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Company

YPF SOCIEDAD ANONIMA

Ticker
YPF
Sector
Industry
Report date
March 26, 2026
Valye AI Score

100

Very high visibility
Recent developments
Recent developments summary

Recent news highlights include a 5.3% stock price surge in March 2026, Q4 earnings affected by lower hydrocarbon production, rig lease agreements for Vaca Muerta operations, and Shell’s exit from Vaca Muerta shale assets. The company targets a 2026 final investment decision for an LNG project amid scope changes leading to Shell’s exit.

Recent developments:
  • YPF’s stock surged 5.3% in March 2026, reflecting market interest in the company’s prospects [N1].
  • Q4 2025 earnings were impacted by lower hydrocarbon production, affecting financial performance [N3].
  • Patterson-UTI signed a rig lease deal for Archer’s Vaca Muerta operations, indicating ongoing development activity [N6].
  • Shell is considering exiting Argentina’s Vaca Muerta shale assets, which may affect joint operations and project scope [N5].
  • YPF targets a 2026 final investment decision for its LNG project, with Shell exiting due to scope changes [N8].
Overview

YPF SOCIEDAD ANONIMA operates a fully integrated oil and gas business in Argentina, with leading market positions across upstream, midstream, downstream, LNG, integrated gas, and new energies segments. The company’s hydrocarbon production is concentrated in the Neuquina, Golfo San Jorge, Austral, and Noroeste basins. As of December 31, 2025, YPF held substantial developed and undeveloped acreage, with a portfolio of exploration permits and exploitation concessions operated and non-operated. The company engages in joint ventures and contractual arrangements with varying ownership interests. In 2025, YPF drilled multiple wells and maintained active development and exploratory activities. Financially, the company reported $18.448 billion in revenue and a net loss of $799 million for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, with liquidity ratios below 1 indicating some short-term liquidity constraints. Recent news highlights operational developments including rig lease deals and strategic asset sales, as well as challenges such as lower hydrocarbon production impacting earnings.

Executive summary

Financial figures (if any) are summarized from the latest available SEC filings and are provided for informational purposes only — not financial advice. YPF SOCIEDAD ANONIMA is Argentina's leading integrated energy company with significant upstream oil and gas operations concentrated in key Argentine basins. The company holds extensive acreage and operates numerous exploration permits and exploitation concessions. In 2025, YPF reported revenues of $18.448 billion USD and a net loss of $799 million USD, with liquidity ratios indicating a current ratio of 0.87 and cash ratio of 0.16 as of December 31, 2025. Recent developments include strategic asset transactions, rig lease agreements, and a targeted LNG project FID in 2026. Risks include execution of upstream portfolio optimization, legal proceedings, and cybersecurity threats.

Scenarios for YPF

Bull case model:

YPF’s integrated business model and extensive acreage in prolific Argentine basins provide a foundation for sustained hydrocarbon production. The company’s active drilling and development programs, including unconventional resources in Vaca Muerta, support resource base growth. Strategic initiatives such as the targeted LNG project and asset optimization efforts could enhance operational efficiency and market positioning. Partnerships and joint ventures enable risk sharing and access to technical expertise. Liquidity management and debt repurchases indicate proactive financial stewardship. Positive market reactions to recent developments reflect investor interest in YPF’s growth potential [N1][N6][N8].

Bear case model:

The company reported a net loss in 2025, reflecting challenges including lower hydrocarbon production impacting earnings. Liquidity ratios below 1 suggest short-term financial constraints. Execution risks exist related to the upstream portfolio optimization plan, with potential failure to realize expected operational improvements. Legal proceedings and regulatory risks in Argentina could impose material costs or operational restrictions. Cybersecurity threats and derivative financial instrument exposures present additional operational risks. Market volatility and geopolitical factors, such as Shell’s exit from Vaca Muerta assets, may affect project continuity and investment attractiveness [N3][N5][S1].

Moat:

YPF’s moat derives from its dominant position in Argentina’s energy sector, extensive acreage holdings in key hydrocarbon basins, and integrated operations spanning the full oil and gas value chain. The company’s control over significant exploration permits and exploitation concessions, combined with its technical expertise and joint venture partnerships, supports its competitive position. Additionally, YPF’s involvement in LNG and new energy segments provides diversification within the energy transition context. Regulatory and operational complexities in Argentina create barriers to entry for competitors, reinforcing YPF’s market position.

Risks overview
Risks summary
Execution of upstream portfolio optimization amid legal, financial, and cybersecurity risks represents the primary challenge to YPF’s operational and financial stability.
Risks details:

• Execution Risk: Failure to fully execute the optimization plan of the conventional upstream portfolio could adversely impact production and financial results [S1].
• Legal and Regulatory Risks: Ongoing legal proceedings and regulatory compliance challenges in Argentina may result in material costs, fines, or operational restrictions [S1].
• Liquidity and Financial Risks: Liquidity ratios below 1 and reliance on debt instruments expose the company to refinancing and covenant risks [S1].
• Cybersecurity Risks: Increasing cyberattacks and system failures could disrupt operations and compromise sensitive information [S1].
• Market and Commodity Price Risks: Fluctuations in oil and gas prices and geopolitical events may impact revenues and project economics [N4][N5].

