best-performing ETF areas in recent weeks, highlighting periods of positive market performance [N6][N7].
  • Discussions on the timing of investing in natural gas ETFs have included UNL as a key fund for exposure to natural gas price movements [N8].
Overview

United States 12 Month Natural Gas Fund, LP is a publicly registered commodity fund that invests in natural gas futures contracts to track the price of natural gas over a 12-month rolling period. The fund holds futures contracts for the near month and the subsequent 11 months, rolling contracts as they approach expiration. UNL's portfolio includes cash, U.S. Treasury bills, and government money market funds to manage liquidity and margin requirements. The fund is subject to regulatory position limits and accountability levels imposed by futures exchanges and the CFTC. UNL's NAV and share price fluctuate with natural gas futures prices, which are influenced by market conditions, geopolitical events, and macroeconomic factors such as inflation and interest rates. The fund's expenses include management fees, brokerage commissions, and other operational costs. UNL's shares trade on the NYSE Arca exchange under the ticker UNL.

Executive summary

United States 12 Month Natural Gas Fund, LP (UNL) is a commodity fund investing in natural gas futures contracts traded primarily on NYMEX and ICE Futures. The fund seeks to track the price of natural gas over a rolling 12-month period by holding futures contracts for the near month and the following 11 months. As of September 30, 2026, UNL held approximately $16.1 million in assets, including cash, U.S. Treasury obligations, and futures contracts with an unrealized loss of about $2.3 million. The fund's NAV per share was $5.71 at that date, down from $7.34 at the end of 2025. UNL's operations and risks are detailed in recent SEC filings, including position limits, margin requirements, and exposure to commodity price volatility influenced by geopolitical and macroeconomic factors. Financial figures (if any) are summarized from the latest available SEC filings and are provided for informational purposes only — not financial advice.

Scenarios for UNL

Bull case model:

UNL offers investors direct exposure to natural gas price movements through a diversified portfolio of futures contracts spanning 12 months, which can be attractive during periods of natural gas market volatility or supply constraints. The fund's liquidity management through cash and Treasury investments supports operational stability. Market interest in natural gas ETFs amid geopolitical tensions and supply shocks may increase investor attention to UNL's strategy.

Bear case model:

UNL faces risks from commodity price volatility, regulatory position limits, and potential tracking errors due to futures contract roll strategies and margin requirements. The fund's NAV can be negatively impacted by adverse natural gas price movements, geopolitical conflicts, inflation, and interest rate changes. Investments in government money market funds and Treasury obligations carry risks of principal loss and value fluctuations. UNL's expenses and operational costs may also affect net returns to investors.

Moat:

UNL's moat derives from its specialized investment strategy focused on natural gas futures contracts over a 12-month rolling period, providing investors with targeted exposure to natural gas price movements. The fund's regulatory compliance, established relationships with authorized participants, and operational infrastructure for managing futures contracts and margin requirements support its market position. However, as a commodity fund, its performance and attractiveness are closely tied to natural gas market dynamics and regulatory frameworks rather than proprietary technology or unique competitive advantages.

Risks overview
Risks summary
The primary risks for UNL stem from natural gas price volatility, regulatory limits on futures positions, and macroeconomic factors affecting commodity and fixed income markets.
Risks details:

• Commodity Price Volatility: Natural gas futures prices are subject to significant volatility influenced by market supply and demand, geopolitical events, and macroeconomic factors, which can adversely affect UNL's NAV and share price.
• Regulatory Position Limits and Accountability Levels: UNL must comply with position limits and accountability levels set by futures exchanges and the CFTC, which may restrict investment size and require position reductions, potentially causing tracking errors.
• Margin Requirements and Swap Regulations: UNL is subject to variation margin requirements for swaps and futures contracts, which can affect liquidity and operational costs.
• Interest Rate and Inflation Risks: Changes in interest rates and inflation can impact the value of UNL's Treasury and money market investments, potentially reducing income and asset values.
• Operational and Expense Risks: Management fees, brokerage commissions, and other operational expenses reduce net assets and returns to investors.
• Geopolitical and Environmental Risks: Events such as wars, sanctions, natural disasters, and public health disruptions can cause commodity price volatility and impact UNL's investment value.

FINAL FORECAST FOR UNL

Final take one line
UNL is a natural gas futures commodity fund with very high visibility into its regulated investment strategy, portfolio composition, and market risks.
Final take 12 to 24 month view

Business trends: Natural gas market volatility and geopolitical tensions continue to influence UNL's investment environment.
Execution milestones: Compliance with regulatory position limits and margin requirements; maintaining portfolio alignment with 12-month natural gas futures.
Key risks: Commodity price fluctuations, regulatory constraints, interest rate and inflation impacts, and geopolitical events affecting natural gas supply and demand.

Valye AI Visibility Research Score

Very high visibility

Visibility score reflects the breadth and consistency of available disclosure across SEC filings, recent public reporting, and baseline business context (research-only; not investment advice).

98
LLM visibility overview
LLM Visibility known facts
  • United States 12 Month Natural Gas Fund, LP (UNL) is a commodity fund investing primarily in natural gas futures contracts traded on the NYMEX and ICE Futures exchanges as part of its investment objective to track natural gas prices over 12 consecutive months.
  • UNL invests in 12 consecutive months of natural gas futures contracts, including the near-month contract and the following 11 months, rolling contracts when near-month contracts approach expiration.
  • As of December 31, 2025, UNL held 502 NYMEX Natural Gas Futures contracts and did not exceed accountability or position limits imposed by NYMEX or ICE Futures during 2025.
  • UNL is subject to federal position limits under CFTC regulations and may adjust investments if limits or accountability levels are exceeded, potentially causing tracking errors.
  • UNL is not a Swap Entity but is a financial end-user subject to variation margin requirements for swaps it enters into, without material swaps exposure requiring initial margin.
  • UNL's net asset value (NAV) per share was $5.71 as of September 30, 2026, down from $7.34 at December 31, 2025, with 2,800,000 shares outstanding as of November 3, 2026.
  • UNL's total assets were approximately $16.1 million as of September 30, 2026, including cash and cash equivalents of about $13.6 million and short-term U.S. Treasury obligations valued at approximately $1.0 million.
  • UNL's liabilities totaled approximately $110,000 as of September 30, 2026, with partners' capital at about $16.0 million.
  • UNL's investment portfolio includes open commodity futures contracts with a total notional value of approximately $18.3 million and an unrealized loss on open futures contracts of about $2.3 million as of September 30, 2026.
  • UNL invests in government money market funds and U.S. Treasury bills, which carry risks including potential loss of principal and fluctuations in value due to interest rate changes.
  • UNL's expenses include management fees, brokerage commissions, licensing fees, and other operational costs, with management fees calculated as a percentage of total net assets.
  • Natural disasters, geopolitical conflicts, inflation, and interest rate changes can impact natural gas prices and thus affect UNL's investment value and NAV.
  • UNL's NAV and share price are influenced by the volatility and price movements of natural gas futures, which experienced both contango and backwardation states during 2025.
  • UNL's NAV per share decreased approximately 9.61% during 2025, while the benchmark natural gas futures contracts increased approximately 2.79% over the same period, illustrating potential tracking differences.
  • UNL's shares trade on the NYSE Arca exchange under the ticker symbol UNL.
  • Recent news highlights include discussions of UNL being very oversold, impacts of global supply shocks on LNG production, and natural gas ETFs amid geopolitical tensions such as the Iran war, reflecting market and geopolitical influences on the fund's underlying commodity exposure.
Sources
Sources - Context summary

Generated 2026-11-09

Sources - Earning calls
Sources - Other context
Sources - SEC Filings
  • S1 | 2026-03-04 | 10-K
  • S2 | 2026-11-06 | 10-Q
Sources - News headlines
  • N1 | 2026-10-28 | www.nasdaq.com | United States 12 Month Natural Gas Fund Getting Very Oversold | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/united-states-12-month-natural-gas-fund-getting-very-oversold-0
  • N2 | 2026-08-06 | www.nasdaq.com | United States 12 Month Natural Gas Fund Getting Very Oversold | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/united-states-12-month-natural-gas-fund-getting-very-oversold
  • N3 | 2026-04-28 | www.nasdaq.com | Global Supply Shock Rattles LNG Production: Natural Gas ETFs in Focus | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/global-supply-shock-rattles-lng-production-natural-gas-etfs-focus
  • N4 | 2026-03-23 | www.nasdaq.com | Natural Gas ETFs to Watch as Energy Crisis Deepens Amid Iran War | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/natural-gas-etfs-watch-energy-crisis-deepens-amid-iran-war
  • N5 | 2026-03-04 | www.nasdaq.com | United States Gas Fund Reports Strong November Earnings | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/united-states-gas-fund-reports-strong-november-earnings
  • N6 | 2026-02-03 | www.nasdaq.com | Best-Performing ETF Areas of Last Week | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/best-performing-etf-areas-last-week
  • N7 | 2025-12-08 | www.nasdaq.com | Best-Performing ETFs of Last Week | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/best-performing-etfs-last-week-4
  • N8 | 2025-04-01 | www.nasdaq.com | Is Now the Right Time to Invest in a Natural Gas ETF? | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/now-right-time-invest-natural-gas-etf
Important legal disclaimer

This material is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, legal or tax advice, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security. The Valye AI Score is a model-based estimate derived from public information and is subject to change without notice. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information herein. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should conduct their own research and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

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