FINAL FORECAST FOR YPF

Final take one line
YPF is a leading integrated Argentine energy company with detailed operational disclosures and active development amid execution and market risks.
Final take 12 to 24 month view

Business trends: Continued focus on upstream portfolio optimization, unconventional resource development, and LNG project advancement.
Execution milestones: Drilling and production activities in key basins, rig lease agreements, and targeted LNG FID in 2026.
Key risks: Execution challenges, legal and regulatory uncertainties, liquidity constraints, and cybersecurity threats.

Valye AI Visibility Research Score

Very high visibility

Visibility score reflects the breadth and consistency of available disclosure across SEC filings, recent public reporting, and baseline business context (research-only; not investment advice).

100
LLM visibility overview
LLM Visibility known facts
  • YPF SOCIEDAD ANONIMA is Argentina's leading energy company operating a fully integrated oil and gas chain including upstream, midstream, downstream, LNG, integrated gas, and new energies segments [S1].
  • The company’s hydrocarbon production is concentrated in Argentina, primarily in the Neuquina, Golfo San Jorge, Austral, and Noroeste basins [S1].
  • As of December 31, 2025, YPF held approximately 824 thousand gross developed acres and 16,415 thousand gross undeveloped acres in Argentina, with net developed and undeveloped acreage of 548 thousand and 8,868 thousand acres respectively [S1].
  • YPF operates 78 exploration permits and 65 exploitation concessions in Argentina, with ownership interests ranging from 22.5% to 100% depending on the block [S1].
  • The company drilled 3 gross oil wells and 4 exploratory productive wells in 2025 in Argentina, with a total of 134 gross wells in the process of being drilled as of December 31, 2025 [S1].
  • YPF participates in joint ventures and contractual arrangements with ownership interests between 16.9% and 70%, with 42 total joint ventures as of December 31, 2025 [S1].
  • In 2025, YPF’s conventional and tight hydrocarbon production from operated activities was 149.4 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day (kboe/d), representing 28% of total production net to YPF [S1].
  • The company’s 2025 revenue was approximately $18.448 billion USD, with a net loss of $799 million USD and basic and diluted EPS of -2.11 USD per share for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025 [S1].
  • Liquidity ratios as of December 31, 2025, include a current ratio of 0.87 and a cash ratio of 0.16, with cash and cash equivalents totaling $933 million USD and short-term investments of $262 million USD [S1].
  • YPF repurchased Class XXX Notes totaling approximately $15.66 million USD par value in March 2026, originally issued in 2024 and 2025 with maturity in July 2026 [S2].
  • Recent news highlights include a 5.3% stock price surge in March 2026, Q4 earnings impacted by lower hydrocarbon production, rig lease deals for Vaca Muerta operations, and Shell’s exit from Vaca Muerta shale assets [N1][N3][N5][N6].
  • The company targets a 2026 final investment decision (FID) for an LNG project, with Shell exiting due to scope changes [N8].
  • YPF’s upstream portfolio optimization plan includes conventional activities and development of unconventional acreage, with risks related to execution of this plan [S1].
  • The company faces risks from legal proceedings, cybersecurity threats, derivative financial instruments, and regulatory compliance, which could materially affect operations and financial condition [S1].
Sources
Sources - Context summary

Generated 2026-03-26

Sources - Earning calls
Sources - Other context
Sources - SEC Filings
  • S1 | 2026-03-26 | 20-F
  • S2 | 2026-03-25 | 6-K
Sources - News headlines
  • N1 | 2026-03-20 | www.nasdaq.com | YPF Sociedad Anonima (YPF) Surges 5.3%: Is This an Indication of Further Gains? | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/ypf-sociedad-anonima-ypf-surges-53-indication-further-gains
  • N2 | 2026-03-11 | www.nasdaq.com | Wednesday Sector Leaders: Rental, Leasing, & Royalty, Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing Stocks | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/wednesday-sector-leaders-rental-leasing-royalty-oil-gas-refining-marketing-stocks
  • N3 | 2026-03-05 | www.nasdaq.com | YPF Q4 Earnings Miss Estimates on Lower Hydrocarbon Production | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/ypf-q4-earnings-miss-estimates-lower-hydrocarbon-production
  • N4 | 2026-03-04 | www.nasdaq.com | 3 Targeted Oil Plays as the Iran Crisis Lifts Crude | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/3-targeted-oil-plays-iran-crisis-lifts-crude
  • N5 | 2026-01-26 | www.nasdaq.com | Shell Weighs Exit From Argentina's Vaca Muerta Shale Assets | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/shell-weighs-exit-argentinas-vaca-muerta-shale-assets
  • N6 | 2026-01-16 | www.nasdaq.com | Patterson-UTI Inks Rig Lease Deal for Archer's Vaca Muerta Operations | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/patterson-uti-inks-rig-lease-deal-archers-vaca-muerta-operations
  • N7 | 2026-01-07 | www.nasdaq.com | YPF Stock Crowded With Sellers | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/ypf-stock-crowded-sellers
  • N8 | 2025-12-05 | www.nasdaq.com | YPF Targets 2026 FID for LNG Project, Shell Exits Over Scope Changes | https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/ypf-targets-2026-fid-lng-project-shell-exits-over-scope-changes
Important legal disclaimer

This material is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, legal or tax advice, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security. The Valye AI Score is a model-based estimate derived from public information and is subject to change without notice. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information herein. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should conduct their own research and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

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